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The Dollar Resumes Its Hunt For The DCL
Pre-Summary Earlier this week, the Dollar appeared to have signaled its Daily Cycle Low after breaking above the 10-day moving average and the declining trend line. Wednesday’s decline changed that framework, extending the daily cycle instead. Thursday’s rally eased the parameters for forming a new swing low, leaving the Dollar hunting its Daily Cycle Low once again. Earlier this week, we…
Dollar Signals the Daily Cycle Low
Pre-Summary Saturday we noted that the Dollar had been consolidating below the 10-day moving average while holding above the 100.56 support level. Monday’s breakout above the 10-day moving average and the declining trend line provided the evidence needed to signal the Daily Cycle Low. An equally important lesson is how the Daily Cycle Low migrated from Day 25 to Day 31 as the consolidation…
The Dollar Is Hunting Its DCL
Pre-Summary Most traders assume the Daily Cycle Low must occur at the lowest price following a cycle peak. While that is often true, there are exceptions. The Dollar is currently demonstrating one of those exceptions as consolidation continues to shift the likely Daily Cycle Low away from the initial low and toward the apex of the pattern. After forming a swing high, the Dollar closed below the…
Gold Rate: मार्च में सोने की कीमतों में 17 साल की सबसे बड़ी गिरावट, जानें कितना है रेट
Gold Rate: नई दिल्ली: अमेरिका-ईरान तनाव के बीच वैश्विक बाजारों में उतार-चढ़ाव देखने को मिला, जिसका सीधा असर सोने की कीमतों पर पड़ा। मार्च महीने में सोना करीब 14.5% सस्ता हो गया, जो पिछले 17 वर्षों की सबसे बड़ी गिरावट मानी जा रही है। इससे पहले अक्टूबर 2008 में लगभग 16.8% की गिरावट दर्ज की गई थी। अंतरराष्ट्रीय बाजार में दबावअंतरराष्ट्रीय बाजार में सोने के दाम तेजी से फिसले हैं। कॉमेक्स पर सोना…
Dollar Weakness Supports Risk Assets
Summary The dollar is in the process of breaking back below the 10 day moving average. Momentum from the recent day 24 daily cycle low has stalled. Price remains pinned along the 15-year trend line. Today’s dollar weakness supported strength in stocks and precious metals. The dollar weakened today and is now in the process of breaking back below the 10 day moving average, signaling that…
Melt-Up Leadership Expanding — But Cycle Risk Is Building
Summary Global leadership remains intact, with strength in equities, energy, and industrial metals. Several key markets are extended and moving deeper into cycle timing bands. Bitcoin is deeply oversold on both daily and weekly timing, setting up a potential low. The bigger story: strength is broad — but cycle maturity is rising across multiple assets. Market leadership remains firmly in…
Dollar at a 15-Year Inflection — Melt-Up Risk for Stocks?
Summary The dollar is testing a critical 15-year trend line. This level represents a major long-term decision point. A rejection would reinforce the broader dollar downtrend and ease financial conditions. Dollar weakness could act as a catalyst for a breakout and potential melt-up in stocks. The dollar has been steadily climbing along a major 15-year trend line — a level that carries…
The Dollar may be finding its footing.
The Dollar formed a swing low on Monday, printing its low on day 24 and placing it in the early portion of its timing band for a daily cycle low. With a swing low and an expected close above the 10 day moving average, day 24 is labeled as the DCL. While the daily cycle signal is constructive, the Dollar remains in a downtrend and must still prove itself at higher levels. The next phase will…
