Critical Evaluation of COVID-19 Variant Data in Ontario
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/covid-variants-death-analysis-ontario-1.5964296
Key Message
The article, “60% higher risk of death from coronavirus variants, Ontario analysis finds: sources” by Lauren Pelley, describes the increasing amount of variant COVID-19 cases in Ontario and how they will potentially impact the risks of hospitalization and death, especially in younger populations. With variants making up more than half of the current COVID cases in Ontario, the growing contagiousness and deadliness of the disease is a significant cause for concern. These COVID Variants are said to have a 60 percent increased risk of hospitalization, a 100 percent increased risk of being admitted to an ICU, and a 60 percent increased risk of death. By presenting this data, CBC News hopes to make it clear that while the pandemic appears to be getting better, there are still important reasons to treat it with just as much caution as we have the whole time, and if not, with more. Lower COVID cases, the reopening of recently locked down activities like shopping and dining, and the increasing amount of vaccines can make it seem as though we are safe from COVID. However, with younger populations being unvaccinated, and more likely to engage in the recently opened activities, they are now more vulnerable than ever, especially with the rise of COVID Variants.
Sources and Verification
The quantitative data on COVID variants is the basis for this article and the main argument for why we must continue being extremely cautious around COVID (the key message of this article). For this reason, it is important to know where CBC is getting their data and how valid it is. Lauren Pelley explains that the majority of data was acquired from an upcoming briefing note prepared by members of Ontario’s science advisory table. She stated that while they didn’t receive a direct copy of the findings in the briefing note, they talked to multiple sources who had an idea of the contents. They were, however, unable to identify who they talked to in order to maintain confidentiality since the scientists were not permitted to talk about it publicly (Hooykaas, Week 9, 2021). It was also important for them to maintain confidentiality in case they misinterpreted the data, though this would be less likely to occur considering the data was mainly quantitative (Hooykaas, Week 9, 2021).
CBC demonstrated a clear effort to validate this data through interviews with experts in the field where they performed a dialectical analysis (Hooykaas, Week 9, 2021). The three people Pelley mentioned she talked to was Dr. Kali Barrett, a member of the COVID-19 Modelling Collaborative, Dr. Andrew Morris, an infectious disease specialist with Toronto’s Sinai Health System, and Dr. Gerald Evans, an infectious disease specialist at Queen’s University’s. These experts completely agreed with the data and constantly related it to the fact that younger populations are likely to be at risk. To further prove validity, CBC compared their data with Denmark and the U.K., who were both hit hard by variants, and found that many of their findings were similar and lined up with one another. On top of that, CBC explained that Ontario Clinicians have been noticing COVID-19 patience to be much younger and sicker. This combination of sources to prove the validity of data is an example of triangulation and was very beneficial in this article as it helped make up for validity when one source was unable to (Hooykaas, Week 9, 2021). While dialectical analysis usually focuses on the conflicts in data, this analysis mainly focused on how the data made sense (Hooykaas, Week 9, 2021).
Expectations/Responsibilities of the Consumer
After reading this article, the consumers are left with the responsibility of making the change. CBC did a great job in proving the validity of this data which made it evident how severe the pandemic still is. Everyone, especially young people and those who are unvaccinated, must be extremely careful as the province reopens and continue to treat the pandemic with just as much caution as we always have, in order to prevent worsening the virus and spreading variants.
References
Hooykaas, A. (2021). Week 9: Writing Qualitative Geographies, Constructing Geographical Knowledge Data Analysis, Writing, and Re-Evaluating Research Aims Presenting Findings
Pelley, L. (2021, March 27). 60% higher risk of death FROM CORONAVIRUS variants, ontario analysis Finds: Sources | CBC News. Retrieved March 28, 2021, from https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/covid-variants-death-analysis-ontario-1.5964296
Hi Josh,
I found your evaluation of the research article really well-done, especially because this is such a severe and current issue that has raised a lot of concern in Ontario. The article was extremely interesting and does a great job highlighting the severity of the issue, especially in terms of the risk amongst younger people. The issue of variant strains emerging from the pandemic is extremely serious, especially since the timeline of the pandemic has been so long and people are beginning to become careless.
You did a great job summing up the article and discussing the credibility of the sources in which CBC collected their data from. You provided an excellent discussion on the research methods used, as well as clearly and properly sourced citations. I enjoyed your discussion on the responsibilities of the consumer in ensuring we are contributing to making a change, especially since young people seem to have the most trouble with abiding by COVID guidelines. The only thing we can do is take responsibility and make sure we are stopping the spread.
Great job!
















