I am sending around "Oligarchs’ Island" again, in the immodest conviction that this little satire will have more analytic and predictive pow
TIMOTHY SNYDER: I am sending around "Oligarchs’ Island" again, in the immodest conviction that this little satire will have more analytic and predictive power than most of what you read or watch this coming year. snyder.substack.com/p/oligarchs-...
"Oligarchy is an island. Aristotle knew that oligarchs from various countries will have more in common with one another than they will with their own people. This is all too true of Trump and the oligarchs he brings to power in America." --Timothy Snyder
Timothy Snyder creates an unusual metaphor in "Oligarchs' Island," that nevertheless works. Below is the "cast."
Gilligan = Elon Musk, "the South African Putinist oligarch.... Like Gilligan, Musk bumbles with language and relationships and everything else, but has an undeniable centrality to the plot and to life on the island."
The Skipper = David Sachs, "the South African Putinist venture capitalist.... Sachs is, of all of our characters the most devoted proponent of the Russian dream.... If anyone on Oligarchs’ Island diverges from the Putinist line, they can expect humorless discipline from Sachs."
Thurston Howell (The Millionaire) = Peter Thiel, "the American investor with New Zealand citizenship, born in Germany and raised in South Africa.... Just as Thurston Howell was disturbed by Gilligan's frantic activity, Thiel can be displeased with Musk.... Howell refuses to work; Thiel activates others to do destructive one another."
Lovey Howell (The Millionaire's wife)= JD Vance--"Lovey is a subordinate character to Thurston on Gilligan's Island, just as Vance is Thiel's client.... Both Lovey and JD are vain about appearance and correspondingly bold in their cosmetic choices."
Ginger Grant = Donald Trump--"these two characters share character and career. Both are vain entertainers.... Both are sensitive to the appearance that they might not matter that much to the overall plot."
The Professor = Vladimir Putin, "Russian dictator and in all likelihood the world's wealthiest man. Whenever the people stranded on Gilligan's Island have a problem, they turn to the Professor.... The Professor has a dark secret: he is not as competent as the others think.... Putin also has secrets.... He knows that the Russia of its own propaganda does not exist, that the oligarchs' dream is a nightmare. He also knows that today's oligarchs are tomorrow's victims."
Mary Ann = Usha Vance--"Mary Ann is the forgotten character on Gilligan's Island, the one who is perhaps more than she seems. She knows how to remain in the background, but in fact has skills that the men around her lack.... she develops plans and cultivates allies."
Here's an excerpt showing how "Oligarch's Island" works as a metaphor:
I suspect that... thinking of an Oligarchs' Island sitcom episode will accurately predict what these people will do. Consider what is happening right now as episode 1 of season 1: Ginger (Trump) has the idea that she should make her own decisions about the members of her cabinet (cue recorded laughter). Some Americans not involved in Russian networks such as Mike Pompeo and Nikki Haley share the belief (cue recorded laughter) that they might join Ginger's cabinet (more cued laughter here, obvious misunderstanding of the Putinist logic of Oligarchs' Island). Those two Americans maintain that Russia was wrong to invade Ukraine, and so are predictably rejected by the Russian-South African oligarchy. The Skipper (Sachs) is on the case with a stern tweet: Ginger's appointments must be pro-Russian. Ginger follows with her own submissive tweet, discarding Pompeo and Haley. Ginger hopes to at least get her instructions directly from the Professor (Putin). Ginger claims that she was able to call the Professor (cue laughter). The Professor denies the call took place (cue more laughter). Ginger says she asked the Professor not to escalate in Ukraine. The next day Ukraine suffered one of the biggest drone attacks of the war. Then the Russians blew up another dam in Ukraine. Those things happened. The ridiculous and the criminal.
[edited]
____________________ NOTE.:The Gilligan image was modified from its original Bluesky source to emulate the typical formatting of substack's automated quotes.















