Potential Devastating Theory for Martha’s Season 2 Arc:
This is a long post, so buckle up! @outinthewildspodcast and I tag teamed this post to share with y’all the potential devastating theory that maybe Martha kills/injures one of the girls, most likely Nora. We had a field day in our DMs a while back developing this theory and I think it’s about high time y’all join us in our pain lol I want to caveat this by saying, none of us want this to be true, but the evidence is so compelling, we have a hard time ruling it out-
So, what if the reason Gretchen and co are looking for evidence to use against Martha is because she snaps and kills/hurts someone (Nora or even possibly Shelby?) because if Martha was dead, why would they be looking to discredit her with the perjury info?
If you rewatch the scenes in episode 9 between Detective Young and Gretchen, there is so much ambiguity in the pieces they discuss. Detective Young is being asked to find them a way out of “this one” and to find a “creative solution so the family can’t sue”. Both of these obscure what he is actually looking to protect Gretchen from. The first point to unpack is about the box that Detective Young is going through. It’s posed to us as containing Martha’s belongings (the frog cape, her hedgehog slippers), but something that definitely doesn’t belong in there is Nora’s journal. Yet it’s the first thing we see. This builds that initial link between Nora and Martha (and hold the fact that journal is there… we’ll come back to it).
The second piece is when Young talks about the family suing. WHOSE family? They never actually specify.
We assume it’s Martha’s Mom looking to sue, but if that were the case, and they are looking for some kind of blackmail to use as leverage, how would Martha committing perjury help them at all? No one is ever going to prosecute or blame that young girl for not being ready to talk about her trauma. And I think canon makes it clear that Bernice knows she lied, so why would she care? So, while yes, she did commit perjury-no prosecutor would go after her. It’s such bad press. And it’s incredibly weak leverage.
But, if you consider the possibility of Marty snapping and killing/injuring someone, say for the content of this post Nora for example, Gretchen could use the perjury and whatever other information they can find to discredit Martha and paint her as unstable. They could use that as a way to displace any responsibility from themselves onto Martha herself. So, if Nora gets injured, and her parents want to sue, Gretchen and her team could use this information to put the blame solely on Martha and absolve themselves (despite arguably contributing to the atmosphere/conditions that ultimately lead to Martha breaking down in the first place.) Now, let’s bring Nora’s journal back. We know that Nora was documenting everything, including the mental state of all of the girls. That journal would have important information about how Martha was doing and if Nora was growing concerned about her.
It’s also important to note, based off the context clues in the dialogue of that scene, it’s clear they are trying to get ahead of it before the family can place the blame on Gretchen. There’s no actual suit being charged against them yet, but they are aware there’s an incident that might warrant that kind of reaction from “the family” once they find out. They are in damage control mode.
This brings me to a post I made a while back, about the storyline between Faber and Leah in episode 6. If you divorce Leah’s narration from the visuals you see in this episode, it doesn’t necessarily mean she’s talking about day twelve (title of ep.) The dialogue in these scenes could very easily fit the events from episode 10 where Leah follows Nora into the woods and falls into the pit. We know the point of Faber’s actions in this episode is to make Leah feel guilty about what happened to Martha-we assume how she got very sick from the muscles and Leah lost the medicine. But if we think about these scenes in context of Leah following Nora in ep 10, not Shelby in ep 6, Faber could be making Leah feel guilty about what happened with Martha (her potentially harming Nora) because Leah would have been the one who told the girls that Nora was a confederate. She’s the only one who had that information of Nora being the confederate, and by revealing it, made Nora a target for Martha’s aggression. They want Leah to feel guilty. To feel responsible. To question whether her revealing that information put everyone else at risk. Gaslighting her into thinking she imagined Nora as a confederate? It ties in with Young and Faber speaking to Shelby about the “unfortunate instances” that happened on the Island. There was clearly an escalation of violence in the group, which can be connected not only to the characters who are missing from the bunker, but also to injuries we see (Shelby’s head and twisted ankle to name a few).
BUT WHY WOULD MARTY DO SUCH A THING? You ask?!
Martha is in such a bad way at the end of ep10. It’s evident she is not okay by her scenes with Dot and Rachel back at camp afterwards. Martha has spent her whole life (post Dr. Ted) using kindness and clinging to this childlike wonder as a coping mechanism. She shattered that façade when she killed the goat. The way that scene is shot, shifting between Island Marty and Marty in her jingle dress, the one she was going to wear to the ADULT jingle competition really highlights this transition from childlike naivety to “growing up.” By walking out on her adult dance competition, Martha was subconsciously refusing to grow up and accept the reality of the horrible things that happened to her. And so, the façade was built. Killing the goat is what brings it crumbling down, and now years of pushing off that trauma is catching up to her, no longer walled off.
Martha’s arc is incredibly incomplete. We have this moment of catharsis when she kills the goat, but only see the start of her struggle afterwards. She’s in a bad way in Episode 10 and she’s going to be in a really bad way in Season 2. It’d be understandable to see her lash out, and channel the rage she’s probably had gently simmering deep below the surface finally come boiling over. Coming to terms with trauma you have experienced is messy, it’s painful and it can enhance the pain you’ve held down for years. If Leah tells the girls about the events from ep 10 (the tree camera, the pit, etc.) It’s very plausible Nora becomes a target for Martha’s misplaced rage as she blames her for putting her on the Island (where she had to come to terms with her trauma) in the first place. Martha was probably very happy (on a surface level at least) ignoring the truth of her trauma. Now, out here, she’s forced to face it, and she’s not happy about it.
Now, I’m sure you might be thinking, that’s a bit of a jump. Martha isn’t perceived as violent; Leah mentioned how “every creature meant something to her,” she’s a vegetarian, she doesn’t like that Shelby hunts, she’s adamantly adverse to the idea of killing the goat at first. She’d never hurt someone intentionally. But you can’t separate that from her fear of becoming like the person who caused her harm. She holds onto that kindness because it’s connected with her childhood (and all the ways she is stuck as a 12 year old), but also because she never wants to imitate the harm that was done to her. She sees herself in those animals. So her entire world shifted when she became what she would classify as a predator, or someone who causes harm.
There is a sinister feeling behind the smile Martha gets when she does inevitably kill the goat. We assume it’s a response to an emotional release. But what if? Could it be the start of her breaking point? What if the violence ramps up, using the justification for survival to carry out more and more?
You might think it’s a big jump to go from killing the goat to harming Nora. But a possible step in between is Rachel’s hand amputation. I know we mostly all assume Dot is the one who ends up having to amputate Rachel's hand (assuming the shark bites it and leaves it too mangled instead of cleanly biting it off.) But Dot is struggling too at the end of Season 1. What if she tries and can’t bring herself to do it? What if it's Martha that volunteers to do it? I could see a scene (if they were to show something so graphic) of Martha with the axe that parallels her with the rock she killed the goat with. Maybe that is the next step in Martha losing control, her violence (though justifiable in her mind, killing the goat for survival, amputating Rachel's hand so she doesn't die) just keeps ratcheting up. And maybe, it feels good? Years of suppressing such a deeply traumatic event finally being released with each hit.
So, when it's perceived that Nora is a threat, Martha feels she has to take her out to save the rest of them. For survival. To protect the others. Because no one was able to protect her.