Big developments last night and this morning have been happening. For starters, two alliances have officially formed:
Bye Bye Bitches= Cirie, Izzy, Bowie, Felicia, Meme, with Jared obviously included if not officially informed of the name and Hisam as someone attached to this group but not officially in it yet via knowing it exists.
Handful= Jag, Blue, Reilly (the core trio) Matt, Cameron (layer two) make up the main group. America, Cory, Jared also pulled in on an outer ring.
Critically this morning Jared was informed about Handful, which he immediately told Izzy about. This means Bye Bye Bitches will have ALL of the information they need in the house regarding lay of the land. Veto draw is happening so this information is not FULLY out there yet, but it is inevitable.
With only Luke, Red and house target Kirsten on the outs of both structures, we could see things really ramp up around this veto. Cirie has already put in some light work on Red and Kirsten, but Luke is a total free agent though he technically believes he's lumped in with the Handful crowd.
If you thought things were already very frantic in just week one, I think this will potentially send the house into a fever pitch.
Reilly's probably keeping Felicia and Kirsten OTB, with Kirsten as the target.
Hisam let Reilly know about Kirsten's rumor about her and Matt, which has really made Kirsten's target, stick.
Reilly's named the entire house more or less as her allies/possible alliance.
Cirie has determined her core allies will be Izzy/Felicia/Bowie.
Cory's target has shrunk, as while some people don't trust him, Reilly sees benefit in saving him.
Reilly/Jag duo is very close. Lots of chatter about a group of them, Jared, Matt, Blue, with others named at various times to be included (Cory, America, Cameron all mentioned for this).
Luke rapidly losing trust with people.
Cirie had really good talks with Reilly and Blue, winning their trust.
People mentioned as untrustworthy by multiple others: Red, Cory, Cameron, Kirsten
Things that have happened on feeds of note that are important:
Phalanx Five= Night one alliance of Reilly/Luke/Matt/Jared/Kirsten, initiated by Kirsten. This alliance is already kind of dead.
Izzy knows Jared is Cirie's son. No one else does.
Reilly/Jag very close relationship as a duo already.
Cirie's plan is to form a Brigade structure of a core four alliance with four satellite allies. So far Felicia and Bowie are likely included in a planned foursome. Kirsten/Mecole were the initial options but the house is collectively turning on Kirsten after she began exposing various convos/alliances and making some conclusions on various alliances that aren't wholly accurate.
Cory is a target for basically everyone in the house.
Jared/Matt/Luke bro alliance
Reilly won HOH, and gets to remove 2/4 nominees from the block.
So you are wanting to watch feeds for the first time, but are a little intimidated by the idea of tuning in at all hours just to catch a game talk. When is the best time to watch? How do you know when to log in and see what's going on? How do you avoid missing everything while you're out touching grass? Follow under the cut for a live feed primer!
Firstly, where can you find the BB25 live feeds? You have two options this season:
Paramount+ is the only way to watch feeds (legally) without ad interruptions. For 5.99/month you can have access to feeds through the website. If you got the money to spend, this is the best option for the most optimal feed experience.
Cannot mention watching feeds on Paramount without plugging the great Liquid8d's BB Viewer! A free Google Chrome extension that allows for way more utilization and customization of your live feed viewing experience! Check his pinned post for more information on how to get it! You need a Paramount+ account to use the Viewer.
Pluto TV is a new FREE option for live feeds! Can tune into one of the feed channels at anytime to see what's going on. There will be commercials, however, which could get annoying. This is an ideal way for international fans to watch, as you only need a VPN.
Beyond that, there are other...less legal...ways to watch feeds if you know where to look, however given Pluto TV's free I'm not going to be promoting them. Check out Twitter under the BB25 hashtag and you'll probably come across them.
So now that you know where feeds are...how do you know when to watch them?
Feeds will often 'go down' at times a competition or house event is happening. This can be for HOURS on end. The BEST way to watch out and see if live feeds are on is following Feeds Bot! This account only tweets when feeds return from a lengthy cut, so on mobile if you turn alerts on you'll always know when there's stuff to watch!
Even when feeds are up, there's not always something going on in the house. Sometimes people might just be sleeping. It is important to note that BB time is PACIFIC TIME, so you must adjust accordingly if you don't live in that time zone.
In general, house guests are not gaming hard every hour of the day. There are times where it is more important to watch than others. Note the following schedule:
Thursday- Thursdays officially start a new 'week' in the Big Brother house. Someone was just evicted, someone new is in power as HOH, and the game can begin a new chapter. Feeds are not on much on Thursdays because of the prep work that must be done for the live show. You might be able to tune in early in the morning for some last-minute talks, but otherwise feeds stay down until after the HOH competition. Tune in when FeedsBot tells you feeds are back to learn who is HOH, and who might be panicking about being nominated!
Friday- Fridays are BIG days in the BB house. Nominations happen today, so there's a LOT of game talk with the HOH and amongst players about strategy for the week. Usually around the afternoon/evening in BBT feeds will go down for one hour for the ceremony, where after everyone will see the fallout of who gets nominated.
Saturday- Saturday feed cuts can be very long due to this being the day the veto competition is played! In the morning feeds will go down for a half hour to draw players for the competition, then the competition will occur later. Saturday is a common day that any seasonal twist occurring will happen, so also important to catch what might have gone on during an unexpectedly long feed cut. See who wins the veto!
Sunday- Sundays are usually lazier days in the house. While players might be strategizing about the veto, it generally doesn't fill up a whole day. Go touch grass today, seriously!
Monday- Monday around noon-1pm BBT the veto ceremony will occur. Tune in after an hour feed cut to see what happened!
Tuesday/Wednesday- These days can be slow if there is a clear, unchanging plan for who is leaving Thursday. Tune in/out depending on how contentious the vote appears to be.
"Ugh, I'm busy and can't watch! How do I catch up on what happened?"
There are plenty of updaters/feed recappers that will help you keep track of what's going on in the house at all hours. Here's the best (IMO) resources to follow:
RHAP: Taran Armstrong does VERY THOROUGH recaps of everyday on feeds in the BB house. Tune in every morning live or watch later and you won't miss a single thing, I promise!
Hamsterwatch: One of the oldest and most reliable updaters/recappers in the biz, with a very thorough site and a lot of charm and humor throughout her content. Follow Dingo on twitter for updates as well!
Big Brother Daily: Real time updates catching the most IMPORTANT soundbytes and information.
These are just some of a massive community passionate about the game, so explore on twitter as there's many BB content creators covering feeds and discussing them!
A small rant, because I just find it so incredibly galling the lie propagated by BBCan production. The company line is that feeds were cancelled for mental health purposes, which in itself is nonsense. Ignoring the fallacy of that argument however, there's too much evidence that supports a more realistic reason for the feed removal. To just compile that evidence here:
The cast does not seem aware that there are no live feeds, as indicated by conversations regarding 'Canada watching' and cam talks.
The cast is still getting scolded by production as though feeds are live (no cursing for example).
The digital daily page alluded initially to the feeds being on, only changed after Twitter pointed out the error.
The live feed tab, which previously existed even after the announcement about the feeds, was removed.
Feeds were cancelled for the stupid sponsors, and even worse I think it is pretty clear that the feed cancellation decision was made AFTER the digital dailies were designed. The dailies are intended to help promote the sponsors by finding more ways to squeeze in ads and have their products in the house shown in brand-friendly ways. Could be why we have extended cuts of HGs cooking and cleaning, ensuring that nothing shown would be considered a risk for sponsoring what can often be a salacious show with lying, backstabbing, fighting and prejudice behavior on display. In order to ensure the dailies get watched, the feeds would need to go or there would be no point. With social media passing around clips and feed updates, no one would be watching the dailies, which I'm sure are discussed in the contracts with these brands.
I just hate the scummy nature of it all. The lying, the gaslighting from HGs who are popping up everywhere to defend the show and encourage people to watch...just pisses me off and while as an American my viewership doesn't matter, it is why I am doing my best to remain unengaged with it all. But it is just a major bummer. Hard to simply let it go when Big Brother IMO is the best social-strategy game there is, and the Canadian version of it just had one of its best seasons. Is what it is, but I do hope they consider changing this back around. I don't think they will though.
If there's one thing the show is telling us about Owen, it is that he's not winning. He's a severe underdog, but his success is going to come in the form of getting to the F3 in the first place. There's just no chance IMO that it is happening in terms of a W though.
5. Karla
Really bad for Karla that the most personal strategy talk we've gotten from her is now about her idol and distrusting someone she shouldn't be. Just feels like a ramping up of her edit before her boot. Not seeing it.
4. Gabler
Speaking of not seeing something, Gabler's been given a dopey edit again and that's not a good sign.
3. Jesse
Jesse's way out in front-if he gets to FTC he's winning and there's no question that's the case it seems. That being said it is too obvious, isn't it? In a new era of Survivor that loves editing misdirection I think this is a giant red herring. Jesse's boot is going to pave the way for the winner.
2. Cody
I don't have much to say that I haven't already said, but I think the frontrunner of the season is really emerging and there's a gap forming IMO between Cody and the person above him, who is...
Cassidy
I would be surprised if Cassidy doesn't win, or at least make FTC. The biggest drawback to her edit is that Jesse's constantly undermining her by taking credit for every single move nearly every episode, but if Jesse's not there in the end then that doesn't matter nearly as much.
Edgic Rankings After Episode 10: Get That Money, Baby!
7. Owen
Absolutely drawing dead. Beginning to think he's in the FTC, but in terms of winning he's had no strategic development, has no storyline, has no strategic insight.
6. Karla
Karla's a major player strategically, but we get no insight on her strategy. She is discussed as a big time player that has to go at some point but we just aren't seeing enough of her perspective anymore.
5. Sami
This episode absolutely buried Sami and I don't think he can recover. On a reward with family letters and doesn't get any personal content, has his game telegraphed and clocked, being discussed as a piece to move but not an actual player and targeting a player that got a good bit of strategic content last episode. Not good.
4. Gabler
By virtue of everyone's edit below him getting worse and worse, Gabler's looking better and better. His prejury edit was abysmal, but his merge edit has been strong and he has a clear story as a player. I still don't think Gabler's getting to the end-maybe falling just shy of F3- but he's not out of it yet.
3. Jesse
There's major set up for Jesse's blindside, but if it doesn't come then it means Jesse is another telegraphed winner the likes of the pre-40 era winners.
2. Cody
Needs to start getting more personal content, but with Jesse being primed for eventually going to jury he's got a great edit that could swell once Jesse's gone.
Cassidy
The last episode was great for her. We got a major check in with her as a player and strategist, Sami's targeting her which is probably a good thing since Sami's become a bit player allowing us to place bets on Cassidy winning that battle, and she got a "tasting the win" confessional which is great for a player with an UTR edit compared to their tribemates. This is the frontrunner.
Survivor Ep. 10 Promo Analysis- Get That Money, Baby!
There's not nearly as much to go on, but we can probably chalk this episode up to being one where a player significantly on the outs goes home.
The NTOS is very misleading in that it is trying to set up that the target is changing constantly, however it is important to realize that most of this content is pre-immunity challenge. We can tell that from the promo pictures and their clothing. There is a reward challenge this episode in which three players will be going to a sanctuary and getting family videos and letters. Most of the content is from before or after that challenge, but not before the immunity challenge which is a card-stacking challenge.
There's really only one scene that we know for sure is post-IC, and that is the shot of Gabler talking to Karla about going after Jesse and Cody. If you look closely you can see that Gabler is clean-shaven compared to a previous shot where Gabler is seen telling Owen that "they're" after him. Clearly, Gabler goes on the reward trip.
Speaking of which, there's promos heavily featuring a crying Jesse which indicates he goes on the trip too. Makes sense that the only two tribe mates with children would be brought along by someone.
The question then becomes who is the third person that goes? It does not seem to be Cody, who has a scene talking to Cassidy that seems pre-RC or during the night these three are gone. Noelle winning this challenge seems unlikely given there's a shot of her taking a bad fall in a promo and this doesn't seem like a course where she could thrive. The challenge is unwinding enough of a rope to complete the obstacle course...it will require speed.
That really narrows it down to Owen and Sami, and of these two Owen looks a bit cleaner than usual in his confessional which could indicate he won.
What can we learn from all of this? We can learn that of all of the names said in the NTOS, only two names are clearly mentioned post-IC: Jesse and Cody. That being said we know Owen's name is out there from Gabler telling him that...and we know he probably got that name from Jesse and Cody which makes the threat credible. We also know that the duo running things both hold idols...it will be incredibly hard to boot them out and it seems like both Cassidy and Sami are still in some way working with them.
Of the other names mentioned, Noelle's name is said by Sami in response to a question Jesse must have asked. We cannot be certain Sami is pushing Noelle as a target. Similarly we cannot be certain Noelle is really pushing Sami in her confessional.
I'd say Gabler/Noelle/Owen are in the most trouble this episode of going, with Owen likely the one to be booted.
Owen's got no plot now James is gone. There's a good chance that we see remnants of the seven form back up (Cassidy/Jesse/Cody/Karla locking back in, Karla has Sami, Cody/Jesse have Gabler) which leaves him a severe outlier. Owen's edit was highly circumstantial this episode, and that's not good for him.
7. Noelle
The steal-a-vote gone, Noelle's sole purpose is gone. The fact her move gets muted in favor of crediting Karla and Sami...not good at all.
6. Gabler
Gabler's got one more ali-gabler moment coming and I think it will target Jesse/Cody, but still not winning IMO.
5. Karla
Karla had a good episode to keep her in the hunt for the end game, but I don't think her content was married to her strategy enough. We didn't get enough discussion about why she flipped on James, just that she did.
4. Sami
I'm finally starting to worry about Sami's odds here. He's lacking that standout moment where he grips the game by the horns and controls it. He's running out of episodes to break out from the "I wanna make big moves" and then immediately back down from them cycle he's in.
3. Cassidy
Great episode for her; her edit is building back up some steam IMO.
2. Jesse
Jesse's at this spot only because at number one I have..
1: Cody
Getting credit for forming the Gabler alliance is big. Cody's beginning to emerge from Jesse's shadow at the right time.
So I don't have a lot of people in my personal life outside of my family to talk about this with, and it has been hard sometimes to just sit on my feelings when I have been going through one of the biggest mental health transitions of my life.
Since June I've been working to lose weight and I'm currently down 43 pounds. I have a goal to lose 50 by the end of this year, and next year I intend to lose another 50 at least (it'd be nice to lose more than that and get back to the weight I was in high school but really I just want to be comfortably able to shop in stores lol). Anxiety and depression skyrocketed my weight from about 2011-2016 and I've really been taking back my life. I got a long way to go regarding fixing the larger issues with my mental health, but I'm super proud of myself for setting and meeting goals.
I've not been doing anything revolutionary. Just tracking my calories and eating anywhere from 500-700 less than my daily recommended intake. Not depriving myself of food (apart from fast food which was the single biggest addiction I had to get grapple), not following some fad diet...just looking at food labels and going "fuck, I'd rather make a healthier choice." I've been cooking way more, specifically cooking international meals which have made eating healthier a lot more fun to do. Just exploring food options that aren't so stale and basic, and broadening horizons and curtailing my picky eater ways.
I've dropped two pant sizes. I fit way more comfortably into XL tops. And I just FEEL better...I got more energy everyday now. I sleep without tossing and turning from back pain. It has just been a life-altering change in every single way and while I wish I never got to this low point, I'm very proud of myself for overcoming this obstacle.
My next big project is to begin exercising which I simply have not been doing beyond getting steps in. Now that my busiest work season is over I will be walking a lot less in my job so I set a new, ambitious goal of running a 5k by the summer of next year. I found a good program to wean me into it. I feel ready to go, and motivated to do so too.
It sucks that I've withdrawn so much from others due to my mental health struggles that I don't have a ton of people to tell this stuff to. The hardest goal I set for myself is finally seeking therapy for conditions I was diagnosed with as a child...I'm really scared of opening up to the wrong person after my previous experience with therapy and how some people in my life reacted to it. But I'm doing better already, and I'm just really happier as a person for the first time in ages.
Anyway back to Survivor and eventual Big Brother shitposting.
Spoilers/speculation off promo material for the upcoming episode.
So looks like our groups are:
Red- Jesse/Cassidy/Gabler/Cody/Ryan
Blue (probably loses reward)- Sami/Karla/James/Noelle/Owen
People from the blue group can be see on Vesi's beach, evidenced by Noelle's confessional in the NTOS (rocks Cody jumped off) and the red lid to the well that James and Owen are chatting at in one pic. This likely means they lost and had to go to a different beach while blue gets reward. Given the strongest players physically are in red group, this kind of makes sense.
I think we can probably assume the blue group winner of immunity is Sami. Red group has a few options for a winner between Gabler/Cody/Ryan but my money is on Ryan since his strength is always emphasized in episodes.
Where does that leave us? In the red group Gabler is probably the most likely person to leave. We can probably assume Jesse/Cody will dictate who goes. If Ryan didn't win immunity we could see the Ryan vs. Cassidy storyline play out more, but I'd be shocked if either went. There's some small set up for a Cassidy boot after she deliberately voted vengefully and incorrectly last TC. Jesse and Cody were the reasons the Ryan flip died. I'd say Gabler is most likely to go, followed by Cassidy, Ryan, Jesse/Cody in that order.
Over in blue we got the continuation of James vs. Owen. Noelle however could throw this into a curveball vote by exposing her steal a vote to Karla, something we know she does from the NTOS. My guess is James goes here. It will depend on Karla and what she decides to do: tell James about her steal a vote so he can snag it a la KiP and take out Owen or even Noelle herself with or without Sami? Or will the Karla taking out James foreshadowing come to a head and Karla boots her closest ally? Could be she doesn't have a choice if Sami/Noelle/Owen team up and vote James out. I think James is most likely to leave, followed by Owen, Noelle, Karla and Sami in that order. We can assume based on the title that this is Karla's breakout episode.
Ryan could very well be at the FTC, but he is not winning. The edit is making him a punching bag and is telling us it is ok to laugh at him a little. I find Ryan's oblivious nature endearing...he is such a sincere guy but that isn't going to snag him the win. I don't think anything could make me move Ryan up from last place in the rankings.
9. Owen
Owen's uptick of content only coinciding with him being the new Jeanine is not good. He's got this battle with James coming up, and while I think he's winning that fight it doesn't put him any higher in winner contention. Owen's a sitting duck getting his quick merge arc before he's in jury.
8. Noelle
Noelle's strategic mindset is never at the forefront of the episodes and while she's as much of an underdog as Owen, she's not been given much care with her edit. It really feels like production is just milking her story for as much content as it is worth before she inevitably plays her steal a vote and is eliminated. Feels like Noelle is more of a plot device than a plot point in the season.
7. Gabler
Lots of people hopping on the Gabler train are forgetting how awful his premerge content was. Gabler's maybe the last of the easy boots to go but it really does feel like he'll be going. Nothing last episode really changed things for me, and if he is truly gonna try to suck up to the seven-person alliance I think that's really bad for him.
6. James
James has to be bumped down because last episode was a bad look. Building up a narrative that James is the kingpin of a cocky seven-person squad is awful for him. Combined with the fact things are angled to have us rooting more for Cassidy in the little Coco feud we saw and Owen getting a ton of good content...very worried about James right now.
5. Karla
We are just too far into the season for a winner to not be getting more consistent strategy confessionals. Why is Karla constantly entertaining flips and backing out? Why is she always edited as wanting to go women-strong but then never does? We get no explanations as to why Karla makes the decisions she does. We see she's a great player, but there's no care put into showing Karla's thought process to make her more complex. I just think it is too late to put in a winner storyline for her, but I hope I'm wrong!
4. Cody
This is the first serious contender I got on my list now. I'm finally coming around a little to what others are saying regarding Cody as a contender. He had a great episode despite not needing to be the focus of things. He's a big part of the power structure in the tribe too. My issue is he's still outshined by Jesse and until that changes I'll always at least rank Jesse higher.
3. Cassidy
Having Cassidy in the third slot here is admittedly wishful thinking, but she is the only woman with a shot at winning this IMO. Cassidy didn't have a great episode- she's shown to be the only one against the Jeanine vote and she votes wrong despite likely being aware of how things were going at TC. That being said, we get an explanation behind her incorrect vote that we as viewers not only understand but are expected to support. I think little things like these keep Cassidy clinging on edgically as being a contender.
2. Sami
If Sami isn't the winner then he is production's favorite. He had a great episode despite totally and completely failing to flip the vote...and not only that but backing OUT of the flip and undermining his own mission. Yet Sami gets edited as making a strategic call and not as someone who failed, or as your typical petulant teen that doesn't get taken seriously. Further, as if to prove Sami's backdown on the Ryan vote was the correct call, the edit dunks on Jeanine HARD for no reason with the rare voting confessional played in-episode. Maybe next episode we will see things take a turn and we get some pouting about the failed flip, but Sami's one to watch.
Jesse
I don't think there's much I got to say. Until Jesse's edit shows ANY sign of slowing down he's got to remain the top contender for a slew of obvious reasons.
Random tidbits from last night I've been reflecting on:
Bad episode for James, and I think it might be time to remove him from winner contention. He feels like one of the first in this Coco group to fall. There's now setup for women to flip on him and for Owen to win a vote off against him. Not that I think Owen has a lot of leg left in the race, but maybe one more week...
Time to move Karla out of contention too IMO. We are just not hearing enough from her perspective regarding the game.
Ryan is giving third place finisher. Dodo bird edit, but probably sticking around for a good while. Follows a recent trend third placers get (being the person at TC who the edit assists in ruling out as the winner to narrow the race down to two people).
Cody probably should move up in winner contention, but I'm just not sold on him being the winner when Jesse is always outshining him (and while Jesse's a contender I think he gets cut at some point too).
Sami's also IMO a major contender. He got to brutally toy with Jeanine for three episodes straight AND back out of his own vote flip...and yet the episode dunks unfairly on Jeanine and Sami just gets no repercussion from this. I feel like Sami's got to be in final four at this point.
Cassidy got her rogue vote explained thoroughly while keeping us on her side for it. Definitely a good thing for her edit and winner contender odds.
pixelskylines
2087
titsay
jbbartram-illu
vaporwave