New Media, Big Data and Telemetrics (guest lecture by Darryl Woodford)
Big Data, Crime, and Free Will
“Big data” is large data sets of recorded facts and figures. Almost everything today is encoded as data (Siegel 2013). Big data is also relates to the “tools, processes and procedures” that allow an organisation to “create, manipulate and manage” massive amounts of collections of data (data sets) and storage facilities (Kusnetzky 2010). Some of the challenges involve are trying to make sense of big data and the huge amount of data that’s created every day, as well as processing and organising all the information and data that’s out there into knowledge and wisdom, and trying to actually utilise it for a purpose (What is Big Data? 2012).
See a video explaining Big Data here.
By analysing big data we’re now able to find correlations that “spot business trends, determine the quality of research, prevent diseases, link legal citation, combat crime, and determine real-time roadway traffic conditions” (Data, data everywhere 2010). Computers are now able to automatically develop new knowledge and capabilities by “feeding on” data (Siegel 2013). Data creates insights into things and insights then help machines develop predictive capabilities (Siegel 2013). Big data analysis can be used to predict a vast variety of things, such as stock prices, election outcomes, consumption behaviour, pregnancy patterns, student essay grades, school attendance, as well as the accidents that people have, hospital admissions, risk of death in surgery, as well as even predictions on murder for at risk people and the list goes on (Siegel 2013).
Big data analysis has obvious advantages in its benefits, but it isn’t without its dark side and its downfalls. For example with its use to prevent crime.
See a video on how Big Data and analytics technology has helped a police force reduce crime here.
Predictive analysis and its use in crime can only be helpful to a certain extent. We’ll never be able to predict with 100% certainty that someone’s going to commit a certain crime. But there are people who say that the government will eventually implement a program that intervenes and tries to “help” someone after they’re predicted to have a 90% chance they’ll commit a crime in the next year (Fighting [the Propensity for Crime] with Big Data 2014).
Minority Report depicts a futuristic world where a police unit is able to prevent crimes before they happen and place people under arrest before they actually break the law.
The problem about this is that big data only measures whether you have a propensity to commit a crime. It measures what you’re likely to do before you’ve done it. That’s something the criminal system has never had to deal with before – usually you commit a crime and you get punished. But if it’s found that someone is likely to, for example, shoplift in the next 12 months, they won’t be put in jail but what will happen is that someone will be sent around to intervene and to try and help and prevent this from happening (Fighting [the Propensity for Crime] with Big Data 2014). That could be done by trying to get you an afterschool job or talking to your parents and seeing if there’s a problem in your home life. But what will also happen because of that is that you’ll now be pigeonholed as a criminal, as someone who is going to shoplift, as someone who’s affiliated with crime. This in turn may affect the person’s mindset and may even end up leading to criminal behaviour (Fighting [the Propensity for Crime] with Big Data 2014).
I believe, and so does Kenneth Cukier (a Data Editor for The Economist), that the idea of “human volition”, human freewill is what’s important and what needs to be emphasised and valued beyond the prediction of a person’s propensity for crime.
Data, data everywhere (2010), 25 February, [Online], Available: http://www.economist.com/node/15557443 [2014].
Fighting [the Propensity for Crime] with Big Data 2014, video recording, United States. Directed by Jonathan Fowler, Elizabeth Rodd, and Dillon Fitton
Kusnetzky, D. (2010) What is "Big Data?", 16 February, [Online], Available: http://www.zdnet.com/blog/virtualization/what-is-big-data/1708 [2014].
Siegel, E. (2013) 'Introduction: The Prediction Effect', in Siegel, E. Predictive Analytics: the power to predict who will click, buy, lie or die, Hoboken, NJ : Wiley.
What is Big Data? 2014, video recording, United States.