#20200514

[kpopsagging]

[sasazo-375]

#自炊記録 #20200514 #朝食 #昼食 #ブランチ 海鮮プレート マグロの赤身 ホタテの貝柱 青紫蘇 海ぶどう 酢を入れてHARIOで炊いたご飯 マヨ ポン酢とキューピーだし香る和風ドレッシングを合わせてワサビちょいとで混ぜたもの #自炊生活 #ひとりごはん #おうちごはん #おうち時間 #海鮮丼 #プレート #lunchtime #brunch #海ぶどう #ほたて #まぐろ #梅雨 #いただきます #ごちそうさま #スプーン #おしゃれ https://www.instagram.com/p/CBaOY6LFlUI/?igshid=1oru6pzqqwja5

[um0707]

下半身で動くのも身体使って遊ぶのももう飽きた。

2020/05/14/21:47

[um0707]

檸檬堂の檸檬サワーとほろよいのクリームソーダがここ最近はキテる。🍋🍈

2020/05/14/20:14

[um0707]

昨日はお休みだったから朝から鬼滅の刃を読んでたら電話きた＠am9。「うみ今日何するの～夜勤終わった～会いに来て～一緒にお昼寝しよ～」だった。お昼に会いに行って一緒に鬼滅の刃20巻を買って（レジでしか変えなかった！棚に置いてない！）キーマカレーが準備されていてアルコール片手に食べて寝た。寝言は相変わらずで「ありがとう！！！！」「え？！？！」「抜いて～♡でへへへへへ」等眠っているときも面白くて退屈しなかった。お布団かけ直してぽんぽんっとしたら超にこにこしてた。寝てるときにこんな笑うぅ？ってくらい。LINEの通知音に反応するのか鳴るたびに3回くらい腰振ってまた寝てた。意味不明。それからまた夜勤わたしは帰宅。一緒にいただけだった。

2020/05/14/20:12

[eagleargent]

20200514 (again)

After another look at the chart, I finally identified a trade setup that might make sense for SLV.  It shouldn’t have taken me that long to figure this out, but hey, that’s the kind of thing that will improve with practice.

If my count is correct, then we’re in wave 3 of (3) of ((3)) of c/y, which ought to be a stupidly powerful wave up.  The /SI futures are already up 0.9% since the stock market closed six hours ago, which would translate to 14.97 in SLV.  Plus, the sheer number of bullish signs I pointed out in my update from earlier tonight is impossible to ignore.

(As a big-picture reminder, the important levels for bulls to take out in order to knock out the most bearish possibilities (like everything from the March bottom having been merely a double zigzag) are 15.28 and 15.55, and we’re most of the way to the first one by now.)

So if we do gap up on the open, I want to go long with a stop at 14.41 -- because:

If my count is correct and we break out of the bull nest, then we won’t be seeing 14.41 again anytime soon, because wave 4 cannot overlap wave 1.

If we are instead still in a flat (2) that needs its C wave down, then the stop will trigger and the bottom of the C wave will then provide a much better entry point, far closer to the more obvious invalidation level of 12.87, for a much superior risk/reward ratio.  The higher the rally goes before reversing, the less likely this possibility becomes.

And if the rally from 13.73, marked “2″ on the chart, has been a complete impulse for yet another level of bull nesting -- or ((i)) -- and the ((ii)) correction triggers the stop, then the next break over the current high will prove that it wasn’t the C-wave interpretation of the previous paragraph and will let me try the same thing all over again.  This is also less likely the higher the rally goes before correcting.

I should point out that possibility #3 above has the potential to make me look really stupid if it means I buy at the top of a rally and get stopped out by a mere correction.  The safer thing to do would be to put the stop below the clearer knockout level at 13.73.  And indeed, if the action on the open does seem to point to a correction instead of an explosion higher, then I’ll likely wait for three waves down and then go long with a stop at just that spot.

But if we open noticeably higher, then 13.73 won’t give me a good enough risk/reward ratio for my liking, and I might not get a better buying opportunity... because again, it looks for all the world like 3 of (3) of ((3)) of c/y, and such waves can be frighteningly powerful ones.

[eagleargent]

In my last update, I wrote, “At this point the bulls would have to rally SLV past the 14.80 top to renew my confidence in the blue c/y of (IV) count.”  I then promptly proceeded to ignore silver for a while, in favor of other assets.

Well, guess what happened today: SLV finally broke past 14.80 and forced me to revisit the chart.  Congratulations, bulls. (Edit: And the producers have continued to increase their net positions consistently since the bottom.) (Edit: And the Ichimoku indicators are all bullish except for the lagging span, and all the volume indications of the last two weeks have also been bullish.  Phew.)

That “(1)?” on the chart at 14.52 instead of 14.80 is not a misprint.  On the futures chart (/SI), it’s much clearer that the move from there to “(2)?” is actually a viable expanded flat, not the disproportionate monstrosity you see on this chart.

Speaking of expanded flats, even though we broke over 14.80, we currently have only three waves up from 13.55.  (And the third wave has been clearly slower than the first, which is often a characteristic of zigzags rather than impulses.)  That’s what the “A of (2)?” possibility is for: that we might have a C-wave impulse down to retrace all or most of that rally before turning to new highs again.  If we do get such an impulsive selloff, then the yellow dashed line at 12.87 is the level to watch for knocking out this whole blue count.  Below that line, and I would no longer see any way to make everything since the 10.86 low fit a motive structure.

But until then, the bull nest count shown here remains alive.

[beckysioux]

Since this week’s theme seems to be “Flowers”, here’s a throwback to my BBF days. I wish I could remember my character name from this season as it was floral. Poppy? Myrtle? Maybe I should have kept one name instead of switching each season... Naaaaaaah. #20200514 #135of366daysof2020 #tbt (at Bristol Renaissance Faire) https://www.instagram.com/p/CALmJ4SHsaZ/?igshid=1fwabukxlrvrw