#calicoriley

[soniclibraryooc]

[redpenship]

as i'm sure you have heard by now, a recently leaked document from the eggman empire has finally confirmed the long standing rumor that dr. robotnik has been secretly developing a badnik system capable of prowling the oceans and locating submersible vehicles within just a few minutes of being launched. while he yet to deploy this system in an actual combat scenario, the leaked documents are already showing extremely worrying (or promising, if you're the dr) accuracy and speed in locating submarines in preliminary tests. seeing as he appears to be nearly done with the testing phase and mere months away from being able to use it in combat situations, i'd love to hear your opinions on the short term and long term effects of what can essentially be considered a death blow to the entire idea of second strike capabilities as it relates to SSBNs.

in the short term, obviously countries with already active fleets of SSBNs will continue to use them to defend from other nuclear powers without the badnik system. but in the case of countries currently building or with orders for SSBNs, do you think they will scrap their programs/cancel orders?

do you think dr. robotnik would be willing to share this technology with countries within his sphere of influence, or will he keep it close to home and within his empire's direct control?

for the long term, i was also interested in hearing your opinion on whether the U.F. and eggman empire are likely to regress back into a cold war, only this time without the comfort of SSBNs and deterrence hinging entirely on more precarious ideas such as launch on warning? do you think the current geopolitical climate is unstable enough to allow this or has the empire's growing reliance on global markets to source raw materials made dr. robotnik unlikely to risk the possibility of sanctions and blockades?

Once again, Dr. Robotnik has proven himself to be strategically incompetent. SSBN-seeking badniks has to be one of the stupidest ideas I've ever head. But then again, what else can you expect from someone who consistently loses to a bunch of stupid animal children?

On strategic grounds, Robotnik is committing two major errors: 1. Denying your opponent(s) the ability to launch a nuclear second strike only leads to increased instability. By creating these badniks, Robotnik has created a situation where his enemies have decreased confidence in their ability to retaliate. They are now increasingly incentivized to launch first strikes; in such a security environment, the decisions leading to these strikes will be based on minimally verified information as leaders rush to not lose their strategic advantage. It is simply more dangerous for him.

2. Contrary to the general belief that nuclear war will always end in global devastation, there is a prevailing belief among nuclear weapons states that nuclear war will only occur in a 'limited war' fashion. In a limited nuclear war, the bombs would almost exclusively strike counterforce targets--in other words, they would only attack each other's military assets/missile silos/etc. NWS have generally agreed that there will never be a conflict serious enough to require all-out nuclear war. With this in mind, many theorists believe that nuclear war will start at sea, away from land-based civilian targets. The U.F.'s doctrine of command and control permits submarine commanders to launch nuclear-armed torpedoes without authorization, and there have already been incidents in the past where nuclear war was nearly ignited by aggressive submarine officers. As Robotnik sends his badniks into enemy territory for surveillance, he runs the risk of being detected and then attacked by the submarines. It is likely that he may accidentally provoke war if he is not careful with his badniks (which we all know he will not be).

To answer your other questions, it's generally pretty stupid to share nuclear technology with states in your sphere of influence (unless you are using a dual-key system). Chun-nan certainly regrets sharing nuclear technology with (Sonic world??) North Korea.

I can only assume the plans for these badniks were leaked by Robotnik himself as a bargaining tool. He's made a pretty big deal about being asked for metal virus reparations, so this might be his way of trying to pressure everyone into dropping the case. I only hope revealing this kind of technology doesn't result in it proliferating among NWS navies.

[redpenship]

what's your opinion on the iaea considering invoking a special inspection of the recently destroyed site that allegedly housed an undeclared nuclear reactor in the eggman empire? do you think robotnik will comply and release the building plans/materials manifest or will he stay silent and essentially just allow the special inspection? do you think, if the rumors of undeclared nuclear activity are to be believed, that this could be the result of continued horizontal proliferation by chun-nan?

as a follow-up question, since chun-nan is openly and flagrantly violating the npt by engaging in horizontal proliferation, why isn't the un doing anything about it? are they stupid?

As usual, Eggman has proven that his "empire" should never be taken seriously by other states. He refused to sign the NPT partially due to the inspection clause and then just a last year, when he was taking over the planet, signed a negative assurance guarantee that he wouldn't resort to using nuclear weapons in his campaign. Signing it was ultimately in his best interest since it reduced the likelihood of NWS (nuclear weapons states) from using their arsenals earlier in the conflict. Now, the lawyers who wrote this guarantee included a clause requiring IAEA inspections of his reactors and other nuclear facilities, which he probably ignored because he assumed it would be irrelevant after he'd taken over the whole world. As we all know, this did not happen and the guarantee has yet to be nullified. The IAEA is totally within their right to invoke a special inspection here. It's doubtful that he'll let them see it since they'll probably note a ton of missing plutonium rods, but we all know he has nuclear weapons anyways so who cares?

What's wrong with a bit of horizontal proliferation between friends? I think we should actually be focusing on vertical proliferation by NWS and their utter inability to reduce their arsenals. Retiring bombs from the 60s does not count as disarmament! Smh

[redpenship]

do you thikn that eggamn amd staline ever got cuuriuos an teied froting..??

what is with you and frotting lately

also yes of course

[soniclibraryooc]

[soniclibraryooc]

[redpenship]

do you think the recently ballooning youth unemployment in shamar compounded with their rising inflation rates have the ability to cause a revolution, perhaps even triggering a second arab spring? why or why not?

yeah but since its the second one they should call it arab summer instead