#data stuff

[astronicht]

COTA 2026: track lovers and haters

Hey, if it weren't for Marc Márquez this might be known as the track of Alex Rins.

Best at COTA: Marc. Barring only 2022, Marc has either crashed out or won every single race in which he's participated since 2013. Notably though, he has not actually won a full race since 2021, though he's won a sprint. (Results shown below are recorded in points scored, not position! A red 0 is a crash DNF)

Worst at COTA: Luca Marini. It's not a catastrophic record but it is the worst of the current riders who have finished more than 3 races. He DID get on the podium with a P2 in 2023, but the rest of his record is pretty mid. (Again, results recorded in points! the next highest score is a P6 -- 10 points)

Best After Marc: Alex Rins has an inexplicable and deep passion for Austin, Texas. He's won it four times, once each in Moto3 and Moto2 and twice in MotoGP, suggesting it's not solely the bike he's on, and averages a P2?????? I don't know how to explain how uncommon an average that high is. He's not one of the riders for whom I have a list of his averages at each track, but I think we can safely assume that this is his favorite in terms of performance.

Also go well here: Maverick, which could be funny if he really is in the process of breaking up with jlo. Interestingly Enea rounds out the top five.

Pecco is ranked 6th best at COTA but won last year and actually has a better sprint record here than his full race record (for what good three datapoints can give anyone).

Joan Mir has crashed out the last three years running. Please stop that Joan.

COTA head-to-head by teammates:

Aprilia: Advantage Martín (average P4) over Bezzechi (av. P6)

Ducati: Advantage Marc, who may however by cursed (av. P1) over Pecco (av. P5)

Honda: Advantage Mir (av. P8) over Marini (P10). Frankly they're both kinda bad here.

KTM: Tentative advantage Acosta* over Binder (av. P8). Binder isn't particularly good here but he at least has finished a race at this track more than 3 times. Pedro has crashed out twice and podiumed twice, including a P2 in MotoGP.

Yamaha: Advantage Rins (av. P2) over Quartararo (av. P7)

Trackhouse: No advantage. Tied at P7 average. I was going to use sprints as a tiebreaker but Ogura has only started one, but Fernandez on the other hand has a total crap sprint record.

Gresini: Tentative advantage Àlex* (av. P7) only because his femur isn't broken and he's finished more than two (2) races here unlike Fermín (2 crash DNFs, a P7, and a P3).

VR46: Advantage Di Giannantonio (av. P6) over Morbidelli (av. P9).

LCR Honda: default advantage to Zarco*; Moreira has only finished 3 races here: crash DNF, P4, P14, and a zero-points finish.

Tech3: Verrry slim advantage to Viñales (av. P4) over Bastianini (av. also P4). Averages are calculated by average points score; both are in the P4 range, but Maverick's average points score is a bit higher. Both do well here.

Pramac: Default advantage to Miller (av. P5) over Razgatlıoğlu, who has never raced here on a MotoGP bike, though he did do some Red Bull Rookie Cup races at COTA.

*Involve a little more personal value judgement on my part.

Full COTA results (by points! Not position!) under cut:

[dcnightmare07]

Alrighty y'all reblog and tag your age and Dreamcatcher bias!

[astronicht]

Jerez 2026: Post-Sprint round-up

Kings of the slip n' slide: only Marc Marquez and Raul Fernandez did better than their personal average at both a wet quali and a deluge-themed sprint. They are respectively the best and worst at Jerez of all current riders; lmao etc.

Luca Marini scored his first sprint point at Jerez of his career

Jack Miller was in some kind of torture nexus that never really made it onscreen; double long lap?? crashed and rejoined?? yamaha??

The Aprilias were bloodthirsty again. Jorge Martin's Aprilia lit his brake disks on fire almost immediately, and Bez did fine until he crashed out, tried to hold on to the handlebars to keep the engine running per the new rules, and got pinned under his wife-bike. Word on the street (reddit) is currently that he said he was okay.

Bez also allegedly had his start fucked up by a tear-off. Princess and the pea meets nervous dog sprint start :((( wife bike was angered and afraid....

Franky podium!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Like last year in iirc le mans, Marc managed to save his race lead by crashing out at the best possible moment, pulling, to quote twitter, a cheating homunculus move, and won that shit.

Pecco was getting passed by Diogo Moreira at one point but ended up on the podium. Again he is moving in mysterious ways this weekend.

*as noted after quali, I'm comparing sprint results to average full race results here, which is not like ideal. But im just having fun if im honest, and there are so few datapoints for sprints that there's no point trying to figure out someone's sprint average at any given track. you can compare to previous sprint results listed here

for comedy purposes, the full race direction incident record:

[astronicht]

Le Mans 2026 pre-race stats

Zarco is actually good here in the dry too! However due to the english language commentary I'm tired of hearing about him.

This is Àlex Márquez's best track overall. It's not Marc's absolute best (COTA), but I think it's also in his top 3.

Jorge Martín has only ever crashed out, scored zero points, or (twice) podiumed here. In the past 11 years and including sprints (two additional wins). how.

Jack Miller: the real France Lover? Ignore the fact that he's crashed out here the past 3 years in a row.

Speaking of. Joan Mir has crashed out of Le Mans for the past FIVE YEARS running. We need to break the curse.

Luca Marini is significantly worse at Le Mans than anyone else. His highest finish was a P9 in 2022, though he got a random P4 in a 2023 sprint. Haterism at work.

I don't have time to do a teammate head-to-head but if Jorge finishes the race and Bez still beats him I expect you all to fucking clap. Also factory Honda is Joan (cursed) and Luca (#francehater). Good luck. Punch each other all the way down.

Full data under cut:

[astronicht]

Oh Pecco: final 2025 update

pecco getting rained on in ocean dot jpg. i havent got it saved just picture it.

He's had two arguably more tragic years: 2019 when he transitioned from Moto2 (where he was extremely steady on the bike; didn't DNF once in two years) to MotoGP and disliked change, and 2013, his first year in Moto3 when he entered all 17 races of the season and did not score a single point. And also I guess disliked change.

[astronicht]

The most annoying man in the world:

That 2009 zero was not a DNF; he finished outside the points. And took it personally I guess.

[astronicht]

Buriram 2026 Pre-Race Track Stats

as we all know im weirdly obsessed with who runs best at which track, a relatively small factor in motogp competition. however i cannot be stopped. welcome to year 2. Now with bigger and worse chart, featuring sprint races!

these are their english-lang wiki article photos; i did not select sad enea on purpose

Pecco, Marc, and Jorge all average a P3 at Buriram and have never DNFed a race here, but Pecco has the highest overall average points haul. Marc has an edge on Pecco in sprints; Jorge conceivably is the best at sprints here, though he's only started two. Marc was ofc last year's winner, but Pecco has podiumed every year but 2019 in the real main race and this is Pecco's best-performance track overall. He's also known as a slow starter, so I'm really not sure it's an advantage.

Eight riders tend to average in the top 6 here, including Luca and Maverick, though Maverick's sprint record at Buriram is catastrophic, and Luca's is also recently not that great; his only two race podiums came in Moto2, plus a sprint podium back in 2023.

At the bottom, we've got Enea, Rins, and Franky. Notably it's also a pretty bad track for Bez, who only finishes at an average of a P9. His highest finish was a P6 last year, and he's never podiumed; it's Bez's 4th-worst track across the season. This is also Franky's worst-perfomance track overall, so if anyone starts calling him washed after Buriram I reserve the right to throw hands.

[edits: deleted a bez sprint win mention; he has none! Updated chart to address complete lack of Pedro and Fabio Q; sorry divas]

[astronicht]

MotoGP 2025, race-by-race results

2025 season results, graphs still being tweaked a bit. Top of each graph is 25 points, or a P1. 2025 track results are in a solid color. Blue shows average points haul at each track; yellow shows the most recent result at the track prior to this year (usually 2024, but not always!)