Based on both the DBP and the Commission 2016 autumn forecast, Italy is not expected to comply with the debt rule in 2016 and 2017. The planned and forecast structural deteriorations based on both the DBP and the Commission forecast point to a risk of some deviation from the required adjustment path towards the MTO in 2016 once the full allowance of 0.75% of GDP granted in spring under the structural reform and investment clause is taken into account.














