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GDPNow Model 1st Qtr Estimate: 0.1%
GDPNow Model 1st Qtr Estimate: 0.1%
The real GDP growth rate is an important economic indicator, however the official estimate is delayed. The Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecasting model uses a similar method to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. GDPNow makes no subjective adjustments; the estimate is entirely quantitative. On January 28, 2022, the first GDPNow model estimate is 0.1 percent. On January 27, the US Bureau of Economic…
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow model continues to show minimal growth in Q3
Atlanta Fed GDPNow model continues to show minimal growth in Q3
Not a pretty picture The latest update from the Atlanta Fed shows Q3 GDP at 1.3% annualized, that’s unchanged from Thursday. The first print on Q3 is coming up at the end of the month and a number so low would do damage to markets and the recovery narrative. The consensus is still at 5%. After this morning’s releases of the employment situation report by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and…
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The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow forecasting model moved up on Thursday to indicate the economy growing at a 4.8 percent pace in the second quarter. - GDP | Economics
Atlanta Fed GDPNow vs. NY Fed GDP Nowcast
There is a growing divergance between the the Atlanta Fed’s and NY Fed’s GDP forecast for Q1 2017. The Atlanta Fed predicts 1.2% annualized, while the NY Fed shows 3.2%.
While Atlanta’s prediction started out rosy and has steadily cratered, New York has done just the opposite, steadily increasing after an initial dip.
It will be interesting to see how this plays out.
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.5%. Down from 2.6% last.
The estimate for the 4Q 2016
As per the Atlanta Fed:
“The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2016 is 2.5 percent on December 22, down from 2.6 percent on December 16. The forecasts of fourth-quarter real personal consumption expenditures and real intellectual property products investment growth increased modestly after this morning’s GDP and personal income outlays reports from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). These were offset by modest declines in the forecasted contributions to growth from residential, nonresidential equipment and inventory investment after the aforementioned BEA releases, this morning’s advance manufacturing report from the U.S. Census Bureau, and yesterday’s existing-home sales release from the National Association of Realtors.”
The next GDPNow update is Tuesday, January 3
Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.5%. Down from 2.6% last. Atlanta Fed GDPNow 2.5%. Down from 2.6% last. http://www.forexlive.com/feed/news $inline_image
