#genghiz

[betterskatethannever]

Andrew Gray // Genghiz

[betterskatethannever]

Andrew Gray // Genghiz

[betterskatethannever]

Andrew Gray // Genghiz

[betscorer-blog]

Astra Ploiesti vs. Pandurii

Like a bet on the home side here. If you consider the form it doesn't look like a logical selection but there are two things that make me believe Astra will edge this one. First of all I consider positive reaction from Astra players, starting from last weekend they have a new coach - and a really good one, Mircea Rednic, experienced pres. Dinu Gheorghe joined as well. New coach has got a positive result at his first match on Astra bench as he saw his side draw 0-0 away match at Gaz Metan. If he was okay with that draw there is only one outcome to consider today and that is only a win. The other reason to back Astra is that they meet a pretty much weakened Pandurii team who will be without Voiculet, Maxim and Pintilii, very important players. Adding the long term injuries they have would make it even worse. Cardoso was recalled from Pandurii second team but won't be given a starting role. On the other hand, Astra's coach will be able to use the same team he played Gaz Metan. Odds for home win got shortened in the last few days for good reason but to be honest I would consider backing them at any odds better than 2.00.

[betscorer-blog]

Petrolul Ploiesti vs. Concordia Chiajna

Petrolul were a superior team in first part of the season as they already beat Concordia twice this season but considering the changes that happened in the winter break and both team results in first three games since league restarted it looks like Concordia is an improved team. However, this will not stop me and I'll keep backing Petrolul, just like I did in first part of the season when I had bets on Petrolul +0.25 in away game and Petrolul -0.75 in the Cup. In the three games they've played so far Concordia have 2 wins and 1 defeat, that's not something really impressive if you don't know the teams they have beaten, both Rapid and Otelul went to Chiajna and got beaten while losing their away game 0-4 to Vaslui. Those were two big wins, still I will not jumping on them just because of that, I'll probably give Concordia a go when they are back home in the following two games. Petrolul have had three tough contests too, they didn't manage to take any big results but they could have won last game against U Cluj when they had 2-1 with only a few minutes to go. They're home again hosting a team they're in direct battle with in relegation, six pointer match, stadium will be open for everyone for first time since the Steaua incident. I agree that if someone would look at each team last results they would lean towards Concordia +0.5 as they recently beat Rapid and Otelul while Petroul haven't won since matchday 15. Going against form here, I can look stupid or smart after this ends, but I consider home advantage can be decisive in a game with such importance, especially that the stadium is open to all Petrolul fans and the support that team will receive is bigger. Time for a Petrolul win and they keep fighting for a place of first football division next season.

[betscorer-blog]

Ceahlaul vs. Vaslui

I've considered Vaslui as one of my possible bets this round since the odds were released, no big action regarding odds movement so I'm good to give it a try. Wanted to see first how Vaslui does in the Cup game against Otelul and I make my final decision, it happened they won in a thrilling 3-2 win, they have had a 2-0 lead in the second half and things seemed to be clear in what regards the team going to next round but Otelul fought back to make the game level in only two minutes, Vaslui's new guy N'Doye scored the winning goal and that was the history of a really nice game to watch, we've had many goals, quick tempo at times, a much different game to ones they've played over the last few years when most of the games were very tight and low scoring. The key player in that win was Lucian Sanmartean, who is one of best players currently playing in Romania Liga 1 and by far best Romanian player in the league. He hasn't had any goal on the scoresheet but provided three assists in something I call it classy performance. Feeling better on their travels, at least they have won more points away than home. My expectations about Ceahlaul were different at the start of the season when I tried to anticipate how this team will do. They work well as an unit, defense is not bad but they don't have too much to offer when it comes to scoring goals. If they could've/would've scored a few more they would feel safer now being ranked a few places up in the table. I feel that the way they will aproach this game could be killing fact for them, and I mean that if they are going to stay back and try to hit on counters - given the fact they play a big team of the league, will not be any good. Vaslui is dangerous team when they have ball possesion because quality of players they do have is really impressive, Vaslui do have individualities that could make the difference at any time of the game, I'm afraid at this point Ceahlaul will need a perfect defensive display to stay unbeaten. I really like Vaslui here, they are doing a great start of the year with 100% percent after three matches, they have confidence, ability, momentum on their side that justifies a bet on them. Also, I love the new coach mentality which seems to fit very well to players ability, he wants offensive football from his team and this is something Vaslui can do.

[betscorer-blog]

Astra Ploiesti vs. Petrolul Ploiesti

Astra with Sumudica on bench as coach had an incredible run of ten matches without loss but then lost the following two, in Cup against Saturday opponent Petrolul and 2-3 away at Rapid in last round. M. Sumudica is no longer Astra coach. Cup match result was a surprise, I tought Astra would advance after they eliminated CFR Cluj one leg before and seemed like they want a long run. Rapid had a really great game and scored two in first 15 minutes and had one of their best performances overall this season. They've created chances like never before. Astra tried comeback and fought back with 2-2 on the scoreline few minutes before half time but Rapid scored winning goal in the very late moments of the half.

It was ugly to see Petrolul vs. Steaua match suspended, after those incindents they lost 0-3 the match and will play without supporters their following six home matches. Before half time Petrolul were two goals down and didn't show too much in first half, it was Steaua at control of the game. So, they are coming after a bad performance and with a lower morale I think, they had a three match run without loss. No important injuries reported at Petrolul. 

Home side has unavailable players. They will miss a couple good players, but will be a strong line-up tomorrow. T. Selymes is their new coach, again. He coached Astra in first two rounds of the season which the team lost without even scoring a goal. That doesn't sound great, also considering his recent performance at Targu Mures. At least, he's got a much better squad at Astra and will be looking forward to prove that he didn't deserve to be departed at the start of the season after only two rounds.

Astra vs. Petrolul 0-1. That was the score about three weeks ago in the Cup. I said lines above, it was big surprise. I don't expect another win of Petrolul, to be honest. As quality, team-work, they are not at the same level with Astra. Home side must not do the same mistakes they did in their previous h2h match. It would get bad to loose, being a better team, twice in less than one month to a new promoted side, and against city rivals.

1.855 is high in my opinion. Much higher than I tought. Based on my team rating, I would price Astra around 1.70 to win this one.