#RedBridge and @Accent_Research latest commissioned Federal Key Seats track.
The biggest collapse I have seen in all my years of producing and consuming political polling, especially in Victoria and it’s not good news for the Coalition.
In 20 key seats (see link in thread), Labor’s two-party-preferred vote now sits at 54.5%. These seats are likely to decide who forms government after May 3rd. Key takeouts: •The generational divide is stark. This is why we don’t lump Gen X in with Boomers as their political behaviours are fundamentally different. As for Gen Z - wow….
•Since our first wave in late February, the Coalition’s primary vote has collapsed by 11% in Victoria and 9% nationally. •That lost vote hasn’t all flowed to Labor. But the scatter of preferences across the field is proving highly decisive. *Attached graph combines wave 3 and 4.