Jan 13
A research-informed, interpretive look at one of modern intelligence’s deepest blind spots Nearly every major revolution of the twentieth an
#Intelligence#IntelligenceAnalysis#IntelligenceFailure#StrategicSurprise#PredictingRevolutions#Revolutions#RegimeChange#RegimeCollapse#PoliticalChange#PoliticalUnrest#StateLegitimacy#Legitimacy#CognitiveBiases#DecisionMaking#NormalcyBias#StatusQuoBias#ConfirmationBias#PoliticalPsychology#ComparativePolitics#InternationalRelations#NationalSecurity#CriticalJunctures#CumulativeSurprise#RobertJervis#RichardBetts#DanielKahneman#AmosTversky#MaxWeber#FionaAdamson