Jul 30, 2025
Only 25% of meals sold by restaurants are consumed on premises. The remaining 75% are delivery orders, see chart below...
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Only 25% of meals sold by restaurants are consumed on premises. The remaining 75% are delivery orders, see chart below...
Even if Stocks Headed Higher, Investors Warned to Sell Rallies
The worst January for US stocks in Wall Street history has analysts arguing about what the cause may be. From China to oil to general sluggishness, there seems to be no agreement on the horizon.
CNBC for its part quoted Deutsche Bank’s Chief International Economist, Torsten Slok, as saying that if China was to be blamed for the woes in the United States equity market, then the same yard stick was applicable to the Eurozone and Japan. He pointed out that both the regions have a strong trade relationships just like the US. Slok further said that the manufacturing sectors in Japan and Europe were performing much better than their peers in the United States. According to him, it is dollar strength that is dragging the US economy down.
He also pointed out that even as the dollar was trending higher in the last couple of years, the Euro has moved sideways since March of last year. The dollar might only continue to gain strength against emerging market currencies.
Risks Loom Large
Following the reports of a slowdown in China, investment managers are advising their clients to pare back risk in their investments. Also, two European investment bankes, Societe Generale SA (OTCMKTS:SCGLY) and the Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC (NYSE:RBS) expect the equity market in America to face further downside. Both are warning that the oil price may trade below $20 with a possible 75% rout in stocks. Aside from these two, J.P. Morgan’s investment manager has reportedly advised clients to sell on rallies rather than buy on dips.
This could mean that even if there is going to be a rally in the market, the associated gains could be capped by consistent selling on any significant rally.
Even if Stocks Headed Higher, Investors Warned to Sell Rallies was originally published on Market Exclusive
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This Is Not A Low-Wage Recovery — It's A Medium-To-Low-Wage Recovery
Nashshunal Employment Law Projeck Whut is t'rue state o'wage-growth n' Amurka? Un Mundie, we postid a chart frum Deutsche Bank’s Terste Slok showyun' at bof high an' mid-wage job growth have vastlee out-pacet loe-wage growth. A lil lat'r, we gut un email frum a reed'r askin why...
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We're Witnessing Some Really Great Improvements In The US Job Market
Terste Slok/Deutsche BankThe US ekunomy mite finallee be gittin itself togeth'r. Six yeers aft'r t'finanshul crisis, net job growth is solidlee above 200,000 p'r month, t'unemployment rate is down beloe 6%, an' wage growth is finallee startin ta shoe up. Earli'r today, Deutsche Bank’s...
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Is That... Wage Growth?!?!
The latest employment cost index report came out from the Bureau of Labor Statistics this morning. Overall compensation increased by increased by 0.7% in Q3, and wages increased by 0.8%. Year-over-year, compensation is up 2.2%, with wages up 2.1%. This looks like the wage growth that everyone has been looking for after signs the labor market is tightening up. “The acceleration in wages is not really a surprise given how tight the labor market is, see also all the work we have done on this topic in recent months,” Deustche Bank’s Torsten Slok said. “The wage acceleration we are seeing tells us that the NAIRU in the US economy is around 5.9%. Fixed income investors should be paying attention to the rising trend in wages because the FOMC will not be ignoring it. In other words, it is time to protect your portfolio against higher rates.” Deutsche Bank
SEE ALSO: EMPLOYMENT COSTS JUMP
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