Gold Futures Set To Trade Cautiously Next Week Amid Rising US Yields, West Asia Tensions http://dlvr.it/TSh8x6
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Gold Futures Set To Trade Cautiously Next Week Amid Rising US Yields, West Asia Tensions http://dlvr.it/TSh8x6
📉 Markets in Motion Stocks have plunged from record highs as Treasury yields surge, shaking investor confidence. 💰 What does this mean for your money today? Rising yields can pressure stocks, lift borrowing costs, and ripple through everyday finances — from mortgages to savings accounts.
Stay diversified, stay informed. 👇🙏
Breaking: Equities retreat sharply from record highs as Treasury yields surge amid fresh inflation concerns. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces
Stocks Ride the “Bliss Trade” as Bonds Signal Inflation Risk
### Why Investors Are Betting on Fiscal Muscle While Bonds Cry Inflation Equities have surged even as Treasury yields have climbed sharply, exposing a growing split between the stock and bond markets. The phenomenon, dubbed the “bliss trade” by former IMF chief economist Gita Gopinath, rests on the belief that expansive fiscal policy can absorb geopolitical and macro‑economic shocks, allowing investors to stay bullish on stocks despite higher inflation expectations baked into bond prices. **Key Takeaways** - **“Bliss trade” definition** – A strategy that assumes robust government spending can offset external risks, sustaining equity gains while bond yields rise. - **Fiscal firepower** – Gopinath argues that proactive fiscal stimulus can neutralize geopolitical turbulence, keeping corporate earnings on an upward trajectory. - **Equity‑bond divergence** – Markets are witnessing a pronounced split: S&P 500‑type indices climb, whereas Treasury yields spike, reflecting lingering inflation concerns. - **Inflation pricing** – Bond markets are pricing in higher inflation, yet the perceived safety net of fiscal support diminishes the impact on equity valuations. - **Policy implications** – Continued fiscal activism may become a cornerstone of market dynamics, pressuring central banks to navigate a delicate balance between tightening and supporting growth. - **Risk considerations** – Overreliance on fiscal buffers could mask underlying macro‑economic weaknesses, potentially leading to sharper corrections if policy support wanes. #BlissTrade #Equities #TreasuryYields #FiscalPolicy #InflationRisk #BondMarkets #StockMarket #IMF #Geopolitics #MonetaryPolicy #newsababil360.. [Read Full Article](https://news.ababil360.com/stocks-ride-the-bliss-trade-as-bonds-signal-inflation-risk/)
‘Sell America’ Is Back as Moody’s Pushes 30-Year Yield to 5% | Morning Check-In
https://rumble.com/v6tl1z5-sell-america-is-back-as-moodys-pushes-30-year-yield-to-5-morning-check-in.html
Moody’s just downgraded the US. What’s next for your money, savings, and future? Discover the truth behind the headlines in this explosive livestream.
10-Year Treasury Yield Dips Amid Rising Consumer Inflation Fears
The 10-year Treasury yield edged slightly lower on Friday as investor concerns about rising consumer inflation weighed on the bond market.
The benchmark 10-year yield dropped 1.2 basis points to 4.445%, while the 2-year yield increased by 2.6 basis points to 3.999%. The decline followed a discouraging consumer sentiment report from the University of Michigan, which showed a drop to 50.8 in May, the second-lowest reading on record.
The survey revealed heightened inflation expectations, with consumers predicting a 7.3% price increase over the next year, up from 6.5% in April. Longer-term inflation expectations also rose slightly to 4.6% from 4.4%.
Despite a temporary 90-day pause on U.S.-China tariffs announced earlier this week, ongoing concerns about rising costs continue to weigh on businesses and consumers.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell cautioned on Thursday that long-term interest rates could remain elevated due to frequent economic policy shifts and persistent supply chain shocks. “We may be entering a period of more frequent and potentially more persistent supply shocks,” Powell said during remarks at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference in Washington, D.C.
WMT, ULTA, and Treasury Yields - InvestTalk Caller Questions
This InvestTalk caller Q&A segment explores a wide variety of investment topics, including stock evaluations for companies such as PayPal (PYPL), International Seaways (INSW), Walmart (WMT), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), Chevron (CVX), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), and Zebra Technologies (ZBRA). It also delves into broader financial discussions, covering issues like stagflation, key benchmark indicators, the Vanguard Total International Stock ETF (VXUS), and Registered Index-Linked Annuities.
Treasury Yields Climb as Investors Await Economic Signals
U.S. Treasury yields climbed on Tuesday following the Presidents Day holiday, as investors braced for the release of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes and assessed a sharp sell-off in European bonds.
The 10-year Treasury yield rose by 8 basis points to 4.556%, while the 2-year Treasury yield increased by more than 4 basis points to 4.308%. (One basis point equals 0.01%, and bond yields move inversely to prices.)
Impact of European Bond Sell-Off
The rise in U.S. yields followed significant increases in European bond yields on Monday, driven by expectations that governments across Europe will boost defense spending. The surge in European yields influenced U.S. Treasurys, contributing to their upward movement.
Treasury Yield Overview
TreasuryYieldChange1-Month4.321%03-Month4.307%06-Month4.338%-0.0031-Year4.168%+0.0112-Year4.200%+0.00810-Year4.431%+0.01130-Year4.680%+0.011
Fed Policy and Interest Rate Expectations
Investors are closely watching Wednesday’s release of the FOMC meeting minutes for insights into how long the Federal Reserve intends to maintain its current interest rate stance.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has repeatedly stressed that the central bank is in no hurry to cut rates. CME Group data shows that markets expect only one or two quarter-point rate cuts by the end of 2025. Additionally, there is a 98% probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at its March meeting.
Stock Market Performance and Economic Data
Before the holiday weekend, Wall Street’s major indexes posted a week of gains. The rally was fueled in part by President Donald Trump’s proposal for reciprocal tariffs on countries that impose levies on U.S. goods, which eased investor concerns over stricter trade policies.
Market sentiment also steadied after the release of key inflation reports last week, including the January Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI). Both reports suggested that rate cuts may not come until the second half of the year, reinforcing the Fed’s cautious stance on monetary policy.
Treasury Yields Skyrocket: Is the Fed's Rate Cut Party Over?
The surprise increase in Treasury yields suggests a shift in market expectations for future interest rate decreases.