Nov 2, 2020
I made this for myself and maybe other people might find it helpful? Basically it’s to help me figure out which battleground states are most likely to have solid results coming in election night, by cross-referencing when they start counting, with how many early votes already in.
Forecasted vote share from 538, possibility of election night results from this 538 post, and % early votes (relative to 2016 numbers) from the NYT Early Vote Tracker. All data as of 10pm Nov 1.