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Dogecoin: Will It Break $1?

Will it break above $1?. That’s the question millions of crypto watchers are asking now. Dogecoin may be on your watch list, too. After all, its 9000%+ rally year-to-date is no longer “funny.” What started as a joke is now very serious. Before you jump in, see what Elliott Wave International’s Crypto Pro Service editor says the Elliott waves are predicting for this crypto. FREE, watch on…

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Lopsided Stock Market Ratio Sending Clear Bear Signal!

For a stock market investor who understands that markets are not random or chaotic but instead patterned, the most important information to know is the price pattern of the market in question. For an Elliott wave investor, the task is even more defined. As Frost & Prechter’s Wall Street classic book, Elliott Wave Principle, says: The market’s progression unfolds in waves. Waves are patterns of…

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Why Next Wave of Margin Calls Will Be FAR More Disruptive Than in 2000 or 2007!

Financial history shows that every bear market has been followed by a bull market and vice versa. So, the current bull market will end sooner or later. The prior two bull market tops occurred in the years 2007 and 2000. One of the characteristics of each of those tops was investors’ ramped up use of margin. In other words, market participants were borrowing heavily to buy stocks. This can work…

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Gold Tests Resistance Again. Will The Sixth Time Be The Charm?

Here we go again. After a couple of big trading sessions, gold – for the d.

It looks like fundamentals, including the Fed’s capitulation to choppy stock markets and trade-war related economic uncertainties, are trumping gold’s usual seasonality (strong in spring, weak in summer) at the moment. And those issues aren’t abating: Recent headlines paint a picture of an increasingly scary world:

Beij…

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Near-Record Gold Shorting!

Gold has failed to gain traction over the past couple months, normally a seasonally-strong time. That has really weighed on sentiment, leaving traders increasingly bearish. Gold investment demand has flagged dramatically with lofty stock markets spewing great euphoria. That’s given gold-futures speculators the run of the market, where they have sold aggressively including extreme shorting. …

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Beware the Young Bear!

Stock markets are forever cyclical, an endless series of alternating bulls and bears. And after one of the greatest bulls in US history, odds are a young bear is now gathering steam. It is being fueled by record Fed tightening, bubble valuations, trade wars, and mounting political turmoil. Bears are dangerous events driving catastrophic losses for buy-and-hold investors. Different strategies…

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The Biggest Threat To The Market | Loss Of Confidence

Yesterday, saw a record surge in the markets.

Such was not surprising given the extreme oversold condition in the market. More importantly, throughout market history, the biggest bull rallies have occurred during bear markets.

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Matt Thompson, CFA@dynamicvol

$SPX +5% or greater days since 2000. Big picture, bulls DON’T want to see this

346 8:03 AM – Dec…

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Technically Speaking: The Difference Between A Bull & Bear Market

Wall Street loves to label stuff. When markets are rising it’s a “bull market.” Conversely, falling prices are a “bear market.”

Interestingly, while there are some “rules of thumb” for falling prices such as:

A “correction” is defined as a decline of more than 10% in the market.

A “bear market” is a decline of more than 20%.

There are no such definitions for rising prices.

Simply, rising prices…

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Technically Speaking | Major Markets Are All Flashing Warning Signs

In this past weekend’s newsletter, I touched on the outcome of the mid-term elections and why it would likely not be as optimistic as the mainstream media was portraying it to be. To wit:

“It is likely little will get done as the desire to engage in conflict and positioning between parties will obliterate any chance for potential bipartisan agenda items such as infrastructure spending.

So,…

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Gold Stocks Winter Rally 3

The gold miners’ stocks suffered a rough late summer this year. A rare forced capitulation walloped them to deep new lows, short-circuiting their usual autumn rally. That’s left this sector anomalously low as the subsequent winter rally gets underway, gold stocks’ strongest seasonal surge of the year. Starting from beaten-down levels after skipping the prior seasonal rally gives gold stocks…

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Is the Stock Market Cheap?

Here is the latest update of a popular market valuation method using the most recent Standard & Poor’s “as reported” earnings and earnings estimates and the index monthly average of daily closes for the past month. For the earnings, see the table below created from Standard & Poor’s latest earnings spreadsheet.

TTM P/E ratio = 20.6

P/E10 ratio = 31.1

The Valuation Thesis

A standard way to…

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Will the Fed’s Rate Hikes Choke the Stock Market Rally?

Investing is hard. You, like many others, probably watch financial TV networks, read analysis, listen to talk shows and talk to fellow investors, trying to understand what’s next.

One popular stock market “indicator” is interest rates. Analysts parse every word from the Fed, hoping they hear a clue about interest rates. They assume that falling rates means higher stock prices, while risingrates…

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Gold-Stock Sentiment Shifting

The gold miners’ stocks have been largely ignored and neglected for years. Speculators and investors wanted little to do with them for various reasons. But that apathetic sentiment is finally starting to shift thanks to last week’s stock-market plunge. Capital is starting to return to this battered sector as traders begin to realize how radically undervalued it is. Sentiment mean reversions…

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Is The Long-Anticipated Crash Now Upon Us?

I admit: I’m a permabear.

This is no surprise to those who know and have followed me over the years. But I’m publicly proclaiming my ‘bearishness’ because doing so might open up a needed and long overdue dialog.

Here’s my fundamental position: Infinite growth on a finite planet is impossible.

Cutting to the chase, this is why I predict a major crash/collapse across stocks, bonds and real estate…

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For the past few years, homeowners just about everywhere have been able to finesse life’s problems by thinking “at least my house is going up.” This home equity accretion allowed them to buy stuff on credit, safe in the knowledge that even as they maxed out yet another credit card their net worth continued to …

#john rubino

Here Comes The Housing Bust 'Reverse Wealth Effect' | Australia Edition

Here Comes The Housing Bust ‘Reverse Wealth Effect’ | Australia Edition

For the past few years, homeowners just about everywhere have been able to finesse life’s problems by thinking “at least my house is going up.” This home equity accretion allowed them to buy stuff on credit, safe in the knowledge that even as they maxed out yet another credit card their net worth continued to rise. They felt smart and confident, in other words, and so continued to behave in…

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Ripple (XRP) Makes Huge Waves: Did You See Them Coming?

Ripple (XRP) Makes Huge Waves: Did You See Them Coming? By Elliott Wave International

7 Days of Free Forecasts 11 Top FX Markets + Bitcoin, Ethereum & Litecoin Forex FreeWeek | October 3-10, 2018

You’ve just seen how Elliott Wave analysis can help you anticipate even the fastest-moving turns in trend. So: if you want analysis for where EURUSD, USDJPY and Bitcoin and other cryptos are headed…

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