Muchata, Kiambu

titsay
Sweet Seals For You, Always
EXPECTATIONS

❣ Chile in a Photography ❣

No title available
Noah Kahan
🩵 avery cochrane 🩵

Kiana Khansmith
Mike Driver
trying on a metaphor
Misplaced Lens Cap
macklin celebrini has autism
No title available
he wasn't even looking at me and he found me
Xuebing Du

roma★

★

gracie abrams
No title available
𓃗

seen from United Kingdom

seen from T1
seen from United States
seen from United Kingdom

seen from United States

seen from United States

seen from Pakistan
seen from United States

seen from Türkiye
seen from United Kingdom

seen from United States
seen from Russia
seen from Malaysia
seen from Germany
seen from Australia

seen from United States
seen from Canada
seen from United States

seen from United States
seen from T1
@mustbicycle
Muchata, Kiambu
Limuru Road near Gertrude's Garden
Parklands Police station blues
Building a market for performing artists in Kenya.
Photo: Jamiekairu(at)gmail.com, artist: Fox Elijah
When it comes to public events - it is always about people. This makes things extraordinarily complicated to understand.
Yes you can lead a horse to water, but will it drink? Why will people come to an event even if they know about it and it’s location? Even if their friends are going?
There are too many variables to consider, but one thing I do know to be true is:
Bringing people to an event is much more difficult than bringing an event to where people already are.
This was the major assumption we tested in the last quarter of 2014 and now forms the basis of our business model. We believe that it is far more effective to provide performing artists to existing events rather than trying to create events for them. What we want to do is to establish a new online service that enables people to book performing artists for their events. We want to go a step further and make it easy and cheap for people to create their own events.
Pivot.
For MapJam, post-PivotEAST pullout (July 2014) I made an important decision - FIND A SPECIFIC CUSTOMER. Yes, one can conceive of mass market applicability - but how can one achieve product-market fit within a mass market without testing anything on a specific customer segment?
Zahid Mitha was our assigned mentor for the PivotEast session and he asked us this one thing repeatedly - who is your customer? - Break it down to the most specific segment(s) possible.
I answered him with: artists looking for gigs/jobs.
If artists can pay us to get them gigs we can get paid by venues to bring them artists and patrons.
In September I gathered together a motley crew to test these assumptions in the market. We quit our jobs and we hit the streets. For the next 4 months we tested these two assumptions that both artists and venues would pay us to connect them.
The good:
We have attracted 56 venues in Kenya to use MapJam to advertise 300 + events on MapJam.
100+ artists are registered with us, & 78% of them are willing to pay us a monthly subscription.
We have secured 45% of them a paid gig.
We have been paid in advance by event organizers on 10 occasions to program entertainment for them.
In Nov' 2014 Native Instruments (Germany) sponsored 4 micro-festivals in Nairobi we organized.
We have pioneered the concept of the micro-festival in Kenya whereby pop-up food & beverage sellers pay us to serve small concerts outside of Nairobi.
The bad:
There is not an existing market for performing artists in Kenya. It has to be built.
Venues and event organizers are willing to hire artists but more than often not, not able to pay artists at all.
Venues are usually not willing to pay any money in advance to artists or to us, even with a contracted guarantee.
There is not a private mechanism to support the livelihoods of musicians in Kenya. The performing artist music scene is propped-up by public funding with the exception of the most sought after acts (30 to 50 acts), by which I mean people making a living from performing music.
How do we know this is a problem with solving?
People, public venues (bars) and events (festivals) are paying us, a little, to solve it for them.
How do we know this is a viable market?
Currently it is not a viable market! The acquisition cost of getting gigs for performing artists is far higher than the rates of return from the subscription they are willing to pay us (1000/- per month). I define acquisition cost to be efforts to get an artist signed-up on our platform and then everything it takes from there to secure a gig and make a gig happen. The following is a minimal necessary list of things that need to be coordinated:
FANS; SOUND; LIGHTING; STAGE MANAGEMENT; MUSICAL EQUIPMENT.
The picture does not look favorable even when taking a 10 to 25% commission on booking multiple artists. What we have found is that an online marketplace cannot be built on the existing market.
Assuming we organize +2 events more each month this is what the revenues from events and artist subscriptions and expenses incurred from organizing events look like. There is a clear margin of revenue but is it enough to cover the increasing costs, not shown on this chart, to any operator of organizing an increasing number of events? If it is I would hypothesize that the margin would be very tight which is why I believe that the profits to be made in the events industry in Kenya comes from the sometimes vast margins that can be made from event production depending on the client.
It does not make sense to bear these costs in an increasingly competitive market. I predict that profit margins are getting smaller as more players enter the events market and as consumers are getting smarter.
For these reasons performing artists will continue to be marginalized wherever possible by the events and entertainment industries. Performing thus artists cannot rely on the successes of the events industry in itself.
The Lean Way Through.
The smart approach is to vastly increase the market for performing arts latching the events industry unto this market.
Why?
There needs to be a virtuous circle of increasing gains rather than a market of diminishing returns. Costs need to reduce and simultaneously sales volumes of event services increase significantly. If such a market place can be developed it will create a slowly rising wage floor for professional performing artists that will enable thousands and even tens of thousands of them to make a living from their creativity.
How?
An online marketplace platform is required.
It has come down to a solving the problem of how someone putting on an event can organize it [quickly, effectively and at a a short notice, or in advance]; and at the same time seek guarantee from service providers for an event.
In other words how can I organize an event confidently and quickly? Like "how can I get a taxi confidently and quickly?" kinda problem.
Basically, the events market must be expanded to be accessible to internet users in Kenya who will pay through MPESA.
We at MapJam want to develop this online marketplace.
MapJam can bring a virtuous-circle of increasing gains to the local area in which our web-plaform market place is activated.
MapJam solves the problem of how to organize events at a a short notice, or in advance; and seek guarantees from service providers. MapJam allows you to organise all the components of a party/event/gig anywhere & at anytime, including the people part. MapJam solves the problem of how to find an artist, and establish the terms you are comfortable with. MapJam assists in finding the indispensable equipment and service providers you need for your event, and seeks guarantees from them, even in an emergency.
We want to expand on our success and rapidly develop a beta product that will open up the event service provider + entertainment market to the private individual & event organiser in Kenya. The beta product of MapJam will make it easy for anyone to access the service provider & entertainment market all over Kenya.
PivotEast 2014 statement: the importance of product-market fit
MapJam pulled out of the PivotEast competition as one of the finalists in the entertainment category at the last minute.
Why?
In a sentence: too big, no defined market!
Going in to the competition we had defined ourselves as the killer app for small merchants across Kenya. A means for the mass market of consumers to locate the nearest small merchant/enterprise: tailor, butcher, liqour seller, khat seller, DVD seller....etc. Despite this we were lumped in the entertainment category!
Photo credits: Jamie.Kairu(at)gmail.com
At the outset we are told the most important criteria for the competition is traction. Well then it can't really be a competition can it? How are you going to gear your company into gaining market traction within 30 days? Well we really tried to do such a thing and participate in the competition. In the process we learned a valuable lesson.
My criticism of the competition is that there is not nearly enough focus on market. Because it is a competition it is heavily weighted on team and product and for most of the month it felt like a public speaking competition more than anything else. Talking with other finalists it seemed like there was overwhelming pressure on the delivery of the pitch. Because I was not seething with passion I was getting questions like "did you actually build this product?" from the administrators. Having a great pitch is awesome but it is not the be all end all moment for startups like you are made to believe it is participating in PivotEast. Getting the investor's attention is one thing, having a viable startup that will gain investment is another thing entirely. Investors ultimately don't care about team and product. Don't take my word for it please read Mark Andreesen's seminal post on product-market fit.
I think the whole thing is geared wrong and misleading to startups. Really what it is about is winning the prize money, it's not about investment or gearing your company up for investment.
Yes there are some great sessions hosted at the iHub for instance on customer development related to product-market fit from Sinapsis. It seems to me that these competitions ought to be effective and not just hype machines. They ought to involve direct integration with companies in the business of financial advisory and investor support such as Open Capital Advisors, who presented a session on investment during the PivotEast sessions.
In the silicon savannah of Nairobi the pervasive mentality is still 'build it and they will come' not build a "sustainable business model." NGO + aid has built this into the tech hubs in Nairobi, like mLab, they themselves being recipients of public and charitable funds. They need to seem pertinent to the market, therefore there is alot going on the surface but just like any other NGO in Kenya the incentive is not based on market forces and therefore there is little market impact but a lot of hype.
There is one massive question that is not addressed by any of these innovation challenges and startup competitions and that is: "How are you meant to understand the market potential of what you are building?" What is the potential size of what you are building? To Quote Andreesen again: "The size of a startup's market is the the number, and growth rate, of those customers or users for that product."
The answer seems to repeatedly be - build something super specific for a super specific market segment. Great, but too simple and dangerous. This course of action can easily lead you down to startup failure. Going back to Mr. Andreesen, what about the size of that market? If you can corner a specific market segment, but can't scale from there then you are doomed.
In my opinion too many people, GREMLIN, included have been building products without thinking about the market. Just because they work well and do some new innovative things doesn't mean shit. How big is your potential market?
We are finalists in the entertainment category of East Africa's most watched mobile apps competition and developer conference - PivotEast 2014!
MapJam, our new launch & setting the record straight.
Wow. Weird to be doing this on April Fool's day but this is no joke for us. Well, a few days ago we launched our revamped version of MapJam.co.ke. We have opened up the site to all businesses whilst maintaining all the features that were available to artists and event organizers that were implemented since the outset. Our goal has simply become much bigger: we want to make it super easy for anyone to do business/perform/sell and super easy for customers to find/buy/enjoy.
In January this year I visited San Francisco where I had the pleasure of meeting Chris Russell by chance at the famous Creamery cafe. Chris has helped us immensely since then with a full scale assessment of our offering and the preliminary results are what you can see today - our goal defined by Chris as "Announce;" Discover;" and "Find." Chris also helped us structure all the users flows of the site so that one can now create a public announcement for an event in around 30 seconds to a minute.
We are all super excited here in Nairobi as to where this ship will take us next? We are about to test a hypothesis. This hypothesis is that small businesses and merchants will pay a small fee to register their business on MapJam, whereafter they may then manage their information and post events. Why do we think they would they do this when they can do this for free elsewhere? Simply because our tech rules. We have built a system that needed to be built. A working spatial search engine that returns tangible real-world results. We believe that businesses registered with MapJam will increase customer flows by around 25% just by being actively searchable. By regularly posting events the potential customer reach to the public could bring exponential customer flows depending on what the businesses is doing (i.e. seriously discounting inventory).
Since February we have been affiliated with the @iBiz Africa Incubator at Strathmore University. We received excited reaction from the board of directors @iBiz for the potential of MapJam as a mass market tool. I think they are excited mainly because we are yet to have something for the 'Wainanchi' i.e. the 10 million + people who make up the informal sector. As I have written before it is likely that a significant proportion of this market use mobile payments. So here is the most important thing - it is possible for all these people to transact business through mobile money but the key aspect that is missing in their businesses is the ability of customers to actually locate these small businesses and merchants and to see what they are selling! This is the market gap MapJam intends to fill and yes we are raising funding so that we accomplish this swiftly and effectively.
Somewhat coincident with my travels to San Francisco was the launch of MapJam.com, a company completely unaffiliated with me or MapJam, yet starkly similar in their offering. The heart of what we provide is a location mapping and sharing service, which at the moment appears to be this websites offering. MapJam.com has just launched as an active site with domain name as of around January 31st 2014. MapJam.co.ke has been active a location sharing service since July 2013. This is affirming to me that we actually have a good idea worth replicating, I mean it answers the question of "why not just use Google?" MapJam.com are building a whole service around sharing locations, Google is inadequate as an end to end service for location sharing and spatial analytics. This isn't my idea, this is the general idea of FOSS GIS and such GIS services being proliferated on the web. Google isn't going to feasibly be able to offer custom GIS solutions for markets and industries when small companies can leverage FOSS web GIS to manipulate information flows with greater flexibility and expedience than the general google UI.
MapJam.com we wish you glad tidings and good luck!
Coincident to my travels to San Francisco in December/January '14, 36% of our traffic was from San Fran' and the Bay Area!
If you are interested in what MapJam is doing we would invite you to follow us on:
linked in
angel.co
Back on the road!
AT&T sucks for U.S. expats
So this is my second contract with AT&T. Can I unlock my phone? No, not until I pay the for the phone completely. Can I suspend my account so that I don't have to pay monthly charges? No, not for 6 months. Boy do I feel like a dumbass. Should have just bought an unlocked phone got a $50 T-mobile sim-card. Now I will be buying the equivalent of 2 phones before being able to even use my phone! Will this information even go up to the policy makers? No- all I get is some bullshit I understand your concern. Bullshit you understand my concern. How many expats are there 1 million? That is a good bulk of customers for you to ignore you ignorant swine.
Valuating the market potential for SoMoLo in Kenya.
What is the market potential for a SoMoLo that would actually tangibly engage with the offline world of Kenya it lives in?
Kenya Mobile Statistics (Population: 44,037,656 July 2013 estimate) 30,429,351 mobile subscribers 16,236,583 (41%) Internet users
Let's consider JUST the "informal segment" of the economy. We want to estimate a subset of these people who use mobile phones to access the internet and would pay for advertising of their business on the web.
44.04 : 30.43 ratio of total pop. to mobile users = 6,909,627 people
41% of 6,909,627 people = 2,832,947 people
10% of 2,832,947 people = 283,294 people in informal sector willing to spend on web advertising.
500/- average amount informal sector willing to spend on web advertising.
Annual revenue of web platform like MapJam ~ 141,647,366 /- or ~ $1,666,439.
Why no SoMoLo in Africa yet?
"SoMoLo" = Social, Local and Mobile. These are megatrends in the U.S. and Europe that are yet to catch traction in Africa despite gobs of money being pumped into web tech to develop this market.
As addressed in my previous post there is no effective web content platform to provide customers information about the millions of individuals and business using mobile payments (MPESA averages $1.67 billion in transactions/month) in Kenya.
Why? Why no adoption of Foursquare? Why no Yelp!? Groupon? What about Facebook and Twitter? What about GOOGLE?????
I'm not going to address the local attempts at bridging the SoMoLo gap in this post because I want to address the non-adoption and dearth of information on the platforms mentioned in the paragraph above. In short, user needs are desperately under-served.
Why are outcomes under-served? In Kenya people do not use Foursquare because a majority of consumer business is not conducted in formal business settings that people can 'check-in' into via the foursquare venue database. Whereas there are a fair number of businesses registered on the platform, people do not visit them with the frequency that would warrant the establishment of rewards for repeat business.
I think the major reason why Kenyans have not adopted any of these services is because none of them give coverage to the businesses a significant majority of Kenyan's operate (around 10 million according to statistics from KNBS published for the year 2012). The term I know is "informal sector" - a catch all term describing a majority of the business in Kenya, those who do not pay taxes, nor operate in formal practice or premises.
These businesses either do not operate in a fixed location or they operate in a location that may change at any time (or change ownership, type of business, etc.). Most small businesses in Kenya are trying to capture the market in the immediate vicinity and do not posses the means to engage with a wider market at the moment. Google attempts to address this through it's commendable outreach Kenyan Businesses Online www.kbo.co.ke that provides free domain names and impressive tools for managing business information. Where they failed to close the loop is to provide the local customer base with a means to connect with these businesses because it is only through Google+ that one can adequately search for businesses around them. Unless you already know precisely what you are searching the lack of search tools means that people do not use Google to search for a better idea of what you are looking for - think about the difference between Yelp! and Google here. I think this is the reason that after 3 years there are less than 26000 local listings for Kenya there.
At this point I would like to interject with 2 observations: a majority of these businesses are most likely using MPESA or another USSD mobile payment system, and secondly, they do have an advertising budget in terms of the small amount they pay for the manufacturing and perhaps placement of a sign advertising their services or wares.
source: http://whiteafrican.com/2013/09/03/mobile-money-infographic-for-kenya/
Consider the situation of attempting to locate businesses and related events outside of what is mapped by Yelp! and the otherwise annotated and reviewed realm of things...What if you are a pop-up boutique or flea market type business? If you cannot establish your business/event on such platforms as Google Maps, Foursquare or Yelp! how will customers find you?...Searches of particular events is almost not possible on Facebook, browsing relies solely on text based searches defined by "People, Pages, Groups, Apps, Events." It is difficult to navigate searches for actual businesses/events, and near impossible to browse Twitter for events. Event mapping in Foursquare is only possible with established venues which must be authored by the venue manager. How do you reach outside of your network when notifications of public events do not reach users outside of your network? This is the quandary I see repeated over and over for small enterprises, artists and artisans in Kenya. Their online life is taken up by a struggle to grow their networks without much, if anything to show for it. The transient nature of things means it is not worth the investment of time to establish a social network on the web for these businesses. The fact is that individuals and businesses cannot automatically aggregate information about their events or business in addition to location information and then make it easily indexed for public SoMoLo consumption in Africa. There are many deceptive products out there that seem to do this - Eventmap.us is one of many Facebook event mapping platforms that does map public events on Facebook, however it suffers from the shortcomings of Facebook itself whereby categorized searches of events are not possible nor the searches of particular events. So in other words, useless!
This is where MapJam comes in to fill the SoMoLo void in Africa.
Event Mapping and it's marketization with mobile payments
Mobile payments are completely free to move around in Kenya. Meaning that if I want to pay for something in Kenya I can do it anywhere so long as there is a MPESA account to send it to. However the missing part of this loop is that there is little on the web that can connect me with these account holders in terms of the things or services they are selling. There is not even basic information about what millions of mobile merchants (23 million MPESA users as of April 2013) sell or do even though they will willingly accept payment for. There are less than 25,000 business listings on Google (through www.kbo.co.ke). Mocality, which shut down in February 2013 had around 170,000 listings.
This is the information gap that our web-application MapJam is addressing*
Our goal is to deliver a tool that allows users to manage events for free. That means that businesses can manage a whole range of information including locational and temporal; and potentially even manage mobile purchasing through a single smart phone application or browser.
The greater impact comes to users because of the relevant and practical information that will become available to the communities/networks of users. A SoMoLo platform that connects customers with the majority of millions of businesses around them as opposed to the a few large businesses who are able to afford a large, persistent network on Facebook, Twitter and Google. Even greater potential for the marketing of event mapping comes from integrating information from other existing local web-applications, for instance the early successes of: EatOut, SleepOut and BuyRentKenya ventures. Our long term goal would be to compete with the Factual location platform as an geographic SoMoLo information service provider for Africa.
*my tech firm GREMLIN
update
haha annual update here,
Well after almost 2 years of being here, and riding rather infrequently, I have to declare that Nairobi is a challenging cycling environment to handle.
Cyclists tend to ride right along the edge of the paved roads, avoiding the treacherous side regions (lets just give them a general term, because ‘walk’ or ‘berth’ are terms that apply variably), and also are afraid to take the center of the lane.
Bike lanes and paths are basically absent from the city at this point although it is said they are in the works with the new roads being constructed.
Cycling resources are generally recycled materials or widely available, yet generally sub-standard, parts from mainland China. Availability of sizing and specialization is dismal - for instance 700c rims, hubs, tires, tubes etc…
Yet, despite the challenging environment. in urban areas it there is a big influx of cyclists, riding either the standard super size pheonix/raleigh/”black mamba” or second hand donation imports. There is undoubtedly a growing market in Nairobi, probably just like any urban center - and with increasing infrastructure improvements it may grow faster and wider.
Nairobi could become the best city for cyclists in Africa in short order. There are multiple factors for this which I will discuss as a general topic in future posts - I want to highlight the key factor which I believe to be the cyclists themselves - adapting their behaviour and coallescing around a common cause of safe and rapid transit for the support of improved livelihood.
Bike Route ArcMap Nairobi
View Larger Map
This is the starting point. I grabbed this off the open streets shapefiles available for Kenya. Can only add 1000 features per shapefile into ArcExplorer online so, cyclists we are working from this point to build and edit routes - currently you will note there are no bicycle routes at all, they are either listed as pedestrian or vehicular, that is because I haven't edited anything from OSM yet.
I created these by overlaying satellite imagery of Nairobi (2004) on SRTM* 90 meter converted into a TIN map using ArcScene 10 (Space Shuttle Radar Topography Mission). Thanks Space Shuttle!
*btw if you didn't see the earlier post:
SIGIRIA FOREST MAP - DOWNLOAD HERE!
I have made a proposal to the Friends of Karura (Community Forest Association). F.O.K. wants to know what the viability of promoting mountain biking in the Sigiria Forest segment may be. This would be in terms of both recreation and competition-level sport. I don't yet know what the level of integration is for mountain biking is in terms of competition in Kenya.
This will be a GIS and a ground survey analysis. I am seeking information on what makes a good mountain bike course and any other metrics on trails etc. Please get in contact with me if you can assist with any of the following information:
Feasability study: Use of Bicycles as Means of Transport in Sigiria Forest
Pt. I
Data - Roads & Tracks (GIS) :
· Road & Track distances:
· Accuracy
· C Metadata
Analyses (Remote Sensing and ground surveying):
· Suitability for bicycle driven transport requirements of Management, Rangers, etc
· Suitability for bicycle sport and recreation
· Proposed routes and courses.
Pt. II
Cost/Benefit Analyses Track construction:
· Relative Distances of road & tracks.
· Spatial extents of Road & Track Conditions.
· Sport course considerations.
· Amalgamated Costs (across all spatial dimensions).
· Construction Timeframe.
Equipment:
· Considerations of transit (minimum bicycle requirements).
· Infrastructure and cost matrix of maintenance and construction.
· Training and Safety
· Relative costs.
MAPS AVAILABLE FOR DOWNLOAD