PivotEast 2014 statement: the importance of product-market fit
MapJam pulled out of the PivotEast competition as one of the finalists in the entertainment category at the last minute.
Why?
In a sentence: too big, no defined market!
Going in to the competition we had defined ourselves as the killer app for small merchants across Kenya. A means for the mass market of consumers to locate the nearest small merchant/enterprise: tailor, butcher, liqour seller, khat seller, DVD seller....etc. Despite this we were lumped in the entertainment category!
Photo credits: Jamie.Kairu(at)gmail.com
At the outset we are told the most important criteria for the competition is traction. Well then it can't really be a competition can it? How are you going to gear your company into gaining market traction within 30 days? Well we really tried to do such a thing and participate in the competition. In the process we learned a valuable lesson.
My criticism of the competition is that there is not nearly enough focus on market. Because it is a competition it is heavily weighted on team and product and for most of the month it felt like a public speaking competition more than anything else. Talking with other finalists it seemed like there was overwhelming pressure on the delivery of the pitch. Because I was not seething with passion I was getting questions like "did you actually build this product?" from the administrators. Having a great pitch is awesome but it is not the be all end all moment for startups like you are made to believe it is participating in PivotEast. Getting the investor's attention is one thing, having a viable startup that will gain investment is another thing entirely. Investors ultimately don't care about team and product. Don't take my word for it please read Mark Andreesen's seminal post on product-market fit.
I think the whole thing is geared wrong and misleading to startups. Really what it is about is winning the prize money, it's not about investment or gearing your company up for investment.
Yes there are some great sessions hosted at the iHub for instance on customer development related to product-market fit from Sinapsis. It seems to me that these competitions ought to be effective and not just hype machines. They ought to involve direct integration with companies in the business of financial advisory and investor support such as Open Capital Advisors, who presented a session on investment during the PivotEast sessions.
In the silicon savannah of Nairobi the pervasive mentality is still 'build it and they will come' not build a "sustainable business model." NGO + aid has built this into the tech hubs in Nairobi, like mLab, they themselves being recipients of public and charitable funds. They need to seem pertinent to the market, therefore there is alot going on the surface but just like any other NGO in Kenya the incentive is not based on market forces and therefore there is little market impact but a lot of hype.
There is one massive question that is not addressed by any of these innovation challenges and startup competitions and that is: "How are you meant to understand the market potential of what you are building?" What is the potential size of what you are building? To Quote Andreesen again: "The size of a startup's market is the the number, and growth rate, of those customers or users for that product."
The answer seems to repeatedly be - build something super specific for a super specific market segment. Great, but too simple and dangerous. This course of action can easily lead you down to startup failure. Going back to Mr. Andreesen, what about the size of that market? If you can corner a specific market segment, but can't scale from there then you are doomed.
In my opinion too many people, GREMLIN, included have been building products without thinking about the market. Just because they work well and do some new innovative things doesn't mean shit. How big is your potential market?









