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@nbacouchside
A Vision for the Future
A Vision for the Future
Since starting to write about basketball on the internet a few years ago, I’ve been very fortunate to have some great opportunities to write for a number of websites with a very wide reach. As a result of those opportunities, I was able to intern for the Dallas Mavericks last year in their analytics department and I’ve been able to launch the official podcast for the website on the bleeding edge…
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Kyrie Irving is Overrated
Kyrie Irving is Overrated
Kyrie Irving is a supremely talented basketball player. Anyone with functioning eyeballs and any interest in the game can see that. Irving was rated the second best prospect in his high school draft class. He was the consensus and obvious number one overall selection in the 2011 draft. He deserved those accolades. But with his Cavaliers down 2-0 to the historically world-beating Golden State…
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Up at BlogaBull: Let Jimmy Be Harden
Up at BlogaBull: Let Jimmy Be Harden
Since Derrick Rose has gone out with his newest knee injury, the Bulls have returned to last year’s Joakim Noah centric offense. They should fight against that impulse to rely on the familiar, because this year Jimmy Butler has shown he can handle a much bigger role. In fact, even when Rose is back, it would serve the Bulls well to allow Jimmy to handle more and more of the offense.
http://www.bl…
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Up at Nylon Calculus: Introduce DRE: A (Hopefully) Better Simple Metric
Up at Nylon Calculus: Introduce DRE: A (Hopefully) Better Simple Metric
An expanded explanation of the motivations for and the methodology behind my simple linear weights metric, dubbed “Daily RAPM Estimate” or “DRE.”
http://nyloncalculus.com/2015/02/23/introducing-dre-a-hopefully-better-simple-metric/
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Did We Expect Too Much from The Chicago Bulls?
Did We Expect Too Much from The Chicago Bulls?
[Ed. note: I pitched this piece a little while back and it didn’t get picked up where I pitched it, so I’m posting it here. Chicago has picked it up some of late, so it’s not exactly timely, but I wrote it and wanted it to have a place on the internet.]
The Chicago Bulls have been one of the NBA’s weirdest teams this year. They’ve been labeled a contender since they signed Pau Gasol in the…
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Up at CBS Sports Local: Derrick Rose's Diminished Vertical Explosiveness
Up at CBS Sports Local: Derrick Rose’s Diminished Vertical Explosiveness
It’s tough to disentangle how much of Rose’s reducing his forays to the paint and the rim is mental and how much of it is a drop in physical ability. In watching him night in and night out, he seems to be just as fast as ever, but he doesn’t appear to have the same vertical explosiveness he once did. Even if Rose never gets that burst off the ground back, he can still become an extremely…
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Up at BlogaBull: Derrick Rose Struggling, But Don't Panic Yet
Up at BlogaBull: Derrick Rose Struggling, But Don’t Panic Yet
This season, Derrick Rose has not been his old MVP self. This is not a revelation, I’m not telling anyone noteworthy information by making that observation. Rose has shown flashes of brilliance here and there, but mostly he’s been okay to pretty bad depending on the night. His overall numbers and efficiency have all trended down over the course of the year. I’m still not quite ready to panic…
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Up at BlogaBull: Signing Pau Gasol Was A Mistake
Up at BlogaBull: Signing Pau Gasol Was A Mistake
Pau Gasol was selected as an All Star starter by the fans. This is, honestly, a joke. Pau Gasol is the Bulls fourth best big man. Yes, fourth best. Behind Joakim Noah, Taj Gibson, and even rookie Nikola Mirotic. The idea that Gasol was somehow one of the best big men in the entire Eastern Conference is ridiculous. At first glance, it’s easy to see why Pau has received this recognition. Pau is…
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Building A (Hopefully) Better Simple Metric
Building A (Hopefully) Better Simple Metric
It’s been a while since I’ve written anything in this space, but I’ve not forgotten it, and I’ve not stopped tinkering with some of the ideas I’ve tried to tackle here before. The idea I’d like to return to today is my enjoyment of simple, easy to calculate, transparent boxscore metrics.
In the past, I built off of an easy to calculate and understand linear weights metric (Alternate Win Score) to…
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Up at BlogaBull: In Praise of Mike Dunleavy, Jr.
Up at BlogaBull: In Praise of Mike Dunleavy, Jr.
Let me get this out of the way at the start: I love Mike Dunleavy Jr. He’s really, really good. You should love Mike Dunleavy Jr., too. Here’s why:
More at: http://www.blogabull.com/2014/11/19/7246255/in-praise-of-mike-dunleavy-jr
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Up at BlogaBull: The Bulls Strange Inability to Defensive Rebound
Up at BlogaBull: The Bulls Strange Inability to Defensive Rebound
Through 4 games, Tom Thibodeau’s defense is outside of the league’s top 10 in points allowed per 100 possessions and that is, obviously, very surprising. Granted, Chicago is 11th in defensive efficiency, so they are barely outside of the top 10, but given that under Thibodeau the Bulls have finished 1st, 1st, 5th, and 2nd in overall defense in the last 4 seasons, it is a bit surprising to see…
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Up at BBALLBREAKDOWN: Pau Gasol Beat Up the Knicks, But Might Be Slowing Down
Up at BBALLBREAKDOWN: Pau Gasol Beat Up the Knicks, But Might Be Slowing Down
The subject of this article might not seem the most timely, given that Pau Gasol just beat the stuffing out of the New York Knicks in the Chicago Bulls’s season opener, recording an efficient 21 point, 11 rebound night in just 29 minutes of play. In fact, this might all end up being a bit of nagging worry that doesn’t amount to much of anything at all. But although the Knicks’ interior defense is…
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Up at Nylon Calculus: More 2014-2015 NBA Season Win Totals
Up at Nylon Calculus: More 2014-2015 NBA Season Win Totals
Like Andrew Johnson, I did some season projectin’ for the season starting tonight. The basic method was to take ESPN’s Real Plus-Minus (RPM) numbers and run them through a simple aging curve and then to project out the season minutes.
…
Read more here: http://nyloncalculus.com/2014/10/28/more-2014-2015-nba-season-win-projections/
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SPONSORED: Vince Carter’s Impact In Memphis
SPONSORED: Vince Carter’s Impact In Memphis
This is a sponsored post from FanDuel.com, it was written by Sam Phelps.
When a person mentions the name Vince Carter to a typical NBA fan, they immediately think of insane dunks and highflying acts in general. He was one of the most exciting and popular players in the NBA during his prime, and he might just be the most impressive dunker to ever play the game. At 37 years of age, that Vince…
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Never Hate a Player: On Doug McDermott
Never Hate a Player: On Doug McDermott
[Ed. note: This piece originally ran on July 23, 2014 on a site where all traces of my former presence, along with that of all of the other members of the team, has been wiped away. I didn't want it to disappear from the internet, so I'm reposting it here, where I have control over what happens to it.]
I am dumber than I like to think that I am. From time to time, it’s important to remind myself…
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A Quick Prediction Post
A Quick Prediction Post
I wanted to get this up now that it’s done. I may blow this out into a larger series with fuller explanations of how I arrived at these win totals, but the short version is that it was roughly the same method as last year’s xRAPM predictions, only using ESPN’s Real Plus-Minus(which is largely the same as xRAPM). I also ran the numbers through the actual schedule, so SOS is somewhat adjusted for.…
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Gulp. Stan Van Gundy to Detroit.
Gulp. Stan Van Gundy to Detroit.
Pictured: A brilliant basketball man.
Stan Van Gundy was, to my mind, the best coach available on the market this offseason, and for the last few offseasons frankly. That stance, of course, comes with the caveat that there are many assistant coaches and coaches at different levels of basketball with whom I am unfamiliar and therefore, I exclude from any consideration in the “best coach available”…
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