Abstract
Background: This paper re-evaluates the Antihypertensive and Lipid-Lowering Treatment to Prevent Heart Attack Trial (ALLHAT) considering information from new clinical trials, meta-analyses, and recent ALLHAT analyses, especially those regarding heart failure and the association of drug treatment with new-onset diabetes (NOD) and its cardiovascular disease (CVD) consequences. Methods: Subgroup and explanatory analyses from a long-term 4-arm double-blind randomized antihypertensive treatment trial in diverse North American settings. Results: Chlorthalidone was superior to 1) doxazosin in preventing combined CVD (CCVD) (RR=1.20, 95% CI 1.13-1.27), especially HF (RR=1.80, CI 1.40-2.22) and stroke (RR=1.26, CI 1.10-1.46); 2) lisinopril, in preventing CCVD (RR=1.10, CI 1.05-1.16), including stroke (in Black persons only) and HF (RR=1.20, CI 1.09-1.34); and 3) amlodipine, in preventing HF, overall (by 28%) and in hospitalized/fatal cases (by 26%). Central independent blinded re-review of HF hospitalizations confirmed each comparison. Results were consistent by age, sex, race (except for stroke and CCVD), diabetic status, metabolic syndrome status, and renal function level. Neither amlodipine nor lisinopril was superior to chlorthalidone in preventing end-stage renal disease overall, by diabetes status or by renal function level. In the chorthalidone arm, NOD was not significantly associated with CCVD (RR=0.96, CI 0.88-2.42). Conclusions: Evidence from subsequent analyses of ALLHAT and other clinical outcome trials confirm that neither α-blockers, ACE-inhibitors nor calcium channel blockers surpass thiazide-type diuretics (at appropriate dosage) as initial therapy for reduction of cardiovascular or renal risk. Thiazides are superior in preventing heart failure, and new-onset diabetes associated with thiazides does not increase CVD outcomes.
ALLHAT Design and Main Results
ALLHAT was a randomized, double-blind, multicenter clinical trial, designed to determine whether incidence of major coronary heart disease (CHD) events (nonfatal MI and CHD death; primary endpoint) is reduced in high-risk (defined by age ≥ 55 years with at least one additional CVD risk factor [e.g. left ventricular hypertrophy, history of diabetes, current cigarette smoking, high density lipoprotein cholesterol < 35 mg/dl or < 0.91 mmoles/l, or documented history of atherosclerotic CVD]) hypertensive patients by a calcium-channel blocker (CCB; represented by amlodipine), an ACEI (represented by lisinopril), or an α-blocker (represented by doxazosin), each compared with diuretic (represented by chlorthalidone) as first-step therapy.(19). Overall findings of the trial, summarized in Figure 1, showed that CHD (fatal CHD plus nonfatal MI) risk was not improved for any of the 3 newer agents compared with chlorthalidone as first-step therapy.(1;2) However, diuretic-based therapy was superior to α-blocker, ACEI, and CCB-based therapies in preventing one or more major forms of CVD, including stroke and heart failure (HF).
Figure 1a. Blood pressure (BP) difference and relative risks (95% confidence intervals) for clinical outcomes for newer agents compared to chlorthalidone 12.5-25 mg/day in pre-specified subgroups – amlodipine vs. chlorthalidone. Coronary heart ...
Chlorthalidone was superior to doxazosin in prevention of combined CVD, especially HF and stroke. Chlorthalidone was superior to lisinopril in preventing combined CVD, including stroke (in black persons only), HF, angina, and coronary revascularizations. Chlorthalidone was superior to amlodipine in preventing HF, overall (by 28%) and in hospitalized or fatal cases (26%). These results were consistent by age, sex, diabetic status and level of renal function for all outcomes, and by race, except for stroke and combined CVD (see below). Amlodipine and lisinopril were not superior to chlorthalidone in preventing end-stage renal disease (ESRD) overall, or when stratified by diabetes or baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR).(7;8)
ALLHAT, by design, recruited a very diverse patient population allowing important pre-specified subgroup analyses by gender, age, race and diabetic status. This was the most diverse experience to date for comparison of antihypertensive drug therapy in adults with diabetes mellitus (n=13,101) and impaired fasting glucose (n=1399).(2;9) There was no evidence of superiority for treatment with α-blocker, CCB or ACEI compared to diuretic in any glycemic stratum. In diabetic and non-diabetic ALLHAT participants, HF was significantly less frequent among participants assigned to diuretic than among those assigned other treatments.(2;9;10) Thus, compared to diuretic-based treatment, CCB and ACEI-based therapies failed to demonstrate superiority in the prevention of CVD or ESRD in diabetic participants.
ALLHAT was also the first large randomized controlled trial to provide a head-to-head comparison of major drug classes in a substantial number of Black participants (n=15,094) and persons 65 and older (n= 24,330).(1;8;11;20) In both subgroups, there was no evidence of significant superiority for primary or major secondary outcomes in those assigned to the α-blocker, CCB or ACEI versus the diuretic. Other apparent benefits of diuretic therapy included better reduction in BP (4 mmHg difference at four years), stroke incidence and CCVD compared to ACEI in Blacks. Also CCB was more effective than ACEI in this population for BP reduction and prevention of stroke.(21)
ALLHAT findings generated considerable discussion, and several questions about the results were raised. The remainder of this article addresses those issues in the context of newly available information.
Implications of the Blood Pressure Differences on Interpretation of ALLHAT Findings
Goal BP in ALLHAT was <140/90 mmHg in all four treatment groups. Intensification of therapy was required by protocol if BP was not controlled. During the trial, small but significant differences in achieved BP levels occurred among randomized treatment groups (Fig 1). SBP was higher in participants randomized to doxazosin (by 2-3 mmHg), lisinopril (by 2 mmHg [4 mmHg in Blacks]), and amlodipine (by <1 mmHg) than in those on chlorthalidone. BP differences in Blacks accounted for the major BP difference between treatment arms, particularly between the ACEI and diuretic arms. However, non-Black participants made up 2/3rd of the study population. Despite negligible BP differences between treatment arms in the non-Black group, newer agents did not offer an advantage over diuretic.(8;11)
ALLHAT was not the only clinical trial to report differences in achieved BP levels across randomized treatment groups. Perfect comparability in achieved BP is unlikely in a double-blind randomized practice-based trial due to differences in intrinsic BP-lowering efficacy of agents and/or synergistic efficacy with available add-on therapies.(5;12;22) Serial median matching has been used in some studies to account for the observed differences in achieved BP levels.(22;23) This approach leaves out substantial amounts of participant information, is susceptible to bias, disturbs randomized comparison (may interject bias), and favors the drug less effective in lowering BP. ALLHAT has reported analyses using achieved BP levels as time-dependent covariates in a Cox proportional hazard regression model showing that after adjustment for BP, the differences in risk of stroke and HF between treatment arms remain statistically significant, with only slight reduction in the RR.(1;2;13;24) However, the Blood Pressure Lowering Treatment Trialists' Collaboration (BPLTTC) meta-analysis reported that differences in achieved BP reduction between randomized groups accounted for the observed difference in risk for every outcome except HF.(6) Therefore, BP differences may account for some but not all of the advantages seen with chlorthalidone.
Do Chlorthalidone Findings Generalize to Other Thiazide-type Diuretics?
Since chlorthalidone is not widely used in practice, clinicians have questioned why it was chosen as the comparator agent. Previous NHLBI-sponsored trials (HDFP(25), SHEP(26), and MRFIT in post-hoc subgroup analyses(27) showed beneficial effects on clinical outcomes with this agent. Comparison of doses of chlorthalidone used with standard thiazides is a subject of considerable discussion. Recent data suggest a 1 ½-2 fold greater antihypertensive potency for chlorthalidone in comparison to HCTZ.(28) A meta-analysis of trials using other thiazide-type agents reported similar clinical cardiovascular outcomes across the class.(29) However, these studies used higher doses of these agents than the 12.5-25 mg/day dose of HCTZ currently used in clinical practice and one recent outcome trial (see below). Thus, at doses equivalent to that used in ALLHAT (chlorthalidone, average of 20 mg/day),(30) it is likely that attributes of chlorthalidone extend to others in the class.
Validity of the Heart Failure Results in ALLHAT
In ALLHAT, HF was a pre-specified outcome encompassing fatal and non-fatal treated HF whether participants required hospitalization or not. It was defined in the Manual of Operations as a combination of symptoms and signs/test findings, similar to methods used in other studies.(14;31) Individuals with a history of symptomatic HF and/or known ejection fraction<35% were not eligible for randomization. When the initial publications from ALLHAT reported that chlorthalidone-based treatment was superior to each of the three other agents in preventing new-onset HF,(1;2) some found these results unexpected and raised questions about their validity.(3) Given the public health importance of HF among older individuals, extensive steps to validate these findings were undertaken. The ALLHAT Heart Failure Validation Study rigorously evaluated all hospitalized HF events, using independent blinded-to-treatment-assignment reviewers.(14) Source documentation for HF hospitalizations (n=2778 in 1935 patients) was centrally reviewed using pre-specified algorithms (based on SHEP/ALLHAT and Framingham criteria) and reviewers' global clinical judgment. This review confirmed site-physicians' diagnoses in the majority of patients (71%, 80%, and 84% respectively using ALLHAT, Framingham and reviewer diagnoses). More importantly, the originally reported higher risk of HF associated with first-step therapy using amlodipine, lisinopril or doxazosin compared with chlorthalidone was confirmed by RRs calculated when applying various validation criteria. RRs across criteria sets ranged as follows: 1.41-1.46 for amlodipine, 1.12-1.21 for lisinopril, and 1.71- 1.80 for doxazosin, each compared with chlorthalidone. Results of other active drug comparison trials are mixed, but overall consistent with the ALLHAT findings.(6;12;32) Mortality risk subsequent to hospitalized HF (over 50% at 5 years) underscores the importance of preventing new-onset HF in high-risk patients, and provides an indirect validation of the diagnosis. Thus, thiazide-type diuretics would appear to provide better protection against new-onset HF (particularly HF with preserved ejection fraction) in high-risk patients with hypertension,(14;33) though treatment of patients with established HF should follow appropriate guidelines.(34;35)
Implications of Diuretic-Associated Diabetes on Long-Term CVD Risk
An important ALLHAT rationale was to determine whether newer drugs with more favorable effects on glucose and other metabolic parameters would result in a lower incidence of major clinical outcomes, especially coronary events, compared with diuretics. As anticipated from previous studies, diuretic treatment resulted in 4-6 mg/dl higher fasting plasma glucose levels compared with other agents. Among non-diabetic participants (baseline fasting glucose level<126 mg/dl), mean baseline fasting glucose level was approximately 94 mg/dl in all groups.(15) Fasting glucose levels increased in all treatment groups, with the largest increase in the chlorthalidone group to 104 mg/dl at 4 years. The increase was intermediate in the amlodipine arm (to 102 mg/dl at 4 years) and smallest in the lisinopril (to 100 mg/dl at 4 years) and doxazosin arms (to 99 mg/dl at 4 years).
The proportion of participants who developed levels of fasting glucose consistent with diabetes (>125 mg/dl) after 4 years was 11.6% in the chlorthalidone group, compared to 9.8% in the amlodipine (p=0.01) and 7.8% in the lisinopril (p<0.001) groups. In the doxazosin arm, the comparison with chlorthalidone was 8.8% vs. 10.6%, although (due to early termination of the doxazosin arm) values are available for less than 10% of participants at 4 years. Assuming that CCBs are metabolically neutral, comparison of 4-year rates of incident diabetes in the amlodipine versus chlorthalidone arms (9.8% versus 11.6%), suggests that only 17% of new-onset diabetes associated with thiazide use in studies like ALLHAT is likely due to the diuretic (diuretic-induced as opposed to diuretic-associated changes).(36)
Despite showing that diuretics were at least as effective as newer agents in preventing major clinical outcomes, ALLHAT results seemed to heighten rather than lessen the interest in diuretic-induced dysglycemia. However, focus changed from speculations regarding significance of the absolute increase in glucose levels to a focus on increases in incident diabetes. This focus suggested that the risk of CVD events in diuretic-treated patients is more dependent on crossing the threshold for diabetes than on the magnitude of glucose elevation (i.e. that risk of diabetic complications in a patient with a fasting glucose of 121 mg/dl following a 5 mg/dl increase in glucose is determined more by crossing the 126 mg/dl threshold than by the 5 mg/dl increase). However, regression analysis of ALLHAT data (15) showed that while incident diabetes during the first two years was associated with a subsequent 64% higher risk of CHD, as much as a 10 mg/dl increase in glucose during that two year period resulted in no subsequent significant increase in CVD (Table 1). Importantly, the increase in aggregate clinical CVD associated with both incident diabetes and a 10 mg/dl increase in glucose was lowest in the chlorthalidone arm and highest in the lisinopril arm, with the CCB arm intermediate or similar (Table 1).
Hazard Ratios for Clinical Outcomes Associated with Glucose Abnormalities in ALLHAT
These recent analyses from ALLHAT are consistent with other data evaluating the link between diuretic-induced increases in glucose and adverse clinical outcomes. Lack of congruence between these effects was demonstrated in many comparative trials and confirmed by recent prospective meta-analyses involving >26,000 patients, with almost 4,000 CVD events, nearly 1900 coronary events, and in both diabetic and non-diabetic hypertensive individuals.(6;37) In addition, recent reports provide data on diuretic-induced glucose elevations and long term CVD risk.(15;38;39) While one study reported a nearly 3-fold higher (2.92 95% CI 1.33-6.41) CVD risk after up to 16 years of follow-up in treated hypertensives (54% treated with diuretics) who developed new-onset diabetes, no relationship was seen between diuretic usage and CVD events. Analysis of the 14.3 year follow-up from the SHEP revealed that incident diabetes during the trial among subjects on placebo was associated with a more than 50% increase in CV mortality (adjusted HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.12-2.18) but not in those randomized to the diuretic (adjusted HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.75-1.46).(38) Thus, diuretic-induced glucose changes may underlie the lesser prognostic significance.
Implications of ALLHAT in Patients with the Metabolic Syndrome
Hypertensive patients meeting criteria for metabolic syndrome (MetS) represent a population with or at high risk for diabetes mellitus and for CVD and renal events.(40-42) Use of antihypertensive drugs with favorable metabolic profiles has been advocated over those with less favorable profiles (e.g., beta-blockers and thiazide-type diuretics).(43-46) In ALLHAT, almost 55% of participants met criteria for MetS. This permitted the first test of this issue based on clinical outcomes.(8;47) Participants with MetS randomized to α-blocker experienced lower plasma glucose and total cholesterol (by 10 mg/dl and 9 mg/dl respectively) compared to diuretic, and those randomized to ACEI experienced reductions of 6 mg/dl and 2 mg/dl respectively. HDL-cholesterol was 0.9 mg/dl higher on α-blocker vs. diuretic. Despite these differences there was no evidence of benefit from newer agents on CVD outcomes. As seen in Table 2, no CVD or renal outcome was significantly reduced by the α-blocker or ACEI compared to the diuretic in ALLHAT participants with MetS, including in those without diabetes.(47) In Black ALLHAT participants with MetS, α-blocker and ACEI treatment provided considerably less protection compared to the diuretic for stroke (RR=1.49 (1.09-2.03) and 1.37 (1.07-1.76) respectively), HF (RR=1.88 (1.42-2.47) and 1.49 (1.17-1.90) respectively), combined CVD (RR=1.37 (1.19-1.58) and 1.24 (1.09-1.40) respectively) and ESRD (RR=1.17 (0.62-2.22) and 1.70 (1.13-2.55) respectively).(8)