The Netherlands can technically achieve and afford its goal of being completely climate-neutral by 2050. However, the feasibility depends on the timely implementation of planned measures, including controversial ones like CO2 storage, livestock shrinkage, and biofuels, the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL) said in a new report.
Working with thousands of pages of background reports, the PBL calculated over 30 routes to becoming climate-neutral in all major sectors. It looked at which scenarios are the most cost-effective against how large the changes in production and consumption would have to be.
“It is a huge task,” PBL director Marko Hekkert told NOS. “We only have 25 years left to achieve this. Any delay will make it extremely expensive or impossible. So the main thing now is to persevere—we have already seen the urgency in recent years.”
Achieving the climate-neutral goal is not only possible but affordable. “These are not astronomical amounts. It is mainly a transition that we have to go through. That requires large investments and fair distribution, but does not entail high net costs,” said Bart Streners, lead author of the report.
To achieve the goal, the Netherlands will have to produce at least three to five times more electricity than it does now, and it must come from renewable sources. That extra electricity will enable road traffic, heating, and the industry to stop using fossil fuels. Hydrogen can absorb peaks in electricity demand. The Netherlands will have to produce most of its hydrogen itself. Achieving that in time will require serious planning and parallel investments so that no one is waiting for progress elsewhere, the PBL said.