Renewal and Reform – why vocations are important
Warning! This blog has numbers in it. I know some people in the Church dislike numbers. And some dislike talk of “growth”. I mentioned the different styles of language we use in a previous blog. But please don’t look away now. For those of you who dislike numbers, please remember that every unit in a number refers to an individual human being, and the number is only shorthand.
One of the principal work streams in Renewal and Reform is the work on encouraging more vocations. The General Synod has approved the aspiration to increase the rate of vocations to ordained ministry by 50% by 2020, with half of those being younger vocations, and a greater proportion being people of Black, Asian or Minority Ethnic background. This is a challenging aspiration – not a target! – but one we can work towards with prayer, encouragement, and deliberate intention as part of becoming a growing Church.
We need to base this aspiration on a realistic assessment of where we are. The Church published its “statistics for ministry” on 2 June. They showed that the number of stipendiary clergy fell from 8,300 in 2012 to 8,000 in 2015. This continues a well-established trend. We haven’t published an official projections of future numbers of clergy. But the detailed figures show that a quarter of stipendiary clergy are over 60, and in some dioceses the proportion is as high as 40%.
And for the last few years the age profile of stipendiary clergy has been getting older, especially among male clergy. That doesn’t mean that older clergy aren’t valued, nor that the Church does not benefit hugely from the continuing ministry of retired clergy, of whom there are nearly six and a half thousand active with Permission or License to Officiate. But the increasing age profile means that the total number of stipendiary clergy to lead parishes will go on falling, until the effect of more vocations comes through.
Thankfully, our aspiration to increase vocations is based on experience that change is possible. Firstly, dioceses vary enormously in the rate of vocations, and in how they encourage them; the Vocations Working Group is looking at how to spread the best practice all around the country. Secondly, ordinations have been increasing – up from 261 in 2012 to 315 in 2015 for stipendiary clergy. But we need to try and encourage more people to come forward.
This isn’t just about replacing those retiring, and maintaining numbers. The aim is to attract more younger and more BAME clergy, to give us better outreach to more of the population, especially those communities we are not reaching as effectively as we should. It’s about strengthening our ability to be a church for the whole nation, in every community – and expressing every tradition in the church. Attracting more younger vocations doesn’t mean discouraging older vocations, of course: in a growing church there will be plenty of scope for vocations at all ages.
Even assuming we achieve the aspiration to increase vocations by 50%, this means that the total number of stipendiaries will continue to fall for a number of years before starting to rise again. Getting back up to the present 8,000, say, will depend not just on more vocations, but on the age profile of ordinands and of retirements. Of course, having more clergy – or “enough” clergy – isn’t sufficient to turn us into a hopeful, growing church. The last time we had 9,000 clergy, in 2004, we were on a path of decline. There is no right number for how many clergy England needs. Though note that in 2004 the population of England was 50 million, whereas in 2030 it is projected to be over 60 million. We will need enough clergy to maintain our mission of being available for all the people of England, in every place. Obviously, the work of our existing parish clergy – together with laypeople – is what sustains the church now. The church should honour and value all their work, and look to build on it and strengthen it.
What can the Church do in the meantime? First, as noted above, we can pray, encourage and work for vocations. Secondly, we can endeavour to make the most of lay gifts as well. That is why there is also work in Renewal and Reform on lay leadership generally (inside and outside the Church), and more specifically on licensed lay ministries. This is not about filling gaps, but about valuing and developing the gifts of all Christians.
Third, we need to look for the right kind of people for the right kind of roles for the challenges of the 2020s, 2030s and beyond: not one size fits all, but recognising the diversity of our country, of our people, and of our ministers, and the diversity of challenges.
Fourth, we need to be realistic about what this means for the next few years – in terms of ministry and in terms of paying for it. Many dioceses have been saying that they intend to maintain clergy numbers. Some are saying very specifically that after a period of cutting clergy numbers – which has not proved helpful – they intend to stop cutting. This aspiration is entirely understandable and admirable. Unfortunately it is not always realistic. There is a problem of arithmetic. Individual dioceses cannot all maintain their numbers of stipendiary clergy – while the total national number goes on falling. If some dioceses do maintain or increase numbers, then for others the fall in numbers will end up being much faster. Realism means that the laudable aspiration to keep numbers up may not be feasible everywhere. But this doesn’t mean more cutting for financial reasons, nor more “managing decline”. It means being realistic about the need to reduce clergy posts in the short term, while praying, working and planning to get the number of posts back up again in the medium term.
Just to make this a bit harder…. We also need to recognise what this means for paying for ministry. During the next few years, we can expect to see further decline in clergy in stipendiary posts, accompanied by – we pray – a big increase in clergy in training, first in college or course training, and then in curacies. So we have to go on asking parishioners to give money to pay for clergy – but with less of the money going towards paying for today’s clergy (who will be fewer), and more for tomorrow’s (who will be in greater numbers, in training). It’s not necessarily an easy message – for Diocesan Boards of Finance, for PCC Treasurers, or for the Church as a whole. But it’s an inevitable consequence of moving from a shrinking church to a growing one.
The harvest is plentiful, but the workers are few. Ask the Lord of the harvest, therefore, to send out workers into his harvest field.
William Nye - Secretary General to the Archbishops’ Council
(For more information about work on lay discipleship, leadership and vocation, read But What about the Laity? by Dr Tim Ling and Dr Jacqui Philips)