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Geert Wilders’ far-right PVV has lost its lead in the latest Dutch opinion poll for the first time since the general election 18 months ago,

Geert Wilders’ far-right PVV has lost its lead in the latest Dutch opinion poll for the first time since the general election 18 months ago, according to new data released by Maurice de Hond through his Peil.nl survey panel. The poll, conducted over the weekend following the agreement on the Voorjaarsnota 2025 on April 16, shows that the left-wing opposition party GroenLinks-PvdA has surpassed the PVV, securing 29 seats, one more than Wilders’ party. The VVD, one of the current coalition partners, stands in third place with 26 seats. Wilders’ PVV, which currently holds 37 seats in the Tweede Kamer (Lower House), has now dropped by a total of eight seats in projected support. Pollster Maurice de Hond noted that public opinion had shifted significantly since February, when the PVV held an eight-seat advantage over its nearest rivals. Since then, the PVV has declined by four seats, while GroenLinks-PvdA and the VVD have each gained five seats out of a total of 150 available. The broader political environment appears to have influenced voter behavior. De Hond pointed to the heightened focus on global security and the growing threat of a recession since Donald Trump’s return to the White House as factors pushing voters back toward mainstream parties. Other parties are also experiencing notable shifts. The center-right CDA is showing a steady recovery, climbing to 19 seats after only securing five in the last election. Meanwhile, the progressive-liberal D66, which had been on an upward trajectory, is now losing support. De Hond suggested that former D66 voters are likely switching allegiance to GroenLinks-PvdA. Nieuw Sociaal Contract (NSC), led by Pieter Omtzigt until his resignation last week on health grounds, is facing a near-total collapse. The party is now projected to lose 19 of the 20 seats it won in the November 2023 elections. BoerBurgerBeweging (BBB) is also in decline, falling to just three seats.

So, it's not only in Anglosphere politics (UK excepted) where Trump has had a positive effect. If only it was the same in Germany.

#netherlands #dutch politics #spring poll #GL-PvdA #lead

VVD leader Dilan Yeşilgöz does not want to form a coalition with Frans Timmermans’ GroenLinks-PvdA after the elections. She “doesn’t see it

VVD leader Dilan Yeşilgöz does not want to form a coalition with Frans Timmermans’ GroenLinks-PvdA after the elections. She “doesn’t see it happening,” the VVD leader said on talk show RTL Tonight on Monday evening. She’d prefer a center-right Cabinet without the PVV. The talk show hosts repeatedly pressed Yeşilgöz to say in so many words that the VVD is ruling out a coalition with GroenLinks-PvdA. “I really don’t see that working,” she said. “I’m being quite blunt here; that’s pretty clear. I don’t want that, because I think this country is hungry for center-right policies.” Earlier, Yeşilgōz ruled out governing with the PVV again. “We’re not going to work with him anymore,” she said about PVV leader Geert Wilders in an interview with the Telegraaf in June. She called him an “Incredibly unreliable partner.”

Hungry for centre-right policies? Firstly, what the VVD offers is hard-right verging on far-right and secondly, the country has had centre-right policies for the last 10 years. That's probably why the VVD is haemorrhaging support.

#netherlands #dutch politics #vvd #gl-pvda #no coalition

A GroenLinks-PvdA proposal for a complete arms embargo on Israel was met with surprise, resistance, and fierce criticism from other parties

A GroenLinks-PvdA proposal for a complete arms embargo on Israel was met with surprise, resistance, and fierce criticism from other parties in the Tweede Kamer, the lower house of the Dutch parliament, NOS reports. GL-PvdA parliamentarian Kati Piri proposed the arms embargo during a debate on Thursday. The party wants the Netherlands to specifically stop supplying parts for Israel’s air defense system, the Iron Dome. The left-wing party’s turn to more extreme measures against Israel came last week when Israel started bombing Iran, thereby escalating the conflict in the Middle East “recklessly,” according to party leader Frans Timmermans. The air defense system has made Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu feel “invulnerable” to retaliation, so he is attacking other countries in the Middle East with impunity, Timmermans said. “We have to find a way to show Netanyahu that he is on the wrong path, has to de-escalate, and has to sit at the negotiation table.” The right-wing parties in the Tweede Kamer called the proposal “bizarre and unwise” (VVD), “crazy, indefensible, and extremely dangerous” (BBB), and “too bizarre for words” (SGP). The NSC said the proposal “shocked” the party “to death.” The PVV said: “Their hatred of Israel and growing anti-Semitism knows no bounds.”

Nobody cares what the BBB thinks. It will in all likelihood fade away come the next election. As for the NSC, well it's considering dissolving the party. That leaves the far-right Islamophobic PVV. It won't be part of any government after the election unless people vote on mass for them, which is unlikely.

Nice to see that Frans Timmermans appears to have grown a pair.

#netherlands #dutch politics #gaza genocide #arms embargo proposal #gl-pvda #unsurprising surprised reaction

GroenLinks-PvdA leader Frans Timmermans would join negotiations for a new Cabinet if the current round of formation talks between the PVV, V

GroenLinks-PvdA leader Frans Timmermans would join negotiations for a new Cabinet if the current round of formation talks between the PVV, VVD, NSC, and BBB collapse. The left-wing party will not work with the PVV, but “won’t immediately close the door” if the VVD comes calling and wants to take a different tack, Timmermans told Nieuwsuur. Timmermans previously said that there was still no role for GroenLinks-PvdA at the formation table and that the four right-wing parties must try to find a way out. “Now that he sees that it is taking a long time, that image is starting to change,” political analyst Arjan Noorlander said to the program. “Timmermans feels that little progress is visible after almost 150 days, while many problems remain. And in the meantime, Timmermans is quite visible in his opposition role.” PVV, VVD, NSC, and BBB are still negotiating a possible Cabinet. The formation leaders insist that the talks are progressing well, but things seem tense. PVV leader Geert Wilders is annoying the VVD and NSC leaders with his posts on X, formerly Twitter. Last week, Wilders left discussions about the asylum policy early and then posted on X that the PVV would make no further concessions. This week, he called VVD State Secretary Eric van der Burg (Asylum) a “scary little man” after Van der Burg called it great that the formation parties decided that Wilders won’t be Prime Minister.

#netherlands #dutch pol #cabinet formation talks #gl-pvda #centrist government possible