Every AI Model Lost Money Betting on Soccer — The KellyBench Study Explained
For all the hype around autonomous AI systems, the KellyBench result is refreshingly embarrassing. General Reasoning’s study asked a simple question with real stakes: if frontier models really are getting better at messy real-world reasoning, can they survive a Premier League betting season with a bankroll and a risk-management rule? The answer was no. Not one model made money. According to…












