Radio Podcast: Norway has advice for Libya
The past week has been big for Mongolia in the news. After a visit to the United States where President Elbegdorj continued to win over western journalists, the Mongolian government has created a stir over its contract with Ivanhoe and Rio Tinto. More than a just a handful of main stream media sources are reporting that Mongolia wants to rewrite the contract that it has already signed. There are enough reports out there so I don't feel the need to repost the stories. Instead I'll try to paint the big picture:
Prior to 2009, Mongolia realized that it didn't possess the infrastructure and capability to mine its own resources to the largest of scales, the Government signed an investment agreement with Ivanhoe and Rio Tinto to show that Mongolia is an open and investor-friendly country. The agreement stipulated that Mongolia gain 33% of the stakes in the project and that they would have the opportunity to increase that amount to 50% in 2039.
In 2010, Mongolia started realizing that they are sitting on even more resources than they initially thought. While Oyu Tolgoi was projected to fuel close to a third of the country's growth, now Mongolia realizes that there are several companies and projects that will do the same. It is clear that the infrastructure and mining know-how will be developed soon. With this is mind, should Mongolia wait till 2039 to get a better deal with its Oyu Tolgoi project? While investors press the government to honor its contract, Mongolian citizens are pressing its ministers to maximize its wealth.
With these latest developments, Mongolia is now trying to navigate its wealth and opportunities. As I follow this news, I couldn't help but remember this enlightening radio podcast about Norway and its oil wealth. This radio program is related to Mongolia because Norway is perhaps the only country in the world to get rich on resources without any domestic turmoil. Both countries have small populations and are able to get rich quick. Norway has been able to escape what is referred to as the Dutch Disease, a country's curse of resources.
Perhaps Mongolia can do the same time.