The International Monetary Fund concluded its Post-Programing Monitoring, and its Executive Board has published its recommendations for Mongolia. While applauding Mongolia's vigorous economic recovery, it also warns that the economy is "overheating" and "too expansionary".
In a public information notice released on November 28, the Executive Director's endorsed staff cited several major risks to the current economic policy. IMF fears that looming electoral policies might overshadow economic policy, growth projections are masking real inflation that is occurring, and government expenditure is dominating aggregate demand.
The international agency has focused its forecasts on government spending and the banking system. While having nothing but praise for Mongolia's monetary policy, exchange rate policy and development banks, IMF instead points out that an increased 2012 budget and bank lending makes the country vulnerable to external shocks.
In regards to mining, IMF raised some concerns about global mineral prices. If prices were to drop, the agency predicts that fiscal restraints would be forced and disorderly. Noting that the large mining projects are still some time away from being in full production, the agency warns that downturns in the mining industry can exact "heavy tolls on the economy, particularly on the poor."












