#joemixon

[wickedfun9]

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[fantasticwolfluminary]

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[rainykoalaglitter]

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[fantasy-football-degenerate]

Mixon Drinks with a punch

Mixon Drinks with a punch.  Late to the party, pissin’ on the floor.

It was the best of times, it was the worst of times.  For Joe Mixon owners, last year was a Tale of Two Halves.  Over the first 8 games of the season, Mixon put up a meager 320 rushing yards and failed to score a touchdown.  This left many fantasy owners frustrated and ready to drop or trade him. If you held onto him, the patience paid dividends.   Mixon got his second wind and recorded an impressive 817yds and 8 rushing TD's in the 2nd half of the season.  Prorated for a full season that would have put him at 1634 rushing yards and 16TD's.   During the first half of the season, Mixon averaged only 12.63 carries per game.  During the 2nd half he nearly doubled his carries, averaging 22.13 carries per game.   With a rookie QB, Cincinnati may be likely to lean heavier on the running game again.  Mixon is a true workhorse with little to no competition for carries.  It is very plausible that Mixon could be sniffing around the 300 mark for carries.   Even with a dismal 4ypc, 300 carries still translates to 1200 yards.  If Mixon's production over the 2nd half of the season dips 25%, that would still be good enough for 1225 yards and 12TD's.

So we know about Mixon’s potential on the ground, but can he be a weapon in the passing game?  At the college level, Mixon averaged 2.6 receptions per game at Oklahoma.   That’s the equivalent to 41 receptions over a 16 game season.  Many will argue that Gio Bernard is the pass-catching back in Cincy. But in the past 3 seasons Mixon and Bernard have had mirror-image production, averaging 36 receptions per year. Coincidentally both backs have had seasons of exactly 30, 35 and 43 catches.   Sure, Mixon’s productivity may be capped by the presence of Bernard, but Bernard has 2yrs left on a contact worth over $9 million and could be a cap casualty to free up almost 3 million.  And Bernard isn’t exactly the poster child for health.  A Bernard departure would free up an average of 36 RB receptions.   If Mixon caught just one more pass per game, that would have him over 50 catches.  An additional 15 rec and 120yds would have put Mixon over 1500 total yards and made him the 7th highest scoring fantasy RB last year.

What about the QB situation? How often will Burrow utilize his running backs in the passing game.  Last year, the LSU offense was a fine-oiled scoring machine, with Burrow throwing for over 5600 yards and 60TD’s.  Clyde Helaire-Edwards had 55 catches.   There’s no doubt that Burrow’s arsenal will feature Mixon on designed passing plays, but Mixon will also be a serviceable and reliable dump-off option when the rookie is under pressure.   Mixon’s floor for receptions should be 40-50, but if something happens to Bernard, that number could be closer to 70.

 Mixon is no stranger to the endzone. He scored 26 TD’s in 25 college games and 17 TD’s in his last 30 pro games.  Mixon should be a lock for 8 TD's.   He was able to do so in an anemic offense in each of the past 2 years.  With new blood at QB and a ‘healthy’ AJ Green, Cincinnati may find themselves near the goal-line more often.   There are no other running backs on the Bengals roster to record a rushing TD last season.   Bernard is the only RB on the roster with more than 1 career rushing TD and we can agree that he is not a goal-line back, so it’s safe to say that when they’re down by the goalline, they’re gonna put the ball in Mixon’s hands.

 Mixon is a proven 3 down back with little-to-no competition for carries.  I'm looking at Mixon's floor being 18 carries per game, with a 4.1ypc, for 1180yds and 40 catches for 320ys.  That’s 1500 total yds and 8TD's.  You can’t piss on a floor that high.  If he gets 300 carries and 50 catches, you're looking over 1650 total yards, with the potential for double digit TD's.  That would make him a top 5 RB.   

Coming into the NFL Draft, the only Nix on Mixon was his off-the field issues.  But knock on wood, he hasn’t been Mixon drinks with a punch.   It would take a total moron to ignore Mixon's talents and Marvin Lewis is gone.  I'm expecting Mixon's production to be more reflective of the second half of last season.  No need for reservations here, Mixon yourself a drink, sit back and watch your pick help you pay off your league tab.

Projection: 288 carries, 1224 yds, 8TD, 51 rec, 408yds, 2TD (1632yds, 10TD’s).

[drewillis1980]

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#JoeMixon was putting on some moves!!! #madden20 #ps4 #twitch #followme https://www.instagram.com/p/B5Pl1-QgwY0/?igshid=1g6vncirkft4h

[nopal62]

Watching @joemainmixon on TV and remembering how amazing and gracious he was with Little Man at the @paniniamerica @nfl Rookie Event. (Little Man won BTW). #nfl #nationalfootballleague #cincinatibengals #joemixon #football #connectfour #paniniamerica #rookie #sundayisforfootball (at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum) https://www.instagram.com/p/BrLnmjiBGPZ/?utm_source=ig_tumblr_share&igshid=7hp1yneiw2at

[official-sports]

. . . . . #JoeMixon #Cincinatti #Bengals #CincinattiBengals #NFL2019 #NBA #MLB #NFL #NHL #UAAP #NCAA #PBA #PSL #PVL #WNBA #Tennis #sport #sports #sportsday #lifeinism #sportsday #sportscenter #sportsillustrated #sportlife #sportday #sportsbar #sportsspecialties #sportive https://www.instagram.com/p/BphWu4ElHHw/?utm_source=ig_tumblr_share&igshid=1la3bkzzp0g4p