morena what do you think of iran and iranian protests currently happening
iran is an important part of the global anti-imperialist front and, regionally speaking, the only power capable of challenging isreal's hegemony which is why it has been a prime target of western intervention for colour revolution and regime change.
this has been faciliated by the exiled ex crown prince who naturally desires to return to throne and has allied with the west to push relentless propaganda about the barbarity of the current iran in contrast to the "progressive" monarchy days when iran was a pro-west liberal country where lives of most people remained poor, rural, argrarian and heavily repressed, so much so that it inspired an alliance between communist, liberal and islamic republican groups that led to the 1979 revolution and establishment of the islamic republic as we see today.
i have never lived in iran so i don't know the particulars but the country offers a highly centralised, free and compulsory public education, is often at the cutting edge of technological innovation, and is making steady progress towards growing more self-sufficent and sustainable in spite of the sanctions imposed upon it.
about the nature of the protests, according to mes, most of the protestors do not disagree with the islamic republic as a system of governance but rather with how the economy is run. as you can guess, this has created an opportunity for western-backed pro-monarchy element to weasle into the protests and most of the violent manifestations (such as the destruction of churches, harm to civilian life and property) can reasonably be attributed to this.
as it is right now, iran's existence is unacceptable to isreal, which seeks complete regional hegemony, and to the us, whose military presence in the region is most threatened by iran. although pr says anything but, they are also having to confront the reality that their bombing of military targets in iran, in the best case, failed to cause a significant setback to the nuclear program and, in the worst case, actually accelerated it. so they want to prevent that in any way possible. this is just the tip of the icebreg of the imperial military objectives in iran.
but the reason why they cannot just attack iran and take what they want is because iran is strong and it has stronger allies. so the us cannot use nukes. the us cannot directly invade iran because iran's geography is very different to iraq and they have an asymmetric advantage, which means it would turn into a prolonged confrontation, a blackhole for us military resources and eventual defeat, so it has to do things more, well comparatively, subtly by taking advantage of internal conflict.
but iranian government is fairly strong and the protests that don't currently seem to be organized under a cohesive leadership are unlikely to be enough to do a regime change. the opposition leader has already taken to openly asking the west for aid or else these large scale protests are simply not sustainable for much longer. now both direct and indirect confrontation is disadvantageous, the us does not want to involve itself unless there is a guarantee of regime change, which there currently is not, but the protests need their involvement for the guarantee. another possibility which isn't currently likely but becomes more probable the longer the situation festers is that the opposition will become more organized and the situation could spiral into more of a civil war.
the iranian gov was previously reluctant to directly challenge western imperialism militarily in anticipation of public response but this worry was dispelled last year when their response to isreali provocations led to a very positive and unifying reaction which im sure was against everything the west was betting against. just like that time and so far, i feel very comfortable betting in favor of iran to weather this storm and come out stronger than ever :)
