The Duggar/Bates/Maxwell/Morton Wedding Gap Post
As requested by @throwrocksatboys and @fundieinsider, and because why not, here is the master list of weddings for the families having data run on them by Tumblr blogs! Credit to @duggardata for starting this off, and to their Anon for having the idea.
In chronological order ---
First to Marry: 1/26/02 Nathan + Melanie (Maher) Maxwell
+ 1533 Days: 4/8/06 Alan + Katie (Morton) Smith
+ 147 Days: 9/2/06 Michael + Kressant (Smith) Morton
+ 371 Days: 9/8/07 Wesley + Rachel (Smith) Morton
+ 384 Days: 9/26/08 Josh + Anna (Keller) Duggar
+ 659 Days: 7/17/10 Noah + Dorothy (Morton) Sanders
+ 98 Days: 10/23/10 Chris + Anna (Hamilton) Maxwell
+ 406 Days: 12/3/11 Cleve + Lisë (Kendall) Morton
+ 700 Days: 11/2/13 Chad + Erin (Bates) Paine
+ 42 Days: 12/14/13 Zach + Whitney (Perkins) Bates
+ 161 Days: 5/24/14 John + Alyssa (Bates) Webster
+ 28 Days: 6/21/14 Derick + Jill (Duggar) Dillard
+ 77 Days: 9/6/14 Joe + Elissa (Frost) Maxwell
+ 49 Days: 10/25/14 Tayte + Martha (Morton) Alexander
+ 7 Days: 11/1/14 Ben + Jessa (Duggar) Seewald
+ 287 Days: 8/15/15 Brandon + Michaela (Bates) Keilen
+ 42 Days: 9/26/15 Andrew + Kennedy (Decker) Morton
+ 182 Days: 3/26/16 Sam + Alyssa (Campana) Morton
+ 224 Days: 11/5/16 Jeremy + Jinger (Duggar) Vuolo
+ 202 Days: 5/26/17 Austin + Joy (Duggar) Forsyth
+ 105 Days: 9/8/17 Joe + Kendra (Caldwell) Duggar
+ 99 Days: 12/16/17 Bobby + Tori (Bates) Smith
+ 14 Days: 12/30/17 John + Chelsy (Bontrager) Maxwell
+ 182 Days: 6/30/18 Josiah + Lauren (Swanson) Duggar
+ 97 Days: 10/5/18 Kelton + Josie (Bates) Balka
+ 29 Days: 11/3/18 JD + Abbie (Burnett) Duggar
+ 0 Days: 11/3/18 John + Campbell (Roberts) Morton
+ 203 Days: 5/25/19 Evan + Carlin (Bates) Stewart, upcoming
0 Days: JD + Abbie to John + Campbell (same day!)
7 Days: Tayte + Martha to Ben + Jessa
14 Days: Bobby + Tori to John + Chelsy
28 Days: John + Alyssa to Derick + Jill
29 Days: Kelton + Josie to JD + Abbie/John + Campbell
42 Days: Chad + Erin to Zach + Whitney and Brandon + Michaela to Andrew + Kennedy
49 Days: Joe + Elissa to Tayte + Martha
77 Days: Derick + Jill to Joe + Elissa
97 Days: Josiah + Lauren to Kelton + Josie
98 Days: Noah + Dorothy to Chris + Anna
99 Days: Joe + Kendra to Bobby + Tori
105 Days: Austin + Joy to Joe + Kendra
147 Days: Alan + Katie to Michael + Kressant
161 Days: Zach + Whitney to John + Alyssa
182 Days: Andrew + Kennedy to Sam + Alyssa and John + Chelsy to Josiah + Lauren
202 Days: Jeremy + Jinger to Austin + Joy
203 Days: JD + Abbie/John + Campbell to Evan + Carlin
224 Days: Sam + Alyssa to Jeremy + Jinger
287 Days: Ben + Jessa to Brandon + Michaela
371 Days: Michael + Kressant to Wesley + Rachel
384 Days: Wesley + Rachel to Josh + Anna
406 Days: Chris + Anna to Cleve + Lisë
659 Days: Josh + Anna to Noah + Dorothy
700 Days: Cleve + Lisë to Chad + Erin
1533 Days: Nathan + Melanie to Alan + Katie
Removing the big outlier at 1533 Days, the average gap considering all of these couples is 184 Days. The median is 147 Days.
That places the next possible wedding in one of these families, using the average, at 184 Days after Carlin’s wedding on November 25, 2019. The 25th is a Monday, so the closest likely wedding day is November 23, 2019. Using the median, the next wedding would be on October 19, 2019 (a Saturday).