Welcome to The World, Caris!
Better Late Than Never... Get Her Data Here!
Courtney + Christopher Rogers had their 11th Child, Caris Audrey Rogers, on Saturday, November 28, 2020. Unfortunately, the birth was very difficult: Caris suffered hypoxia—i.e., oxygen deprivation—with potentially permanent effects. But... After 48 Hours of total body cooling therapy, an MRI, and a short stint in the NICU, Baby Caris is out of the hospital. So, it’s about time for the data!
After the jump.
Timing of...
Baby News
Courtney revealed Pregnancy #11 via her Instagram Story on March 11, 2020. (Sadly, I didn’t get a screenshot... If anyone did, please DM it to me! I’m very sad not having a citation for this.) Her Due Date was November 19, 2020—so, she was just 27 Days Along (<4 Weeks), at the time.
This is fairly standard for Courtney. Prior to this, she typically announced at 37 Days Along. (That’s her average, less one outlier: She waited a whopping 182 Days to reveal Pregnancy #8*, after an 11–Week Miscarriage.) When we factor Pregnancy #11 in... Her typical Pregnancy Announcement now happens at 36 Days Along (5 Weeks, 1 Day)—i.e., 1 Day Earlier.
Sex Reveal
Courtney did a Sex Reveal for Rogers #11 via Instagram on May 11, 2020. At the time, she was 88 Days Along (12 Weeks, 4 Days).
With the exception of Clint (#1) and Cade (#2), every Rogers Offspring has had a Sex Reveal. Prior to Rogers #11, it was done at 146 Days—i.e., 20 Weeks, 6 Days—Along, on average. Factoring in Rogers #11′s much earlier Sex Reveal, it’s now typical for Courtney to do it at 138 Days Along (8 Days Earlier).
Delivery (vs. Due Date)
Courney’s Due Date was November 19, 2020, but Rogers #11 wasn’t eager to arrive... Ultimately, Courtney was induced on Friday, November 27, and Caris was born on Saturday, November 28, 2020—i.e., 9 Days Late.
Courtney’s Delivery (vs. Due Date) Data is kind of all over the place... Duggar Data has been able to track down Due Dates for 9 Rogerses. One of those is their twins, Colt and Case, so it’s really 8 Data Points. But... Honestly, Colt / Case shouldn’t count; they arrived markedly early, but that’s pretty typical for twins. Additionally, Calena (#4) arrived 44 Days Early, but that shouldn’t really count either, since that was due to placenta previa that hasn’t recurred. So... Courtney has 6 Data Points for Delivery (vs. Due Date). Taking the average of those, it was ‘typical’ for her to deliver 3 Days Late, prior to Rogers #11. Now factoring in Rogers #11, that shifted to 4 Days Late (1 Day Later).
Birthweight & Length
At birth, Caris weighed an impressive 9 Pounds, 3 Ounces. (She’s the largest Rogers Newborn, to date.) Courtney didn’t share Caris’s length—so, let’s just focus on the Birthweight Data...
Again, let’s exclude the twins (Colt and Case, #6 and 7) and Calena (#4), who were born prematurely... Taking the average of the rest, your ‘typical’ Rogers Offspring was 8 Pounds, 1 Ounce, at birth. Now, that shifted to 8 Pounds, 4 Ounces—or, +3 Ounces.
Procreative Pace
Rogers #10 (Coralee) was born June 6, 2019. Rogers #11 was born 541 Days Later (17.8 Months), on November 28, 2020.
... and, that’s actually kind of slow, by Courtney’s absurd standards. Prior to Rogers #11, Courtney’s Average Child Spacing was 377 Days. (No, it’s not a typo. She’s that fertile. It’s scary.) Coralee–to–Rogers #11 is actually longer that any of Courtney’s prior Child Spacings. Factoring it in... Her Procreative Pace shifts to 1 Child / 396 Days (19 Days Slower).
When to Expect Rogers #12
Based on Courtney’s Procreative Pace, etc., here’s what to expect—
Baby News May 8, 2021
Sex Reveal August 15, 2021
Due Date Christmas 2021
Projected DOB December 29, 2021
Estimated Size of Quiver (ESOQ)
Also... Yes, odds are there will be a Rogers #12. Courtney is 36 Years Old, as of now. (Her DOB is April 4, 1984.) If we use Age 40 as her Fertility Cut–Off, it yields an ESOQ is 14 Children. If we use Age 45, she’d have time to get up to 19 Children. (But still won’t beat Michelle and Kelly Jo! Ha!) And maybe even more, if she has twins again. We’ll see!