Scoble: VR will create a ton of jobs, but it’s going to be a bumpy ride
Robert Scoble is no longer worried about job creation. And that’s good, right? I mean… one less thing.
‘Scobleizer,’ the Entrepreneur in Residence at Upload VR and noted futurist, took some today time to tell me all about it.
Like it or not, automation is coming here
Another conference. “Great.”
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While most of us are already aware that automation is coming, I think those outside the tech community are blissfully unaware at how close they are to getting the axe in favor of cool, efficient steel — or binary code.
According to Oxford researchers Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael A. Osborne, 47 percent of the jobs in the US could be automated by 2033. In a 2013 paper titled: ‘The Future of Employment: How Susceptible are Jobs to Computerisation‘ the pair estimated the probability of some 702 detailed occupations shifting to automation.
Using a Gaussian process classifier — also called a machine learning algorithm — to estimate the impact of future computerisation (automation), the primary focus was analyzing the number of jobs at risk and the “relationship between an occupation’s probability of computerisation, wages and education attainment” — put simply, the risk of automation for those based on their skill level, experience and difficulty of their job.
It’s happening already — self-checkout kiosks, travel agents, agricultural workers, reporters, law firm associates, taxi drivers, financial analysts and countless others have all been replaced — or are in the process of being replaced — by machines or code.
And it’s not stopping. If anything, the uptake accelerates each time we find a new way to replace humans with machines.
