2013 NBA Draft SquazzWrap, Or Chad Ford's Personal Perdition
Just a week after the Heat and the Spurs wrapped up the NBA Finals, the 2013 Draft took place last night, and holy schnikes it was a crazy one. There was the drama of consensus No. 1 pick Nerlens Noel falling to No. 6, enough trades to make your head spin, and equal measures of both head-scratching and elation by those fans doofy enough to sit up through the whole thing and watch their teams pick guys that are potentially going to be playing in Iceland come November. On league commissioner David Stern’s last Draft after 30 years at the helm of the NBA, we supposedly had a “weak” class, but the the four-hour marathon totally confounded the experts with the amount of activity and drama that resulted. Gotta love it.
The first thing that should be said about the Squazz Post’s NBA Draft coverage is that we have done our homework, but not nearly as much as actual guys who do this for a living, like the esteemed Chad Ford, and the guys over at BleacherReport (who published a new Draft record of 4.69 Mock Drafts per day in the run-up to Thursday). So take our analysis with a grain of salt, and remember that most of these guys are never going to see a second contract in the NBA, thats just the competitive nature of the league and the business.
We’re going to make this as simple as possible by just running through the draft and evaluating what each player does for the team that either drafted or traded for last night. Oh, and hells yeah we’re (maybe) evaluating both rounds. Its either going to be a home for substantive analysis, or cheap jokes about all the foreign-born players taken this year. (Note: the players remain in their original draft order, but the teams that traded out picks for earlier/later picks and/or players and whatnot have been shuffled to reflect said whatnotting.)
1. Anthony Bennett, 6’8” PF, Cleveland Cavs - SURPRISE! When this pick happened last night, ESPN commentator and basketball nerd-supreme Bill Simmons just about fell out of his chair from the shock of it. Being the number one pick is kind of a big deal from year to year, but this pick came with some extra mustard. In addition to being the first Canadian to ever go #1, Bennett leapfrogged from the projected 7th or 8th pick in more than a couple people’s books, since a shoulder injury had kept him from working out for NBA teams ahead of the draft, and there were questions about his ability to guard NBA power forwards and sometimes centers. But Cleveland, looking to avoid this part of the draft next year, rolled the dice on a guy who has drawn comparisons to former Rookie of the Year & All-Star Larry Johnson. His big frame, NBA-ready offensive game, bruising style of play and athleticism compare favorably to the last UNLV player be selected with the first pick, but his potential size issues at the 4 and injury could keep him from being productive in the long-term. The move might just pay off in a draft with no sure things, but with aging center Anderson Varejao only under contract for one more year and fwllow Canadian Tristan Thompson already holding down the 4-spot, the logic would dictate the Cavs might have gone for a franchise center. But you have to think that as long as he’s going to be taking minutes from Alonzo Gee eventually the Cavs are pretty ok with this pick though, right?
2. Victor Oladipo, 6’4” SG, Orlando Magic - This guy just has “productive” written all over him. By all accounts he’s an absolute maniac of a worker, is a very keen student of the game, and is pretty damn athletic to boot. He’s going to have to show that he can score occasionally and not just be a one-way player on the defensive end (see: Allen, Tony), however valuable those types of guys sometimes are over the course of a season. But that was the knock on him last year, and he notably improved both his 3-point and true shooting percentages this year (+12% in both categories). Oladipo is a great pick in this unsure draft that fits nicely with some of pieces Orlando slapped together last year in the wake of the Dwight Howard fiasco. And if they add Eric Bledsoe via a trade with the Clippers for Arron Afflalo as has been rumored, they could have a really scary-ass and athletic backcourt.
3. Otto Porter, 6’7” SF, Washington Wizards - The man who has been described as the “safest” or “highest floor” pick in the draft won’t have to move very far from his former home on the Georgetown campus to his new team, and everything about this pick feels right. The Wiz filled a Trevor Ariza-sized hole at small forward with a good character guywho possess a lot of NBA-ready tools (Ariza is their current starter there, and boy does he like jumpers. He’s like a homeless man’s Josh Smith). Considering the makeup of this draft, you’d have to think that maybe that the Southeast Division isn’t going to be the laughing stock of the NBA anymore. But then again, we almost forgot about Charlotte...
4. Cody Zeller, 6’11” F/C, Charlotte Bobcats - The Bobcats desperately needed front-court help, and the polished and surprisingly athletic Cody Zeller (he killed at the combine) could be one part of the answer. But you have to wonder about his ability to defend NBA bigs considering his bean-pole frame, and with Michael Jordan running things, you never can really tell. In the last 10 years under Jordan, the woeful Bobcats have used top-15 picks on NBA washouts/scrubs Sean May, Adam Morrison, DJ Augustin, and Bismack Biyombo. Plenty of teams have made shite draft picks in the past, but no one combines bad drafting with poor open-market dealings to the detriment of his team more than MJ. At this point he’s really really giving Minnesota's notorious David Kahn a run for his money as the worst NBA executive of the last ten years. In the end Zeller is a very nice sort of hedge-bet against Biyombo not panning out, and for a team with as many holes as Charlotte, it would be hard to fault any pick here I guess.
5. Alex Len, 7’1” C, Phoenix Suns - So as Nerlens Noel kept falling from the projected No. 1 spot, he was watching more than just money slip out of his hands. He slid past some teams who were sticking to their plans (the Magic & Wiz) and another who was sticking to... we don’t know at this point (the Bobcats). As Phoenix was on the clock, it started to dawn on you that Noel’s knee and the Suns’ legendary training staff were the perfect match. But no! The Russian who some had thought might go first if anyone but Noel did ended up trumping him in the end, on the basis of the fact that he’s 7-foot plus (and still might be growing), he’s got a more ‘polished’ offensive game than Noel, and he used to be a gymnast. I put polished in quotations because over the course of last season Len put up exactly 1.4 more points per game than Noel did, and didn’t even make the All-ACC first, second, or THIRD teams in two years at Maryland. Sure the Terrapin guards may have been bad, but are the Phoenix guards THAT much more spectacular relative to their league? Anthony Bennett, this pick, and the next one will define this draft, and of the three I have the least faith in Len long-term.
6. Nerlens Noel, 7’0” F/C, Philadelphia 76ers (trade sends All-Star Jrue Holiday to New Orleans for Noel & 2014 1st round pick) - After watching five guys walk up to shake David Stern’s hand before he did, and enduring enough dramatic close-ups to make a porn-star blush, Nerlens Noel was finally picked by the New Orleans Pelicans with the sixth pick. They immediately flipped him & a top-five-protected 2014 first round pick to Philly minutes later for fourth-year PG Jrue Holiday. The 76ers are officially in full-out blow-up mode after enduring a circus of a season that couldn't end soon enough, and resulted in the coach and GM getting fired. This trade netted a pretty lightly-protected pick in a loaded draft next year, oh, and the guy everyone thought was going to go first, but for their only All-Star and best asset (on a reasonable a 4-years for $41-million. Hell, Javale McGee is making $11 mill/per and he doesn’t even start! But more on that later). When word of this trade first came out it was a little stunning, but it makes a ton of sense for Philly to lay low for a year while Noel and a young core can mesh and then possibly add two lottery player next year, and New Orleans picks up a reasonably priced option at point guard who might not have hit his ceiling yet.
7. Ben McLemore, 6’5” SG, Sacramento Kings - Some say that he has the highest ceiling in this group of draftees, but you have to just keep your fingers crossed for any rookie who’s going into the black hole of Sacramento. A great athlete with beautiful shot mechanics, McLemore has the potential to do great things in the League, but he’s young and has temperament issues (not the destructive kind, just the introverted kind). I want this guy to make it, but ugh, Sacramento is just full of slash & shoot non-passers and head-cases right now.
8. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, 6’6” SG, Detroit Pistons - The SEC Player of the Year flew under the radar for many, but KCP was doing it all for UGA this year, whether it was spotting up, slashing, assisting, rebounding, or playing great D. A lot of folks were speculating that the Pistons would look for a point guard with this pick so the could move dunk-a-soraus victim Brandon Knight to the shooting guard spot (see below). A lot of these same folks feel like Detroit may have reached a little bit with this pick. A pretty nice shooter such as Caldwell-Pope will be really well served by all the kick-out opportunities Detroit’s maturing bigs are likely to create, so look for KCP to maybe make Rookie of the Year honor on a team that might be turning the corner.
Sorry Bandon Knight, but the internet makes seeing this again and again just too much fun.
9. Trey Burke, 6’0” PG, Utah Jazz (traded from MIN for picks 14 & 21) - Thanks to a trade that broke while he was on-air talking about being used to snow with ESPN Radio, former Michigan Wolverine and Swag-a-tron cardholder Trey Burke went from having to back up Ricky Rubio and bowling ball/munchkin J.J. Barrea in Minneapolis to getting pretty much his own team in Salt Lake City. Is there an acceptable punchline for that sort of deal? This is a great pick up for a young Jazz team desperate for some better guard play and swagger (though his defense & height has always been the question people dangle over him), and it gave Minnesota two picks that they turned into pretty decent players later in the draft. Not too bad for everyone all around.
10. C.J. McCollum, 6’2” SG/PG, Portland Trail Blazers - The Blazers go the mid-major route for the second year in a row, and they are hoping that the versatile and experienced McCollum can somewhat emulate 2013 Rookie of the Year Damian Lillard. Apparently the two have been in touch and are pretty good friends, but the questions surrounding LaMarcus Aldridge’s future are going to make this a stormy year in the Pacific Northwest. (lulz). In other news, McCollum is one of the few guys in the draft who completed his degree, in journalism mind you, so we at least figure he’s got a future if this doesn’t work out.
11. Michael Carter-Williams, 6’5” PG, Philadelphia 76ers - The lanky Syracuse man will be reunited with his Boston-area AAU teammate Nerlens Noel in Philly, but there’s going to be a steep learning curve for the both of them as they adjust to the physicality of the NBA and absorb the disappointments of rebuilding in Philly (fill in crowd horror story here). He’s tall enough to see over defenses and cause problems for other guards on defense, but it really is going to be another looooong year for the ‘6ers either way you slice it.
12. Steve Adams, 7’0” C, Oklahoma City Thunder - The New Zealander helped the NBA set another milestone, as he was the first from that nation drafted in the first round, and from here on out the international invasion is on. The “Thunder from Down Under” is the pick that OKC got in the James Harden trade, but part of me still wants to cringe a little bit every time I remember how pitiful they looked without Harden or Russ Westbrook in the playoffs. If this pick blows up their face and the value of that trade gets questioned more and more, OKC may only have themselves to blames, even when considering their cap numbers. Adams could address a point of need on a nice rookie deal, since OKC vet Kendrick Perkins’ usefulness as an interior defender was more than negated by his offensive ineptitude the past few seasons. The big man failed to impress at the start of his freshman year in Pittsburgh, but he played well late in the season and apparently wowed scouts with great mid-range shooting performances at team workouts. They might have to stash him in the D-League for a bit while they figure out what to do with Perkins, but if he adds some polish, I think OKC comes out ahead with this pick.
13. Kelly Olynyk, 6’11” F/C, Boston Celtics (acquired from Dallas for Lucas Nogueira) - Another Canadian is selected in the first round, and what I can mainly say about him from looking at his tape is that he needs a damn haircut. As a one-time purveyor of the “shaggy white boy” basketball player look in my playing days, I think I am somewhat qualified to say, let it go brother (I got Birdman on my side too. boy-o). Other than that, he looks like a serviceable stretch-4 who can step out and hit some jumpers, but is going to struggle to defend and create shots against big-time 4/5s. Fine and dandy, if you’re not trading your only rim-protector and you are getting 2 more guys like that from Brooklyn in the same night! Wait a second... thats what they did? Phhbt. After the kerfuffle that was the first ten picks, Celtics GM Danny Ainge described the pick-up as a great ‘complementary’ choice. Gotta say, if you’re going to go all-in on rebuilding mode, you got to take some shots in the draft, and I don’t know if a big ol’ jump-shot shooting white boy with questionable athleticism and defense is the way to go. But there you have it.
Boston's Kelly Olynyk: Badly in Need of a Gillette Sponsorship
14. Shabazz Muhammad, 6’6” G/F, Minnesota Timberwolves - A guy who might have been a top-5 pick last year labored through a poor shooting year at UCLA, all while fighting off allegations that he was 20 years old when he said that he was 19. Really? Yes, really. The bad press double-whammy dropped him into the T-Wolves lap after they flipped Trey Burke. If they can’t resign Pekovic next season, the T-Wolves are kind of a mess outside of the PG & PF spots (held down by Rrruuuuuuuubio & K.Love), but a mid-round guy with a chip to his shoulder might be just the ticket, or it might be the perfect opportunity for him to float into Minnesota draft lore along with such hallowed names as Johnny Flynn, Ndudi Ebi (thanks, Senor Marquez) Rashad McCants, Corey Brewer, and Michael Beasley.
15. Giannis Adetokunbo, 6’9” SF, Milwaukee Bucks - THE GREEK FREAK. Its seems that the Bucks are making a bid to create the lankiest team of all-time (if he ever does join Larry Sanders & John Henson in the great Mid-west), but this is definitely a pick that we’re not going to see for awhile. The 18 year-old has great size, a big wingspan, handles, and HUUUUGE hands, but his club competition so far has been in the Greek second-league (read: not very good). If he can put on 30 pounds (he is still growing) and find a position (he plays point-forward right now, which could have promise), you might be seeing him in the league in a year or two, but don’t count on it.
16. Lucas Nogueira, 7’0” C, Atlanta Hawks (acquired from Dallas via Boston for 18th & 44th picks) - “Bebe”, as he’s called in his native Brazil and in Spain’s pro league, is a springy big man who loves to run the court, and he defends & make plays at the rim. He needs to put on some weight and apparently show more focus throughout the course of games, but I like the tape on him when he played against NBA-level Euro teams like Barcelona and Real Madrid. Definitely had the goofiest look of all the draft picks tonight, but there's always gotta be that one guy who can't get his hat over his afro, am I right?
17. Dennis Schroeder, 6’2” PG, Atlanta Hawks - Rangy German 19 year-old with a 6’9” wingspan has some thinking Rajon Rondo potential. He’s got a real quick first step, can finish in a variety of ways around the rim, and makes some nice passes from different areas of the court. He is turnover-prone and will have to wait and see what the Hawks want to do with Jeff Teague’s expiring rookie deal as well as what they do in free agency, so I don’t know that either of these two picks actually plays in Atlanta this season considering their situations as growing players Danny Ferry can option to decent teams in Europe for a year and take a shot at next year’s draft/free agent class (both of which are so much better).
18. Shane Larkin, 6’0” PG, Dallas Mavericks - The Mavs traded all over the first round to end up with this pick, and it looks like a good move. Dallas didn’t get what it wanted out of Darren Collison a year after losing Jason Kidd to New York, so a point guard here makes sense for them. Larkin was solid for a very strong Miami team in a pretty blah ACC this year, but his height doesn’t exactly project well. Though how many times a year do we hear that.
19. Sergey Karasev, 6’7” SF, Cleveland Cavs - The Cavs use their second of four picks on the sharp-shooting Karasev, who projects as a solid spark off you bench or as a Mike Miller-esque two-way guy if we’re feeling optimistic. He apparently felt so optimistic about his chances in the draft that he shut down his workouts after the first couple and peaced out back to Russia until the Draft took place. Yeah, ok guy. Gotta like what Cleveland in doing with their picks if you like half-full glasses, but they still look like they need a center and a wing defensive-stopper.
20. Tony Snell, 6’7” SF, Chicago Bulls - A great fit for a Tom Thibodeau team. The New Mexico swingman is athletic, rangy, and has been accused to lacking focus. You can bet that’ll be gone quickly with Thibs in charge. Its a pretty good situation for a guy who was projected in the second round to end up in, too. A guaranteed deal on a hard-working team and well-coached that’s getting its best player back? Snell will have to prove that he’s got NBA-range now that everyone likes to have corner 3-taking swingmen who can play D & rebound these days, but he’s got the tools and situation to succeed.
21. Gorgui Dieng, 6’11” C, Minnesota Timberwolves - The T-Wolves snap up Louisville’s defensive stopper who can hopefully make up for the fact that Kevin Love and Derrick Williams have no interest in protecting the rim from game-to-game. Dieng anchored the college national champs with his defense, rebounding, and surprising offensive repertoire (his mid-range game really shone through during March Madness). On another team that has convinced themselves that they will not be in the lottery next year, Dieng could play major minutes if Pekovic bolts in free agency, or could simply eat into Greg Stiemsma playing time, which you can’t hate too much.
22. Mason Plumlee, C, Brooklyn Nets - The next Kris Humphries, except less handsome, skilled, hated, or paid. Last night the Nets also picked up Boston vets Kevin Garnett, Jason Terry, & Paul Pierce from the Celtics in an agreed-upon ‘trade-in-principle’, so when Nets GM Billy King impishly told the press that this team was very pleased with the drafting of Mason Plumlee, I can guarantee you he wasn’t thinking one iota about Mason Plumlee. Still, the guy is a mobile big man who can rebound and defend a bit, and maybe KG can teach him a thing or two, but he can’t post-up for nothing, which seems to be a great niche to be filling now that BK has off-loaded Reggie Evans & the aforementioned Mr. Humphries. (Did I mention I hate Duke players in the draft?)
23. Solomon Hill, F, Indiana Pacers - The Pacers drafted another small forward, which could suggest that Danny Granger is not sticking around for that much longer in Indy. Or it could just mean that they like small forwards.
24. Tim Hardaway Jr., 6’6” SG, New York Knicks - This is the point in the draft where my research usaully starts to putter out, but thanks to his time in the NCAA tournament with Michigan, we got a good long look at Hardaway Jr. He's a good shooter and a great defender who joins a team that desperately needs to get younger on the wings, so odds are he's going to have a chance to make an impact.
25. Reggie Bullock, 6’7” SF, LA Clippers - With the emergence of the “3-and-D” player (i.e. Danny Green, Shane Battier, etc.), a guy who can defend at least two positions and shoot well from range as a second or third option on offense, mid-height athletes with pure shooting strokes like Bullock are going to get a shot in the NBA over pure prospects. On a team that looks like its going to have a lot of type-A personalities and a new coach in the locker room, Bullock will be well-served if he keeps his head down and does the little things in Lob City.
26. Andre Roberson, 6’7” PF, Oklahoma City - A Colorado State University product who figures to get traded at some point by the Thunder for James Harden and cash. Lulz. Roberson is one of these late round picks who end up as footnotes on Wikipedia, but if he wants to make a difference on the Thunder’s squad, he’s apparently going to do it with the power of advanced metrics, because ESPN’s Kevin Pelton called him the value of the draft based on his WARP relative to the rest of this class (thats Wins Above Replacement Player for you non-losers out there). Huzzah! Now only if metrics could somehow remove Serge Ibaka from the depth chart and then Roberson’s true greatness will be revealed! Or something.
27. Rudy Gobert, 7’1” C, Utah Jazz - The next Freddy Weis. He’s a great big behemoth of a lout with poor foot-speed and a limited offensive arsenal. That sounds like a recipe to either sit in Europe for a few more years, ride the pine until that rookie deal expires, or end up on a lot of new dunk posters.
Just in case anyone forgot, the man wearing Vince Carter as a hat in this picture is the artist formerly known as Freddy Weis. He was never heard from again.
28. Livio Jean-Charles, F, San Antonio Spurs - Graduate to the NBA from the French league team owned by Spurs guard Tony Parker, which means just about squat nothing in the NBA unless you’re the Spurs and you just have magic player-making pixie dust.
29. Archie Goodwin, G, Phoenix Suns - A young gunner who can’t really shoot but with great athleticism and reasonable upside. He left Kentucky after his freshman year apparently because he was afraid of riding the pine once UK coach John Calipari's newest class of freshman All-Americans rolled into town, which makes close to no sense. Logic suggests he’ll at least be making some dough to ride the pine even more for an awful Suns team next year after getting traded from Golden State, but they got next to nothing from their guards last year, so Goodwin might just have a shot to play some.
30. Nemanja Nedovic, G, Golden State Warriors - Literally had never heard of him, so when Phoenix selected him I had no idea what to think and still haven’t formulated anything. Like many of the 12 international picks in the first round this year, this selection looks like a money-saving move.
Not even touching it. The second round of the draft is the NBA chop-shop of deals for future picks and cash considerations, and there were still deals being done early today with a bunch of teams in the second round. So there. (Update: In what might be the 'biggest deal' of the 2nd round, the Denver Nuggets traded starting center Kosta Koufos to Memphis for Darrell Arthur and the 55th pick, Joffery Lauvergne. The move will like make the previously mentioned Javale McGee the starter in Denver, so we can all have more of these moments! HUZZAH!)
Winners: Anthony Bennett, Philadelphia, Brooklyn (not draft-related) David Stern one-liners, International Players, teams that wanted to trade a bunch of shit.
Losers: Domestic players looking for first-round contracts, Boston (not draft-related)
Best moment: Hakeem Olajuwon, David Stern’s first pick at his first draft 30 years ago, surprising Stern after he announced his last pick ever as commissioner. He even wore the same suit that he did 30 years previous! Good stuff.