Mortgage applications decreased 2.6% from one week earlier,
according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA)
Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending December
16, 2011. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan
application volume, decreased 2.6% on a seasonally adjusted basis
from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index
decreased 2.8% compared with the previous week. The Refinance
Index decreased 1.6% from the previous week. The seasonally
adjusted Purchase Index decreased 4.9% from one week earlier. The
unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 7.5% compared with the
previous week and was 6.9% lower than the same week one year ago.
The four week moving average for the seasonally adjusted Market
Index is up 0.26%. The four week moving average is down 1.53% for
the seasonally adjusted Purchase Index, while this average is up
1.32% for the Refinance Index. “Continued anxiety surrounding
the fragile economic situation in Europe led interest rates lower
last week.
However, refinance applications fell slightly, and purchase
applications dropped further as we head into the end of the
year,” said Michael Fratantoni, MBA’s Vice President of
Research and Economics. “Remarkably low rates are not enough,
as many homeowners continue to hold back due to lack of equity in
their properties, poor credit and a weak job market.” The
refinance share of mortgage activity reached a high this year of
80.7% of total applications from 79.7% the previous week. The
adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share of activity decreased to a
low this year of 5.1% from 5.6% of total applications from the
previous week. The average loan size of all loans for home
purchase in the US was $217,774 in November 2011, up from
$213,430 in October 2011. The average loan size for a refinance
increased from $217,153 in October to $220,523 in November. The
average government purchase loan size declined from October to
November, from $186,263 to $170,742. The largest purchase loans
were made in the Pacific region at $308,307. The largest
refinance loans were also made in the Pacific region at
$304,509.
Chinese hackers hit US business
According to the Wall Street Journal, hackers in China broke
through the computer defenses of the US Chamber of Commerce last
year and were able to access information about its operations and
its 3 million members. The Journal, citing unidentified people
familiar with the matter, reported the operation against the top
American business lobbying group involved at least 300 internet
addresses and was discovered and shut down in May 2010. The
newspaper reported it was not known how much information was seen
by the hackers, or who may have had access to the network for
more than a year before being discovered. The group behind the
breach is suspected by the United States of having ties to the
Chinese government, one of the sources told the newspaper. The
FBI informed the Chamber of Commerce that servers in China were
pilfering its information, the source said. Chinese Foreign
Ministry spokesman Liu Weimin dismissed the report. "There's
nothing to be said about the baseless whipping up of so-called
hacking and it won't come to anything," he told a daily news
briefing in Beijing. "Chinese law bans hacking." The Chamber of
Commerce employs 450 people and represents business interests in
Congress, including most of the largest US corporations.
Almost half of all sales were short sales and REOs
A whopping 46% of homes sold in November were either short sales
or REOs -- as homes foreclosed on and repossessed by lenders are
called, according to a survey by Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance
released yesterday. "The huge glut of distressed properties
coming to market is why there will be no home price rebound this
coming year and maybe into 2013," said Guy Cecala of Inside
Mortgage Finance, a publisher of mortgage information and news.
Distressed homes sell for a lot less than homes sold by
conventional sellers. The average price for a short sale (when
borrowers owe the bank more than their homes are worth) was
$209,000 in November. For a regular sale, the average is about
$259,000. The numbers are even worse for REOs, which averaged
about $190,000 for properties in move-in condition. "Distressed
properties have the lowest prices for any category of home sold,"
said Cecala. "To a large extent, that's why we've seen continuous
home price drops over the past three years and why those drops
are likely to go on." There is no shortage of distressed
properties: More than 6 million borrowers are delinquent 30 or
more days, according to LPS Applied Analytics. Two million are
already in the foreclosure process, and most of these homes will
be repossessed or sold as short sales. House hunters have gotten
accustomed to shopping for homes in foreclosure and any stigma
that may have attached to REOs or short sales in the past has
diminished. But many of these properties have been damaged,
making them hard to sell and depressing their prices. Indeed,
the average price for a damaged REO was just $99,000 in November
-- 62% less than conventional sales, the survey found.
Corporate borrowing way up
Consumers may be cutting debt and banks may be tightening up
their balance sheets, but borrowing by US corporations is in full
swing. At a time when the popular narrative centers on how
tight-fisted banks are getting with their lending, end-of-year
data for syndicated loans tell a different story. Corporations
use syndicated loans for longer-term financing. The loans usually
are provided by a group of deep-pocketed lenders who can
distribute liability among them and thus decrease their risk. Big
Wall Street investment banks are usually the source of such
loans. So far in 2011, syndicated loan volume has increased a
whopping 56% compared to 2010, according to Dealogic. The total
of $1.76 trillion is the highest single-year sum since the
pre-financial crisis days of 2007. This came even though
fourth-quarter activity saw a pretty big tail – the $354.5
billion total was the lowest in more than a year, since the
$246.6 billion in the third quarter of 2010, Dealogic said.
Moreover, the US was the biggest player in the space, with 47% of
the total global loan volume, up 9 percentage points over 2010.
The bulk of the loans went to the most credit-worthy. Investment
grade volume increased to $1.03 trillion, also the highest since
2007, representing a 68% year-over-year gain. Globally,
syndicated loan volume grew 27% to $3.74 trillion – again, the
highest since 2007, Dealogic said.
NAR - existing home sales up
Existing-home sales rose again in November and remain above a
year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors
(NAR). Also released today were periodic benchmark revisions with
downward adjustments to sales and inventory data since 2007, led
by a decline in for-sale-by-owners. Although rebenchmarking
resulted in lower adjustments to several years of home sales
data, the month-to-month characterization of market conditions
did not change. There are no changes to home prices or month’s
supply. The latest monthly data shows total existing-home sales,
which are completed transactions that include single-family,
townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 4.0% to a
seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.42 million in November from
4.25 million in October, and are 12.2% above the 3.94
million-unit pace in November 2010. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief
economist, said more people are taking advantage of the buyer’s
market. “Sales reached the highest mark in 10 months and are
34% above the cyclical low point in mid-2010 – a genuine
sustained sales recovery appears to be developing,” he said.
“We’ve seen healthy gains in contract activity, so it looks
like more people are realizing the great opportunity that exists
in today’s market for buyers with long-term plans.”
MF Global "not missing money" - just can't find it
James Giddens, the court-appointed trustee liquidating the
brokerage, told a teleconference with MF Global clients that he
was trying to recover $70 million in cash and $630 million in
T-Bills from MF Global UK, according to John Roe, co-founder of
the Chicago-based Commodity Customer Coalition, which represents
more than 8,000 MF Global customer accounts. A spokesman for
Giddens later clarified that the U.K. funds were separate from
the $1.2 billion that he estimates are missing from US customer
accounts. Typically brokers account for US and foreign exchange
collateral separately, with US funds more closely regulated.
"It's not the missing money. This doesn't change the $1.2 billion
at all," Kent Jarrell told Reuters. "We've known this was tied
up with the UK administrator. This is not suddenly found money.
This is money that we knew would be hard to get." Regulators
have been seeking the lost money since MF Global executives said
it was missing, hours before the once leading brokerage filed for
bankruptcy on October 31. Jarrell said the trustee was in
discussion with UK trustee KPMG over recovering the funds. "We
are going to claim that those are the assets of our customers but
we don't have control over that money. We'll pursue them
vigorously but it's been our experience that we may not get that
money back. The recovery of those assets may take some time and
we may not get that back. Any money that we don't get back would
translate into a shortfall for our customers." The Commodity
Futures Trading Commission's Jill Sommers last week told Reuters
in an interview that the CFTC's investigation was "far enough
along the trail" to be able to determine where customer money
went. MF Global filed for bankruptcy on October 31 after it was
forced to reveal that it had made a $6.3 billion bet on European
sovereign debt, spooking investors and customers.
Florida ends mandatory foreclosure mediation
Florida is giving up on a program designed to help keep
struggling homeowners in their homes and out of foreclosure.
When the state created the foreclosure mediation program two
years ago, it was heralded as a creative way to try to address
the crush of foreclosures moving into courts and causing huge
backlogs in the judicial system. The idea was to get lenders and
borrowers together with a mediator, who would help find a
solution to keep cases out of court. But it didn't work. Only
about three percent of the cases resulted in revised mortgage
agreements. Plus, Anthony DiMarco of the Florida Bankers
Association says lenders were already working to resolve mortgage
problems before taking homeowners to foreclosure. "It's very
duplicative since we were trying to do it ahead of time and
throughout the process. If someone came to us with a meaningful
loan modification through the process, I think we would sit down
and work with them and figure out a way to keep them in the
home." DiMarco says lenders paid for all the mediation costs so
they were motivated to make it work. "There was no cost to the
homeowner to take part in it and we spent tens of millions of
dollars and I think if you look at the program results, they
don't bear out that it worked." DiMarco says the program was
also fatally flawed because lenders had a terrible time trying to
locate struggling borrowers. Nearly 60% of the homeowners
eligible for mediation could never be found or contacted. But
while the mediation program is ending, cases already under way
will be settled.
See you at the top!