#thesignalandthenoise

[ice-cream-books]

The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver with Dippin’ Dots. Cover by Helen Yentus and Jason Booher.

[amouria]

@thesignalandnoise Lol, he doesn’t need me defending him but it really was that one time and she ended up breaking up with him bc he didn’t want anything serious. He’s fairly inoffensive as a white dude. But then again, he’s a white dude so I'm not holding out.

[amouria]

@thesignalandnoise I know this is a joke and I agree that his relationship with Tara was not good, but she was legal. Lucy is 25 and has been legal for a while. His past relationships that are known have been with women close to his age. The only other time was when he was 18 and the woman was in her 30s*. (And tbh this worries me bc I think it has shaped his view on age difference in relationships since he is not bothered by it. I wonder if it’s related to his view on his body image bc he lost like 20 lbs at this time for a role and we all know his infamous nickname in school: Fat Cavill.)

*EDIT: He was 19 and she was 32

Anyway, I meant that his type is athletic girls.

[ginnyliu]

Rain rain go away... At least I have my coffee and my book 😌 #cafelife #rainyday #wednesdayafternoon #thesignalandthenoise

[yskinopravda08]

[신호와 소음] #20160910 1.근래 들어 나의 독서 경로는 확률적 세계관에 경도되어 있다. 근데 따지고 보면 이건 생래적인 느낌도 든다. 내가 지내온 환경이나 작금의 생활이라는 게 풍요와 안정과는 거리가 멀었기 때문이다. 삶의 어느 한 켠에는 항상 긴장의 키를 놓을 수가 없었다는 말이다. 이런 태도는 나이를 먹어도 익숙하지가 않다. 2.최근 몇 달 간 탐독한 책들이 우연,확률,운,불확실성 따위를 다룬 책들인데, 읽은 책들을 토대로 초고를 한 번 써볼 계획이다. 개인적으로는 인생관을 가다듬는 기회가 되지 않을까 싶다. 3.네이트 실버의 '신호와 소음'은 번역서를 절반 정도 읽다가 원서를 도중에 구입해서 함께 읽었다. 개인적으로 번역서도 나쁘지 않았다. 몇 가지 오탈자가 보이는 걸 빼면 말이다. 이 책은 베이지언주의를 바탕으로 다양한 분야에서 진행되는 예측을 다루고 있다. 전반적으로 흥미가 떨어지지 않은 상태로 완독을 했는데 이런 책은 오랜만이었다. 지적인 호흡과 긴장이 유지되는 게 쉽지 않은데 저자의 필력이 대단하다고 느꼈다. 4.대학원 시절에 비트겐슈타인의 'on certainty'라는 논문을 읽은 적이 있는데, 아마 그 때 부터 였을지도 모른다. 과도한 확신이나 자신감을 보이는 사람에 대해 거리를 두었던 적이 말이다. 나는 무슨 주장에 대해서 완고한 사람은 따분하게 느껴지고, 어떤 교의나 이념에 대해 헌신하는 사람을 이전만큼 숭고하다고 여기지도 않는다. '확실함'이라는 것이 세상에 과연 있기는 한 건지.. 그러니 겸손해 질 필요가 있다. 조바심 낼 이유도 전혀 없는 것이고. 이 책 '신호와 소음'은 올해가 가기 전에 한 번 더 읽을 예정이다. #북스타그램 #책 #책스타그램 #책추천 #네이트실버 #natesilver #thesignalandthenoise #예측 #인생책 #주말인데책이나봐요😁😁(연희동 우리집에서)

[kaseytaylor]

The Signal and The Noise

I just finished reading this book. It is by Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com fame. He talks about predictions and forecasts. He talks about how when making and forecasts there is much noise that we have to decipher through and focus on the signal. The signal is what is telling us what will happen. I loved this metaphor of the signal and the noise. 

For Lent this year I gave up Facebook and Twitter. In the last two weeks I have noticed how much I HAVEN'T missed it. Honestly, those two social networks are a bunch of noise and very little signals. I follow too many types of people that tweet too much noise without enough signal to justify it. Already I am thinking of people I can unfollow once Easter comes around. 

When it comes to Facebook, it is similar. I have all of these people on my friends list who I now have no idea what is going on in their lives and that is okay. I left my email address in plain sight and so for only two people have emailed me to let me know what is going on in their world. I started to wonder how much I really needed to know about people's lives. The short answer is very little. The real important stuff will eventually get to me. 

So I started to think about how much noise I contribute. Too much honestly. I'll tweet something I find funny and never hear anything about it. I post pictures and status updates on Facebook expecting everyone to tell me how deep or how funny I am. If I do get a comment it is usually from someone I had no idea was even reading what I was writing. It was kind of embarassing. All I am doing is adding to the noise. 

To further that point, I was perusing my podcasts and realizing that I don't enjoy half of the ones I listen to. So instead of subscribing to 7 podcasts, I know subscribe to 2. Finding a way to reduce the noise. 

So when Easter comes and my Lenten fast is over, I plan on drastically reducing my noise. There is way too much signal to enjoy.