Postmortem on Peace Talks
What did we learn in our two rounds of negotiation? Here’s the Muse assessment:
Land Does Not Solve Everything
At the beginning of round two things seemed hopeful. As the Palestinian delegation we felt like we were doing well. With little to offer other than support or condemnation we had managed to rest a portion of the state of Syria to be the state of “New Palestine” - it even has a nice ring to it. In the end however we had rather more questions than answers.
How would we be able to consolidate our existing holdings in occupied territories? How would movement be achieved? Have acquired new territory we were now responsible for it. Were we equipped to handle administration? Security? economy? Meanwhile the issues of “the homeland” remained. Our solution may have provided a spot in the world for Palestinians but it did not redress the grievances of our people or their longing to return to their homeland.
We forgot about Jerusalem
As the Palestinian delegation we totally whiffed on the issue of Jerusalem. If we moved our capital from Ramallah to New Palestine it would move the seat of government more than 100 miles north of Jerusalem. Jerusalem is (as stated by our own rhetoric and policy) the heart and capital of Palestine. Does moving north mean abandoning that claim and ceding to the Israelis?
The US and Palestine Working Together?
One of the oddest and least likely scenarios here is that the US would side with the Palestinian authority on some form of land allocation. The US does not see Palestine or anyone in authority there as credible negotiating partners. In this they clearly mirror the Israeli point of view. All candidates for US president save Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders hue closely to the status quo on support for Israel. Something short of a state - a safe haven for Palestinian refugees jointly administered by coalition forces and Arab governments might be possible, but carving out territory for them? I’m guessing it would be a non-starter.
Clearly, as I’ve stated before, there does not seem to be a clear path to peace in the region that allows each party to claim a “win.” Wiping out ISIS will require western money and (probably) western forces, but it leaves other (lesser) bad guys in charge of the shop. The status quo of the Palestinian problem is not likely to change as a result of settlements and changes in Syria. The Syrian civil war is an opportunity for Arab governments to flex new muscle and influence, for Russia to make a play for a return to great power status, and for individual regional actors like the Kurds to gain a foothold for their own project. It does not appear to be an opportunity for changes in entrenched positions with regard to Palestine and Israel. If anything, the shift in attention allows the status quo to atrophy even more.
Student Buy in and Play to Form
One of the failings of our Palestinian delegation was that we really didn’t “buy in” to the way the PA treats it’s interests. We weren’t parochial. We didn’t have narrowly constrained needs to maintain personal power or the influence of a party within our own coalition. Instead, we tried to be reasonable - at one point recognizing that Gaza had been a ‘thorn in the side” of Israels southern border - something I can’t imaging the PA acknowledging except perhaps in praise of Gazans. The US for it’s part also seemed willing to throw in with whomever might have a middle way.
That’s where it ends. The Assad regime played it true to form. They were defensive and only gave in grudgingly - making the smallest concessions possible. The Israeli’s for their part were unflappable and unmistakably narrow in their regional interests - security first, everything else is peanuts. The rebels also held their own - insisting on the partition plan as a temporary cease fire and free and fair elections as a concession.
What’s amazing about it is how being arbitrarily assigned to a group and given the task of protecting its interests automatically makes you invested in the outcome and willing to lobby for interests you might otherwise oppose.
All in all it was terrific illustration of why peace seems so illusive. It was enlightening and entertaining. I’m glad this experiment was part of the class experience. I think it illustrated better than mere research how these issues collide and resist compromise.