MI6 ANALYTICAL REPORT – SITUATION IN THE USA (2032)
CLASSIFICATION: TOP SECRET
Title: The Collapse of the United States – Internal and Geopolitical Analysis
Author: MI6 Intelligence Department
1. HISTORICAL CONTEXT (2025–2032)
After Donald Trump's controversial re-election in 2024 and his attempt to bypass constitutional term limits in 2028, the United States underwent a process of political erosion that led to its de facto disintegration. The 2028 elections, widely considered fraudulent, allowed Trump to retain power, and the subsequent years resulted in:
Militarization of federal agencies – The FBI, CIA, and military were filled with loyalists.
Crackdown on independent media and judiciary – Congress and the Supreme Court were transformed into puppet institutions.
Conflict with liberal states – Especially California, New York, and Illinois, which openly challenged the federal government's legitimacy.
Economic and political separation – The economy became divided between the “Federal Republic” (loyal to Trump) and the “Democratic Coalition.”
In 2030, California, Oregon, and Washington declared secession, forming the New American Union (NAU). A few months later, New York, Illinois, and New England joined the movement, rejecting White House authority.
2. DIVISION OF THE USA (2032)
2.1. Federal Republic of the United States (FRUSA) – Trumpist Faction
President: Donald Trump (de facto lifetime leader)
Territory: Southern and Central U.S. states, including Texas, Florida, South Carolina, Alabama, Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, Idaho, Wyoming.
Government: Authoritarian, nationalist, pro-Russian
Allies: Russia, China (limited support), Iran
Centralized, protectionist economy, controlled by oligarchs tied to the administration.
Majority control over the former U.S. military, but logistical struggles and soldier rebellions.
Severe economic difficulties, hyperinflation, and international sanctions.
Increasing repression against minorities, political opponents, and the press.
2.2. New American Union (NAU) – Secessionist States
President: Gavin Newsom (interim leader of the NAU)
Territory: California, Oregon, Washington, Illinois, New York, New England, Colorado.
Government: Federal parliamentary democracy
Allies: EU, NATO, Japan, Canada, Australia
Strong economy (California and New York remain global financial and technological hubs).
Support from the EU, Canada, and Japan – military aid, humanitarian assistance.
Army formed from the National Guard and U.S. Army defectors.
Mass influx of political refugees and specialists fleeing FRUSA.
2.3. Independent Zones and Contested Territories
Texas: Officially pro-Trump, but experiencing growing internal tensions.
Arizona and Nevada: Battlefields between FRUSA and NAU.
Washington, D.C.: Symbolically controlled by Trump, but in a state of permanent destabilization.
Mexico and Canada: Managing refugee flows and attempting neutrality, although Canada provides logistical support to NAU.
3. MILITARY ASPECTS OF THE CONFLICT
3.1. Conventional Weapons
FRUSA controls approximately 60% of the former U.S. military assets, including air forces and a significant portion of the navy.
NAU has a smaller army, but superior technology and access to NATO equipment.
Both sides are recruiting volunteers and organizing paramilitary militias.
FRUSA controls the majority of former U.S. nuclear missile silos via the Air Force.
NAU is attempting to gain control over Vandenberg Base in California and Trident-class ballistic missile submarines.
Risk of nuclear deployment remains high, especially if FRUSA faces military collapse.
4. GEOPOLITICS – GLOBAL RESPONSE
4.1. NATO and the European Union
EU and NATO have not recognized FRUSA but have not officially endorsed NAU.
The UK, France, Germany, and Canada provide humanitarian and intelligence support to NAU.
MI6, DGSE, and NIS conduct covert sabotage operations against FRUSA and its Russian advisors.
Russia actively supports FRUSA with weapons and military advisors.
China remains neutral, waiting for both sides to weaken before expanding its influence in Asia and the Pacific.
4.3. Mexico and South America
Mexico is sealing its borders to avoid getting dragged into the conflict.
Brazil and Argentina are negotiating with the EU regarding potential support for NAU.
🔴 SCENARIO 1: Prolonged Civil War (60% probability)
The conflict turns into a long-term war of attrition.
FRUSA remains isolated but continues to control nuclear weapons.
Russia and China exploit the situation to their advantage.
🟠 SCENARIO 2: NATO Intervention (25% probability)
FRUSA attacks NAU, prompting NATO’s military response.
The intervention could lead to a direct confrontation with Russia.
🟢 SCENARIO 3: FRUSA Collapse & Trump’s Downfall (15% probability)
A military coup or internal rebellion leads to the regime's downfall.
The U.S. formally dissolves, and NAU forms a new state.
Report compiled for MI6 use only.
NIGHTFALL: MI6-2032-NS-001 – A Classified Briefing CLASSIFICATION: TOP SECRET – EYES ONLY DATE: March 2025 RECIPIENT: Authorized Operative
