Misplaced Lens Cap
he wasn't even looking at me and he found me
❣ Chile in a Photography ❣
almost home
occasionally subtle
"I'm Dorothy Gale from Kansas"
d e v o n
#extradirty
PR's Tumblrdome
we're not kids anymore.
PUT YOUR BEARD IN MY MOUTH
DEAR READER
dirt enthusiast
Love Begins
roma★
Peter Solarz
Acquired Stardust
oozey mess
TVSTRANGERTHINGS
Claire Keane
seen from Saudi Arabia
seen from Türkiye
seen from Malaysia
seen from United States
seen from Russia
seen from United States
seen from Malaysia
seen from United States
seen from United States
seen from Lithuania
seen from New Zealand
seen from Slovenia
seen from Belgium
seen from Spain
seen from Japan
seen from Italy
seen from United States
seen from United Kingdom
seen from India
seen from United States
@disexplications
Reading the Biden COVID relief proposal:
[T]he president-elect is calling on Congress to raise the minimum wage to $15 per hour, and end the tipped minimum wage and sub-minimum wage for people with disabilities so that workers across the country can live a middle class life and provide opportunity for their families. [emphasis mine]
I’d heard about the minimum wage increase, but I haven’t seen anyone mention the part about the tipped minimum wage, and it seems like a big deal.
A walk down a historic day in our nations Capital.
I found this series of videos taken by a Trump supporter at the entrance to the Capitol. There are lots of clips showing approximately these events, but these were taken much closer to the gate, and you can hear the conversations going on within the mob.
Some people in it were trying to calm things down, but they did not prevail.
Trying to decide how paranoid it is at this point to believe there was a small vanguard within the capitol insurrection who were really planning to fuck shit up. Part of the problem there honestly though is I’m not sure how they failed.
cyprinodont: Why else bring zip ties tho
I think this distinction to make here is between ”some guys there were hoping to get lucky” and something more like “People with specific pre-planned targets, routes, and possibly arrangements with the cops.“
I’ve heard one of the guys with zip ties was a cop, so presumably he just brought shit with him from work, but there’s definitely a lack of careful planning here besides people showing up with gear and hoping to get lucky.
The two zip tie guys were (1) a bartender and (2) a former Air Force officer (now apparently a private pilot) who claims he picked up the zip ties off the ground (???).
He claimed that he had found the zip-tie handcuffs on the floor. “I wish I had not picked those up,” he told me. “My thought process there was I would pick them up and give them to an officer when I see one. . . . I didn’t do that because I had put them in my coat, and I honestly forgot about them.” He also said that he was opposed to vandalizing the building, and was dismayed when he learned of the extent of the destruction. “I know it looks menacing,” he told me. “That was not my intent.”
I don’t believe that story, but it’s interesting that he obviously had no kind of plan for what to say if someone asked him about this.
There only two precincts in the city of Chicago that cast more than twice as many presidential votes in 2020 as in 2016
One of them is Ward 27, Precinct 28, which is in the Near North Side and is bounded by Division, Chicago, Wells, and Orleans. It went from 268 votes to 828, and from Clinton+68 to Biden+53. I’m guessing this resulted from new apartments being built.
The second and more interesting one is Ward 24, Precinct 16, which is in Little Village. It went from 492 votes to 1167 votes, and from Clinton+89 to Biden+44. This is the precinct that contains Cook County Jail, although it also contains some nearby residential buildings.
It was already legal in 2016 to cast an absentee ballot from jail, but since then, Illinois has passed a law requiring counties above a certain size to operate an in-person polling place in jails.
Even though that precinct became much less Democratic, it still contributed more net votes to Biden than to Clinton because the number of votes was so much higher.
Every strangely colored blotch on the Chicago election maps has some sort of story behind it, and since some of them show up repeatedly, I can explain a lot of them.
These two red blotches on the swing map (both of which voted Democratic, but more narrowly than in the past) are both demographically different from the surrounding area. The first one, on Belmont, is the former site of the Riverview amusement park. Today it’s mostly commercial, and the only residential building there is the Silent Cooperative, which is an apartment building designed for Deaf people.
The southern one, on Diversey, is Lathrop Homes, a public housing project that was largely vacant for a while. It recently became a mixed-income development.
None of that explains why they became more Republican, but it does explain why they don’t move with the surrounding precincts.
Finally got around to making some maps.
Note that the last map is not adjusted for changes in population. The neighborhoods with the largest decline in votes (e.g., Englewood) are losing population, so this may not show a decline in turnout. You can also see university campuses on the map – many students weren’t on campus because of the pandemic and did not vote in the city.
Translator’s note: normal’naia zhizn’ means normal life
Apparently the #TwIll hashtag means “Twitter Illinois”, but I can only read it as “TW: Illinois”
Dicks out for collusion
As far as I’ve been able to tell, here’s the map of which countries’ governments have acknowledged Joe Biden as the winner of the 2020 US presidential election (blue), which have made a point of not acknowledging anyone yet (dark gray), and which have offered conflicting acknowledgements among different government officials (green (Slovenia)). Light gray simply means that I didn’t find anything suggesting they’ve taken a position in my cursory search. There is no country which has unequivocally acknowledged Donald Trump as the winner.
Sorry to bother you, only person I could think to ask. Conspiracy theory I'm seeing a lot involves WI, where the state website says there were "3,684,726 active registered voters on November 1, 2020." There were 3,239,920 votes. Even with thousands of same-day registrations, that turnout's a bit implausible. Since GOP lawsuits aren't even bringing this up I'm assuming there's not much to it, but I was wondering if you had thoughts. I'm guessing "active" might be a crucial word?
I don’t think that number is implausibly high.
If we assume those numbers are both up-to-date (which I’m not sure they are), about 88% of registered voters voted. That seems high, but that’s because turnout is usually represented as votes divided by voting-eligible population (VEP) – i.e., everyone who could register, whether or not they actually did.
According to the US Elections Project, 2020 Wisconsin turnout represented as a percentage of VEP was 76%. That still seems high, but that’s because this was a very high-turnout election and Wisconsin is a very high-turnout state. (In 2016, the only states with higher turnout than WI were MN, CO, NH, and ME.)
If you look at the historical data, there have been other elections where turnout in WI was almost as high as 76%. There have been multiple elections, including 2020, where turnout in Minnesota was higher than 76%. So I can easily believe that number.
There was some false information floating around at one point that had WI turnout over 100% of registered voters, which originated from someone using a a very outdated figure for the number of registered voters. I’m guessing this is derived from that – someone may have assumed that 88% was still too high to be plausible, but in this particular case it’s really not.
“We must PROTECT the Election!” says one campaign text Friday signed by Mr. Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr. “My father’s calling on YOU to help bolster our critical Election Defense Fund.”
Clicking through to the donation page, potential givers can review a disclaimer that 50% of any contribution will be used for general election campaign debt retirement and 50% for the campaign’s recount account.
Other Trump fundraising pitches in recent days ask for help to “protect the integrity of this election” but lead to a donation page for Mr. Trump’s “Make America Great Again” committee. The fine print on those solicitations says 60% of a contribution helps the campaign retire debt and 40% goes to the Republican National Committee.
The Trump campaign did not immediately respond to questions about the financing structure for the defense fund, and how much debt the campaign is facing.
I legitimately can’t tell if this is a weak autogolpe attempt or just a fundraising scam, which is very emblematic of this administration
Mississippi has voted to end a Jim Crow-era constitutional provision intended to dilute the Black vote and ensure white voters would be able to choose governors and other statewide officials. It created an electoral college-like system requiring candidates for statewide office to win, not only the popular vote, but also a majority of Mississippi House districts.
This bizarre system I didn’t even know about until 2018 is now gone.
It’s looking like this joke map might be the actual map
Florida is a land of irony – Clinton did better than Obama in Miami-Dade and worse everywhere else in FL; Biden did worse than Clinton in Miami-Dade and better everywhere else in FL (though not enough).
