Future of Rural Canada
Immigration
A surge in Canadian urbanization has left the rural on the decline. Currently, 35 percent of Canada’s population lives in one of the three largest cities of Toronto, Vancouver or Montreal. The population growth in urban centres is driven by a combination of immigration from abroad and the migration from rural areas. However, immigration rates of newcomers to the countryside has grown in recent years, largely in the form of secondary migration. A trend is emerging whereby immigrants are transitioning to rural areas after previously settling into major cities. Immigrants initially seek a life in big cities due to the wealth of services and programs they offer. As more immigrants make the switch, it increases the likelihood that new immigrants will choose rural areas as their initial settling places. An influx of immigrants to the countryside will increase ethnic diversities and serve to extinguish fears regarding barriers to acceptance in these regions. Realizing the benefit of increasing their immigrant populations, many small cities have been making efforts to attract newcomers to the area. For example, Simcoe County has recently published an informational website to attract immigrants, which can be translated into fifteen different languages. If immigrant settlement patterns continue to change, rural Canada could see major demographic and economic transformations.
https://immigration.simcoe.ca/ - For more information
Agricultural Productivity
As climate change continues to threaten the landscape, Canada will serve to benefit in terms of agricultural productivity through longer growing seasons. This will give Canada the capacity to grow crops where not previously possible.
As conditions in vulnerable areas (such as the majority of Africa) worsen, Canada has the opportunity to become of the world’s next leaders in sustainable food production. Global populations are expected to exceed 10 billion by 2050; in order to keep up, 70% more food needs to be produced within the next generation. As the environment deteriorates, resource conflicts will be inevitable. Thanks to social media and communications, we are already witnessing citizens protesting over access to food in places all over the world. Most notably in 2011, when powerful images of a riot in Tunis went viral that showed a man wielding a baguette as a weapon.
Having access to affordable food and water is a privilege that many of us take for granted. Current technological advancements have allowed rates of food production to surpass that of population growth but at great social and environmental costs. Although we are producing enough food, it is poorly distributed, and the price fluctuates depending on current prices of oil. According to the new Canadian Food Guide, fruits and vegetables should make up 50 percent of our diet, yet we are underproducing these nutritional foods at only 4 servings per person per day. A significant portion of our diets now include oily, fatty and sugary foods – a reliance on which can lead to many health issues such as obesity, diabetes, high cholesterol/blood pressure, heart disease and stroke.
Current estimates predict that we will run out of oil within the next 50 years, this will have drastic implications on food pricing and availability, especially concerning distribution to remote rural communities. The scarcity of oil will hopefully spur a transition towards renewable, green energy sources that are safer and cheaper alternatives in the long term.
Technology
There have been many technological advancements in the agricultural industry that have allowed us to increase yields using smaller plots of land and minimal human intervention. Driverless tractors, GPS precision farming, field mapping via drones and the robotic milker are only some of the examples being implemented within farming operations today.
Robotic milkers are becoming more common worldwide and are known to improve qualities of life by reducing labour demands. Robotic milkers also have health and safety implications as they can be programmed to measure temperatures, bacteria levels and for immediate disease detection.
Perhaps one of the hottest topics in farm-tech debates remains the use of genetically modified organisms (GMO’s) in consumer products. GMO’s are organisms whose genetic material has been artificially altered. This is typically done through the insertion of one specie’s gene into another specie’s genome via a gene gun. Despite scientist claims that GMO’s are perfectly safe to eat, reduce soil-damaging tillage, reduce carbon emission and reduce the need for the most toxic herbicides in favor of milder ones, consumers remain reluctant. There have been numerous success stories associated with GMO’s, most notably the Rainbow Papaya which is accredited for single-handedly saving Hawaii’s $17 million papaya industry. In the 1960’s, the papaya industry began incurring severe economic losses due to the spreading of a papaya ringspot virus by aphids. By 1997, Hawaii’s papaya industry was collapsing. The Rainbow papaya variety was developed in the U.S. by scientists at Cornell University which featured a gene that made papaya plants resistant to the ringspot virus – similar to the way a vaccine works on humans. The Rainbow Papaya produced immediate results and had stopped industry decline within four years of its implementation. Papaya is native to Central America and has become the first genetically modified fruit to be grown as a commercial product.
Resources
https://www.canadianimmigration.net/news-articles/is-immigration-to-rural-areas-in-canada-s-future/
https://grist.org/food/why-gmos-do-matter-and-even-more-to-the-developing-world/
http://fortune.com/2016/11/19/hawaii-gmo-pesticide-regulation/
https://www2.hawaii.edu/~doisteph/Papaya/rainbow.html
As always, thanks for reading.
Paige
Hey Paige, the increase in new immigrants to Canada choosing to settle outside of large urban centres as small communities and support networks are established in these smaller settlements is very interesting. As Canada prioritizes skill in trades or otherwise and education in immigration I wonder how this will seek to fill some of the gaps in rural service provision. Will this decrease the need for rural dwellers with chronic medical conditions to migrate to cities? How will this counteract some of the rural trends that we have discussed?
As the impacts of climate change are realized more, Canada’s role as a agricultural exporter will change a great deal – increasing opportunity for agriculture in some areas while posing new pests and challenges in others. Not to mention other Canadian industries which will be altered such as pipelines and other physical infrastructure built on permafrost and in northern Canada. Also, for those using traditional food preservation such as first nations who may still use cold cellars dung into the ground or Mennonite who once harvested ice blocks in February to preserve food through the summer – what will happen to rural food security?
Very interesting post, a wide and indepth summary of canadian and global challenges that will affect rural and urban spaces in the coming generation as a result of policies and climate change.










