Understanding the market for my thesis idea
Here's where I try to define a market for my thesis idea and contextualize it among products and services with similar offerings. Right now, that idea is this: Some kind of mobile app that provides people who lack a sense of purpose (in this case, people who are on parole) with a lightweight and fun way to develop agency via goal-setting and celebrate small wins along the way.
In class last week, we had more sessions for collaborative brainstorming and research. This time I used my session to get help with a competitive audit for my concept. I asked Sam and Matt to take 10 minutes to help me research existing products and services for goal setting/tracking as well as peer support networks. Using a collaborative Google spreadsheet, they very graciously helped me pull a bunch of services — I can't thank you enough, guys!
After the audit, I took some time to analyze the list of products and assess how effectively they met each of the following user needs:
Small wins. Break down goals into achievable steps & celebrate progress along the way
Purpose and agency. “Connect the dots” to see where the small wins are leading. Help the individual develop a personal sense of purpose that will motivate them to engage with unexciting work.
Easy to use. Something that doesn’t add work to their already-busy lives and has a very low barrier to entry.
Trusted community. Allow for self-expression, support and feedback within a peer network of people in similar situations.
Fun. Make goal-setting not feel like an Excel spreadsheet.
Free. Because making ends meet is already a huge burden.
After evaluating their effectiveness, I drew the following conclusions:
Most products that thoughtfully address a higher sense of purpose feel too functional, while most products that are fun to use don't thoughtfully address developing a higher sense of purpose.
Products that incorporated more sophisticated behavior change models or personal coaching are not free.
The community piece seems to be lacking across the board. The services that do incorporate community don't feel very easy to relate to. The communities are comprised of complete random strangers or strangers who are pursuing similar goals (stronger, but doesn't have the same power as a community of people you know IRL).
Creating New Market Space
This exercise made me think about a really great article from HBR called Creating New Market Space. In it, the authors outline 6 different alternative techniques to help you shift your product strategy so you think less about head-to-head competition and more about gaps where there might be opportunities for new markets to emerge.
I took a little time to apply their suggested framework to my concept and in doing so broadened my thinking about how this product will fit into people's lives. Here are the insights I garnered. I highly recommend reading the article in full.
1. Looking across substitute industries
The word "industries" doesn't completely apply to my idea, but drawing on the general technique, I asked myself: What are all the existing ways someone might develop a sense of purpose? Here's a list:
writing/tracking goals on paper
writing/tracking goals using software (app, excel spreadsheet, etc)
getting private personal coaching / motivational interviewing
getting free personal coaching / mentorship through a public service or nonprofit
online tests like Imperative and Strengthsfinder
supportive and loving relationships
journaling using software (app, word doc, etc.)
participation in a peer support network
Taking a step back, I made a couple of observations about this list. Some of these items require initiative, and as such, they appeal to people who are self-starter (goal setting/tracking, journaling, mediation). This type of initiative isn't something that everyone on parole has. Others cost money (online tests, personal coaching) — another thing that's uncommon among my group of test users. Some of these items require social or familial bonds with people who can support one's growth (relationships, peer networks, free mentoring). Not everyone is lucky enough to have strong bonds like this in their lives, but for those who do, how can we amplify and channel those bonds toward that person's development?
2. Looking across strategic groups within industries
Again, I'm not taking the word "industry" literally here, and instead opting to think of it as "problem space." Here's a breakdown of some types of users involved in my problem space, and current solutions that are appropriate for each type.
The self-aware, self-driven person — conventional goal tracking apps, journaling and meditation
The person who needs help understanding what their goals & purpose are in the first place — relationships, coaching and mentoring, online tests
The person who needs nudges to stay on track — coaching and mentoring, app reminders
I wonder if there could be a service for all three: Help someone discover what their higher-level goals/purpose are, help that person break down and track those goals, and nudge that person along.
3. Looking across chains of buyers
Who are the actors are involved in this space? Who could make use of this product?
Purchasers might be users themselves or the organizations they belong to.
Users are currently parolees. This product might also apply to others who might be struggling to find a purpose: retirees, the unemployed, people who are in mourning, people in debt, recent divorcees.
Influencers like counselors, coaches, nonprofits, family and friends.
4. Looking across complimentary product & service offerings
What are people doing before and after they use this product? Could this product offer complimentary services to help people with those things?
caring for their children
meeting with their parole officers
going to their drug and/or anger management programs
applying for / dealing with their government benefits
5. Looking across functional or emotional appeal to buyers
Something like personal coaching is usually emotionally-oriented & based on personal relationships — could this app provide a high-performance software alternative?
On the other hand, goal-setting apps are usually functionally-oriented — how could this product add a burst of emotion?
What are the future trends the we can capitalize on? This one's a toughie, but the one big trend I'm banking on is the rise in access to smartphones. Almost all of the folks I interviewed in my research had a smartphone, even though they didn't have much money to their names. And, as I cited in a previous post, there is a wonderful set of data from Significance Labs that points to the growth of smartphone usage among low-income New Yorkers.