observing popcorn
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Misplaced Lens Cap
dirt enthusiast
Stranger Things
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izzy's playlists!
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ojovivo
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oozey mess
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we're not kids anymore.
Today's Document

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@scribblefrog
observing popcorn
you may have noticed that my blog is disorganized and thematically incoherent and my tag game is weaker by the day. this is commentary on the chaos of modern existence
[source]
🚨BREAKING: OpenAI published a paper proving that ChatGPT will always make things up.
Not sometimes. Not until the next update. Always. They proved it with math.
Even with perfect training data and unlimited computing power, AI models will still confidently tell you things that are completely false. This isn't a bug they're working on. It's baked into how these systems work at a fundamental level.
And their own numbers are brutal. OpenAI's o1 reasoning model hallucinates 16% of the time. Their newer o3 model? 33%. Their newest o4-mini? 48%. Nearly half of what their most recent model tells you could be fabricated. The "smarter" models are actually getting worse at telling the truth.
Here's why it can't be fixed. Language models work by predicting the next word based on probability. When they hit something uncertain, they don't pause. They don't flag it. They guess. And they guess with complete confidence, because that's exactly what they were trained to do.
The researchers looked at the 10 biggest AI benchmarks used to measure how good these models are. 9 out of 10 give the same score for saying "I don't know" as for giving a completely wrong answer: zero points. The entire testing system literally punishes honesty and rewards guessing.
So the AI learned the optimal strategy: always guess. Never admit uncertainty. Sound confident even when you're making it up.
OpenAI's proposed fix? Have ChatGPT say "I don't know" when it's unsure. Their own math shows this would mean roughly 30% of your questions get no answer. Imagine asking ChatGPT something three times out of ten and getting "I'm not confident enough to respond." Users would leave overnight. So the fix exists, but it would kill the product.
This isn't just OpenAI's problem. DeepMind and Tsinghua University independently reached the same conclusion. Three of the world's top AI labs, working separately, all agree: this is permanent.
Every time ChatGPT gives you an answer, ask yourself: is this real, or is it just a confident guess?
i keep reblogging things to the wrong damn blog and i'm too deep to fix it lmao. if i ever start actually posting art on here again i'll blitz the account & start over
FINAL POLL: class Aves
Which is the best bird?
Little spotted kiwi
Common raven
Thanks to all who participated in this tournament! Here it is: the final question. May the best bird win.
The final result!! You have selected the common raven as the best bird.
I encourage people to look back at the "#species level" tag and to appreciate the sheer magnitude of birds we looked at together.
David Shrigley (British, 1968) - I've Never Seen You (2020)
I was commissioned to make a spearhead in the shape of a great egret
i dont care if mondays rife,tuesday qednesday full of strife, thursday fuck my baka life, its friday im in sucks
happy thursday fuck my baka life, thank you for this post op i had this stuck in my head for days so i embroidered it
i might attach it to a magnet to go on my fridge lol
do you ever feel like a nutella jar floating joyfully through the Orion spacecraft as it approaches the Moon?
Just saw a gigantic iceberg drifting by
HUH???
that's normal
that's literally normal. an instrument is a girl she has feelings and can hear you.
Interview with Rise the zero-gravity indicator
til Christina Koch (currently flying to the moon)(first all women spacewalk) was the first person to edit wikipedia from space. AND IT WAS TO ADD INFORMATION ABOUT SPACEWALKS. AS A SPACEWALKING ASTRONAUT
i haaate when ppl are talking abt mammal colouration and they bring up mandrills but not vervet monkeys.... fake fans
put some respect on his name
Artemis II astronauts Reid Wiseman, Jeremy Hansen, Victor Glover, and Christina Koch after a joyful recovery aboard the USS John P. Murtha.
That thing where milkmaids were often immunized against small pox because they'd already contracted the weaker cow pox earlier in their lives. That's Tumblr, to me, against whatever the hell social media landscape is happening in 2026.
"TikTok Instagram Youtube-Shorts Share-Your-Whole-Life Influencer Social-Media Online Online Online" it cannot affect me. I was already a weird online 16-year-old all so many years ago. You cannot grab me raw and unfortified with these poisons. I inoculated myself when glomping was a thing. I am still on Tumblr making text poasts.