(otp is kyman) When things get really bad and the world looks its darkest, you just have to throw up your hands and say "Well, alright!" cause it's probably gonna get a whole hell of a lot worse. (18+ is preferred)
I am here today to talk to you very seriously about the South Park mini figure blind bags and share my scientific findings on what I propose the rarity odds are for the figures, seeing as these are not published anywhere that I could find nor on the packaging.
Should you, reader, also be as interested in these figures as I am, please do interact. I'd love to trade data with you, perhaps even the figures themselves as I have a lot of doubles.
Should you simply wish to know who I believe to be the rarest figure in this selection, the tl;dr is Stan. It's Stan.
I'm starting to believe Stan Marsh does not exist.
Available Figures
There are 24 figures available in the collection, as shown in the image above the cut. Eight are full colour, the rest are chasers with eight silver and eight gold.
I definitely haven't been cutting these character checklists up for silly reasons. Definitely not.
My Current Collection
Base Set
Stan: Zero
Kyle: 1
Kenny: 2
Cartman: 5
Wendy: 4
Butters: 5
Chef: 2
Randy: 2
Silver Chasers
Characters I don't have aren't listed.
Wendy: 2
Cartman: 1
Randy: 1
Gold Chasers
Cartman: 1
Randy: 1
A Brief Interlude
Please kneel before Kyle, the only one I've found so far, when he was still in his original packaging.
🙌
Proposed Odds
Character Odds
From least to most common:
Stan - 2%
Kyle - 6%
Kenny - 9%
Chef - 9%
Randy - 14%
Butters - 17%
Wendy - 20%
Cartman - 23%
Please note: Cartman is not special.
So if I were to assign rarity odds on characters in general, I think they'd look something like this:
🔴 Common: Cartman, Wendy, Butters
🔶 Uncommon: Kenny, Randy, Chef
⭐ Rare: Stan, Kyle
(I briefly considered categorising Kyle as rare and Stan as super rare, but I have no wish to separate them.)
Based on smoothed probability (as I've yet to find Stan), Stan is likely to appear once in every thirty-five bags. I plan to test this, as I currently have 27 bags. If I don't get Stan by my thirty-fifth, I will stop this madness 😆
I'm aware that with this relatively small sample size, these estimates are uncertain.
Chaser Odds
While my sample size is too small to work out character odds with chasers, I can estimate the odds of getting a chaser in general and whether it will be gold or silver:
🩶 Silver Chaser: Roughly 1 in 7 blind bags
💛 Gold Chaser: Roughly 1 in 14 blind bags
It's 22% likely you'll get a chaser in general, so roughly one in five bags.
Other Interesting(?) Findings
The gold finish on the two gold chasers I have so far is very different. As you can see, gold Cartman is very glossy and reflective while Randy is dull. I'd love to know if anyone else has a shiny Randy or if he's doomed to be dull. If there's variation between the finishes, that could make for a more interesting collection. Imagine having all the dull gold chasers AND all the shiny ones. Imagine.
These figures are janky. Check out Cartman's hole and the mess that is Wendy's jacket collar.
🙇♀️ Thank you for reading this - I hope it's useful or at the very least, entertaining 🙇♀️ Wish me luck in my search for Stan!
Things are getting much harder now that these figures appear to be out of stock everywhere in the UK, but I did find a guy on YouTube who opened 20 bags on camera which gives me more data about the elusiveness of Stan and (slightly) more accurate chaser odds.
With the additional info from SuperSorrell's YouTube, the approximate odds now look like this for each character:
Overall Character Odds (per bag, based on 47 bags):
Stan: 1 in 47 (rarest)
Kyle: 1 in 24
Cartman: 1 in 6
Wendy: 1 in 4 (most common)
Randy: 1 in 7
Butters: 1 in 6
Kenny: 1 in 9
Chef: 1 in 9
Chaser Odds (per bag):
Silver Chaser: 13% chance, roughly 1 in 8
Gold Chaser: 4% chance, roughly 1 in 24
I'm considering buying a bulk lot of figures from eBay but it's a hefty chunk of money when I'm only looking for Stan... but can I cope with my collection being incomplete? We'll see I guess 😆
Honestly, Trey has NEVER given me any kind of vibe that he was straight and this is coming from a bisexual woman. Matt doesn’t give me that vibe either but I think it’s just the fact that both of them are so comfortable with themselves as men and their sexualities that they seriously don’t care. Hell, they willingly dress in women’s clothings like at the Oscars or if it’s just for a small part in a movie (like Cannibal for example where Matt wanted to dress up in drag), and that’s honestly what I love about them. There’s not even 1% of toxic masculinity in either of them.
It's interesting, because Matt gives me 100% straight vibes, even if he has as much (or even more) questionable moments as Trey. I guess it's a matter of feeling.
As for the "comfortable with their sexualities" part, i wouldn’t say that's completely true. For Matt, yes, absolutely. But Trey has shown some signs that he might be a little more self-aware and insecure when it comes to sexuality, even though i would still consider him way more liberal and expressive than the average guy (and especially guys his age), for the reasons you said and others - the way he used to dress, the way he poses, the kiss in baseketball etc. But that might be more a result of him wanting to subvert expectations and stand out than anything to do with sexuality.
Trey especially can be quite sexist at times, so i'd put that under the "toxic masculinity" label. But that doesn't mean he's a bad person or that he can't get better.
The thing i consider to reveal the most of his thoughts on sexuality is how frequent the theme is in his work and how it's treated.
well ok it seems 3 new trey video interviews (and an audio one) got posted while I wasn't active. I'll be archiving those on webarchive tomorrow so there's no chance of them being taken down
if theres others im missing do tell me so I can archive those too
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