Tighter monetary conditions – not lower oil prices - are pushing down inflation expectations
Tighter monetary conditions – not lower oil prices – are pushing down inflation expectations
Oil prices are tumbling and so are inflation expectations so it is only natural to conclude that the drop in inflation expectations is caused by a positive supply shock – lower oil prices. However, that is not necessarily the case. In fact I believe it is wrong.
Let me explain. If for example 2-year/2-year euro zone inflation expectationsdrop now because of lower oil prices then it cannot be…
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