The Erdoğan story starts with a sandwich.
Before his election, during Ramadan, Erdoğan appeared at a press conference and made a point of eating a sandwich in public.
To outsiders, it looked meaningless.
In Atatürk’s Turkey, it meant everything.
Atatürk built the modern Turkish republic after the Ottoman collapse as a deliberate shield from the caliphate and clerical rule. He abolished the caliphate, secularized the courts and education system, and tried to keep political Islam out of state power.
So a hardline Islamist could not simply walk into national politics and say: I am here to bring political Islam back.
That is why the sandwich matters.
In Islamic tradition, "Taqiyya" means lying or concealing one’s beliefs under pressure. The concept is often used more broadly: hide the final objective, Lie or say what the system needs to hear, gain power, then change the system from within. One can break any rule of Islam for the goal of spreading Islam.
The sandwich was Taqiyya.
And Erdoğan’s later record shows the direction of travel.
He did not destroy Atatürk’s republic overnight. He hollowed it out gradually - weakening secular institutions, tightening control over the press, jailing critics, intimidating opposition figures, and turning elections into a tool for consolidating power.
Abroad, the pattern is just as clear.
Turkey still occupies Northern Cyprus. It repeatedly bombs Kurdish forces in Syria and Iraq, including Kurdish-led fighters who helped defeat ISIS, while allowing its border to function as a corridor for jihadists entering Syria.
Erdoğan has hosted Hamas leaders, defended Hamas as a “liberation” movement, and positioned Turkey as one of its safest political homes outside Gaza.
And this is still a NATO country.
A NATO country that bought Russia’s S-400 system.
A NATO country removed from the F-35 program because of that risk.
A NATO country that hosts Hamas, bombs America’s Kurdish partners, cracks down on journalists, occupies part of Cyprus, and presents itself as a patron of Muslim Brotherhood-style political Islam.
Yet NATO has no clean mechanism to expel a member that stays inside the alliance while drifting toward the other camp.
That is why selling Turkey F-35s - or anything close to that level of Western military technology - would be insane.
You do not hand the crown jewels of Western airpower to a leader who treats NATO like a shield, not a shared civilization.
And Keeping American nuclear bombs on Turkish soil under this political trajectory is even more insane.
Atatürk built a republic to keep political Islam from capturing the state.
Erdoğan learned how to pass through its front door holding a sandwich, and now he plans to do the same with NATO.