Scientists pinpoint poaching hotspots, but authorities aren’t always eager to join the fight.
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Scientists pinpoint poaching hotspots, but authorities aren’t always eager to join the fight.
Mlima’s Tale
The Wildlife Conservation Society’s John F. Calvelli joined Public Forum to discuss THE COST OF IVORY with Chelsea Clinton, Lynn Nottage, and Oskar Eustis -- and he started by telling us about New York’s particular history (and continued legacy) in the ivory trade.
In the Kenyan bush, a small-time ivory dealer fights to stay on top while forces mobilize to destroy his trade. When he turns to his younger cousin, a conflicted wildlife ranger who hasn’t been paid in months, they both see a possible lifeline.
Mlima’s Tale
We’re so intrigued to catch this new documentary from Jon Kasbe, showing the ivory trafficking business from the perspective of the poachers. Kasbe captured over 700 hours of footage, over three years, and the result looks incredible. It’s premiering at Tribeca Film Festival in April 2018 and we’ll be there.
"for the record: i wasnt too busy to work on deadpool"
Mlima’s Tale
Warning: this script is probably NSFW and definitely very Deadpool, if you know what we mean. But we can’t help but share, seeing as most of this ‘script’ from Donald Glover’s cancelled/not-happening Deadpool animated series sees Deadpool in single conversation with one of the last three remaining white rhinos. There’s lots of talk of ivory trafficking and Bitcoin! And while it maybe doesn’t end on the best note... that’s Deadpool, we guess.
Saving The Elephants The award-winning film, “The Ivory Game,” that exposes the dark world of ivory trafficking, will be shown at a fundraising event to benefit a major African-based anti-poaching organization on Sunday, Dec.
Thailand Destroyed Its Ivory This Year to Join in Fight Against Wildlife Crimes
Thailand Destroyed Its Ivory This Year to Join in Fight Against Wildlife Crimes
Thailand destroyed more than two tons of ivory in August, sending a loud and clear message in the fight against wildlife trade. The industrial crusher in Bangkok ground up elephant tusks, carved ivory and other trinkets – most of which came from elephants poached in Africa. Thai Prime Minister General Prayut Chan-o-cha led the event, and was joined by government representatives, international…
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Rhino Horn – Ivory Trafficking: Chinese national receives70-month sentencing
A Chinese national on Tuesday ends up sentenced for as many as 70 months in prison; over smuggling 30 rhino horns. A U.S. District Court sentenced Zhifei Li, reported Fox News television channel.
30-year-old Zhifei Li was taken into the custody in the month of January last year (2013) when he allegedly smuggled the above mentioned rhino horns alongside their facts and numerous ivory objects. Li…
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Where is the poached ivory going? by Brendan Moyle
One of the enduring questions we have with respect to the black-market in ivory, is where the raw ivory is going. The somewhat glib answer is that it is being churned into carvings to be sold to East Asian (i.e. mostly Chinese) buyers. This is regarded as glib as to date, evidence of this eruption in carvings for sale has not been observed. Likewise, it glosses over the problem of where and how, this carving is taking place.
For instance, we know based on the tusk throughput in Chinese factories, they go through 28-30 tusks a month. Total. That’s not each factory. That’s the total throughput of all 37 factories legal factories in China. If we take the estimate of 25,000 elephants being poached each year as a ballpark figure, that means somewhere in the region of 47,250 to 50,000 tusks are being supplied to the black market. If you wanted to turn all that into carvings, you need an illegal carving system that can handle about 4,000-4,200 tusks a month.
As you can see, we are nowhere close to that with the legal factories. This is one of the reasons why some of us who research this black market think the speculative market in raw ivory dominates the other markets. Nobody has found evidence of this presumably, massive but underground carving system.
One allegation is that the Chines legal factories are a source of these carvings. The argument is that these factories acquire poached ivory and use it to make carvings. The illegal ivory gets laundered. This is not a very easy thing to test for. Nonetheless, we have devised a way we think works.
Laundering occurs when poached ivory is used to make carvings in legal factories. Deviations in throughput may indicate laundering. The reason is there should be a stable base-line of throughput. From 2009 the number of factories has remained fixed, the supply of raw ivory from legal sources has been stable, and the number of carvers has also been stable. If the legal carvers are being diverted to make pieces out of poached ivory, the rate they can use up legal tusks will be affected.
What makes the estimation complicated is that the throughput of ivory depends on several factors. Large tusks are used up more slowly than smaller tusks. Only very experienced carvers will use large tusks. So these factors have to be built into the model.
There is also an error in the reporting dates. Chinese factories are required to report when a tusk they have been allocated has been consumed as an input. Sadly they’re not required to say when they start using one (this means we have to use the rate at which tusks are used up as the main metric). Tusks are reported as ‘used-up’ in batches. This causes regular under-reporting and over-reporting of tusks.
What we found is that the reporting cycle is linked to retail spending in China. Factories build up stocks of carvings, then supply these to sellers. Retail spending on ‘gold, silver and jewellery’ in China is tied to reporting dates.
A Vector Error Correction Model is was selected to estimate the throughput rate of ivory. This contains short-term and long-term relationships.
Our model uses four equations. It captures the reporting-date error. It captures the different rates at which ivory is used.
The equations are ordered from small pieces (<1kg) as equation 1, through to large tusks (>10kg) as equation 4. The variable Y12 tests for a decline that might mean laundering has occurred. This year appeared to have the biggest downturn based on an eyeballing of the graphs.
One way to represent these equations is as an impulse function.
We simulated the loss of carvers currently engaged using small (1-5kg) and standard (5-10kg) tusks as inputs. We removed enough so that 100kg of throughput of these two categories is lost. The motivation might be that these carvers have been assigned to (hypothetically) make carvings from illegal ivory. The industry-model shows how this would be accommodated. One of the big changes would be the reallocation of carvers making large tusks to accommodate the now slower throughput. The throughput slows by about 160 kg, with the 1-5 kg tusks falling by 40, the 5-10kg tusks falling by 40 and the 10+ kg tusks falling by 80. This is a nice way to illustrate that mucking around with carvers leaves quite a big and lasting footprint.
Importantly we find here no significant downturn in this Y12 period.
We conclude that the claim Chinese legal ivory factories are using (significant amounts of) illegal ivory to produce carvings is false.
It remains possible very small quantities of illegal ivory are being used. Nonetheless, in aggregate the legal factories appear “clean”. The results we note, do not extend to the retail sector.
Nonetheless, it provides indirect evidence that the speculative market explanation is a better fit for the data. And it also implies that illegal ivory is much more likely to be channeled into an autonomous, illegal factory system.
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