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KT in London
News from the 1st day of OGN
1) KT Bullets were defeated 0-2 against Najin Black Sword with Gimgoon (or Jimjoon), a former member of the S4 Winter Ro8 Xenics Storm along with Coco, Swift and Arrow, in place of Limit. The casters decided that Limit was too well known by the NJBS organization but there was no official word as to why. My guess is that KT is now pooling all their resources in KTA replacing Ssumday with Limit. Gimgoon fared pretty well in lane but I don't think he was a huge improvement as to justify Limit being replaced for competitive reasons.
Ryu looked awful as to be expected with his transition into jungle. He applied almost 0 pressure and sometimes was downright ruinous for his team, kicking away kills that they could have gotten or missing point-blank cocoons. The surprise however was from the storied bot lane of KTB losing to Ohq. Obviously, Score is more partial to the caster ADCs, such as Ezreal or Corki, and will have an uphill battle in the Kog/Twitch meta where he keeps positioning as if he still has the mobility. Mafa piled on top of this with multiple misses on his Crescendos. I was pretty sure Insec was driven out to appease the Startale trio but it may very well be time for the Bullets to cut choose others over the 3.
2) Najin Black Sword is basically guaranteed to move on from the groups after 3 long desolate splits with and because of their sister team: unless ofc they somehow lose to the Falcons after beating T1S and the Bullets handily. They are fully capable but I gotta say I am impressed with how Ohq, Duke (previously Leopard), Lee and Kuro have handled the transition, especially the amateur jungler. If worse comes to worst, White Shield could crush the other 2 teams and hand-off wins to Black Sword. You may say what you want about the morality of match fixing but we as a culture frown upon playing the victim card when you could just as easily protect yourself. I would like to get rid of the "team-kill" scenario in groups where the sister teams may collude to help one another against other organizations. Once they go head to head later on in the bracket there's no need to cheat between teams as the better team is simply the best team for the organization. Just don't put yourself in a position where you make players ruminate on the "criminality" of covering for their teammates' mistakes by slacking off practice.
I would set up 2 sets of "straws" with one team being on the first/red set and its sister on another. If for instance T1K chooses the blue set of "straws" and draws Bullets then Arrows must be in the red set and T1S would have to draw from those.
3) We are getting to the point where we should start accounting for the S4 OGN Circuit Points. Blue and T1K are tied for first with 450 points. White and White Shield is in the chase with 375 and 325 points respectively. Samsung has earned a spot in the qualifiers from Masters deciding the 2nd or 3rd seed going to Worlds and there has been no announcement as to which, despite the consensus by the public that there should be 16 teams in S4. The Masters team will probably have to go through, from the bottom, a playoff format against individual teams who did not get reserved seeds from circuit points. Traditionally we had gotten 2 seeds without the S3 All-Star prize so it could get really tough.
With the Nidalee rework coming up we may see a trend towards mages once more making Yasuo and TF less potent. The mechanics have changed. Nerfs may be incoming and it may be outright banned for a while. This will then be a question of whether Faker can gain dominance once more because it is looking like a real possibility that the undefeated winner of S4 Winter and All-Star may get relegated to the qualifiers and not even make the cut to Worlds against the top 4 teams right now. Anything less than a 2nd place finish this split will spell doom to their chances. You should note that Najin Sword lost their 120 points from the roster changes on the majority of positions. Therefore, they will be looking to push Najin White Shield through the ranks. White Shield has been moving up the rounds of competition one by one- literally- and it's about time they win as well.