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Updated Rainfall Forecast for 2025: Wetter Than Normal Year Now Likely
By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 31 May 2025 | When it comes to rainfall for this year, it now looks increasingly likely to be wetter than normal. The latest forecast shows the probability of above-normal rainfall has nearly doubled, jumping from 33% to 60%. The chances of near-normal and below-normal rainfall now stand at 30% and 10%, respectively. This means the chance of a dry year has more…
Early 2025 Rainfall Forecast: A Toss-Up for the Year
By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 24 April 2025 | When it comes to rainfall for this year, it’s anyone’s guess at this juncture. The latest forecast shows an almost even chance of rainfall totals ending up above normal, near normal or below normal, with probabilities of 33%, 34% and 33%, respectively. In other words, there’s no strong signal pointing clearly in any direction, making it one of…
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Updated 2024 Rainfall Prediction for Antigua: Above Normal Rainfall Expected
By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 30 July 2024 | 268Weather continues to forecast a wetter-than-normal year for Antigua. Our updated forecast calls for the rainfall total to be above normal with increased confidence. The year is more likely than not to be among the wettest on record. Forecast Details This year will most likely get around 1519 mm (60.0 in) with a 70 percent confidence of it…
August Update: Below Normal Rainfall Still Most Likely for Antigua for 2022
August Update: Below Normal Rainfall Still Most Likely for Antigua for 2022
Dale C. S. Destin | The prediction for rainfall remains off-putting for Antigua for 2022. My latest updated forecast once again projected rainfall to be most likely below normal. The most likely forecast total for the year is 1091 mm (43.0 in), up just 2 mm (0.08 in) from the previous forecast. There is also a 70 percent or high confidence of the rainfall total falling in the range of 825 to…
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July Update: Below Normal Rainfall Still Most Likely for Antigua for 2022
July Update: Below Normal Rainfall Still Most Likely for Antigua for 2022
Dale C. S. Destin | The prediction for rainfall remains unpromising. My latest updated forecast continues to call for most likely below normal rainfall for Antigua. The most likely total for the year is 1089 (42.9 in), up 9 mm (0.4 in) from the previous forecast. There is also a 70 percent or high confidence of the rainfall total falling in the range of 827 to 1405 mm (32.6 to 55.3 in). The…
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Updated Prediction: Below Normal Rainfall Most Likely for Antigua for 2022
Updated Prediction: Below Normal Rainfall Most Likely for Antigua for 2022
Dale C. S. Destin | The prediction for rainfall remains discouraging. My latest forecast continues to call for most likely below normal rainfall for Antigua. The most likely total for the year is 1080 (42.5 in), down 25 mm (1 in) from the previous forecast. There is also a 70 percent or high confidence of the rainfall total falling in the range of 590 to 1695 mm (23.2 to 66.7 in). The main…
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Early Prediction: Below Normal Rainfall Most Likely for Antigua
Early Prediction: Below Normal Rainfall Most Likely for Antigua
Dale C. S. Destin | The year will most likely be another drier than usual one for Antigua. My early forecast calls for the rainfall total for 2022 to most likely be 1105 mm (43.50 in) with a 70 percent or high confidence of it being in the range of 811 to 1463 mm (31.93 to 57.60 in). The main reason for the most likely below normal rainfall forecast is the current cooler than normal sea surface…
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Near Normal Rainfall for September, Drought Continues
Near Normal Rainfall for September, Drought Continues
Dale C. S. Destin | September joins June as the only two months of the year, thus far, to register near normal rainfall, all others had below normal figures. The month produced 122.2 mm (4.81 in) of rainfall, the highest total for any month since December 2020; notwithstanding, drought continues through September. The rainfall for the last nine months ranks among the worst on record, and it is…
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