Absolutely fucking ghoulish for the US government to keep saying "We're trying to offer life-saving aid to Cuba" when Cuba's most immediate and life-threatening problems could be solved if the US government just lifted its fucking fuel blockade.
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Absolutely fucking ghoulish for the US government to keep saying "We're trying to offer life-saving aid to Cuba" when Cuba's most immediate and life-threatening problems could be solved if the US government just lifted its fucking fuel blockade.
Great section on yesterday’s Democracy Now! Worth watching if you want more accurate information about what’s going on with Cuba and the US Blockade’s impact on the island. Highly recommend watching this if you’re interested in Cuban politics and US Cuban relations.
Iran formalizes Hormuz control, impacting US blockade and oil price markets
Iran formalizes control over the Strait of Hormuz, decreasing chances of a U.S. blockade lift. Blockade lifted by May 31, 2026 at 29.5% YES.
➤ Iran has formalized its control over the Strait of Hormuz through new legislation, reinforcing de facto control and requiring documentation for vessel transit. ➤ This development decreases the likelihood of the U.S. lifting its blockade and increases market expectations for WTI crude oil prices to reach $150 due to potential supply disruptions. ➤ Market participants are advised to monitor U.S. government statements, CENTCOM actions, and U.S.-Iran negotiation developments for shifts in market dynamics.
Iran nuclear deal skepticism rises amid US blockade impact
Iran's nuclear deal prospects dim amid US blockade. Deal by May 31 priced at 16% YES.
➤ Skepticism is rising regarding the US-Iran nuclear deal, with a low probability of reaching an agreement by May 31 due to the ongoing US blockade impacting Iran's oil exports. ➤ Geopolitical tensions are influencing the WTI Crude Oil market, with current sentiment suggesting a possibility of prices reaching $150 in May. ➤ While Palantir's revenue growth is noted, the primary market focus remains on the geopolitical situation between the US and Iran and its impact on oil prices and the nuclear deal.
Strait of Hormuz traffic remains near halt amid Iranian restrictions
Strait of Hormuz traffic remains nearly halted with only four vessels passing. Normal traffic by May 15 at 16.5% YES.
➤ Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is nearly halted due to Iranian restrictions, with only four vessels passing. ➤ Prediction markets show declining confidence in a swift return to normal traffic by May 15, and a decrease in the likelihood of the US lifting its blockade by May 31. ➤ The situation highlights geopolitical tensions and potential impacts on global oil shipments, with traders seeing stalled diplomatic progress.
Iranian ships defy US blockade, navigate Strait of Hormuz
Iranian ships defy US blockade in the Strait of Hormuz. Trump lifting the blockade by May 31 at 56% YES.
➤ Iranian ships are navigating the Strait of Hormuz despite a US blockade, with market odds for the blockade being lifted by May 31 at 56% YES. ➤ Market skepticism is evident due to ongoing maritime traffic issues and a significant drop in confidence regarding a quick resolution. ➤ The article highlights the uncertainty surrounding diplomatic talks and potential geopolitical shifts that could rapidly influence the odds of the blockade being lifted.
Caught between deprivation and ongoing U.S. aggression, the Cuban people find themselves in a catastrophic situation.
On Wednesday, April 15, USA Today revealed that the Pentagon was secretly preparing a military operation against Cuba. According to two internal sources cited by the newspaper, a simple decision by Trump would be enough to launch the intervention. This information confirms what Trump himself had hinted at in late March during the FII Priority investment forum in Miami, where, in a mocking tone, he had sought to justify the use of military force: “And Cuba is next, by the way, but pretend I didn’t say that.” This threat of military intervention is designed to extract significant concessions from the Diaz-Canel government, which has already begun negotiations with Washington. But such threats to its nearest neighbors are also part of the broader context of declining U.S. power across the rest of the world, particularly the Middle East. Military exhaustion and the difficulties faced by the United States in Iran could push Trump to seek a symbolic victory against Cuba, which he could present as a success to his base and a reminder of his military supremacy. Such an action, however, could have a high political cost for Trump. But whether or not Trump decides to follow through on his threats, It is the Cuban people who are directly suffering the consequences of the strangulation policy pursued by the United States and its allies. The Island’s Economy Is Collapsing The effects of the U.S. blockade on Cuba are impacting all sectors of the economy. One indicator illustrates the scale of the crisis: a significant number of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the private sector could go bankrupt due to energy shortages and high fuel costs on the informal market. Yet this is precisely the small business sector, which the Obama and Biden administrations were counting on as a lever for change. As an act of imperialist violence, the U.S. blockade is also a direct threat to the life and well being of the more than ten million Cubans living on the island. The halt in production, the lack of public transportation, and the shortages of food and medicine, is slowly killing the population in a situation comparable to war. Recent research published in the scientific journal Lancet Global Health estimates that unilateral sanctions cause nearly 560,000 deaths per year worldwide, identifying U.S. sanctions as the deadliest, a toll comparable to that of armed conflicts. In Cuba, the situation has now become a matter of daily survival.
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