The Market is Always Right 1
Many trading experts refer to the idea that the market is always right. This saying means that the ultimate authority on market behavior is the market itself. Market behavior is reflected in price. Opinions about market direction abound all over popular media. Some of these opinions are based on economic events or on fairly robust indicators that predict where the market will go. The only information that matters, however, is what the market itself is actually doing. Market behavior does not always jive with economic news or concur with the indicators. For example, the market may unexpectedly fall after positive employment numbers are released. This may occur because the news has already been priced into the market, or because the market has hit important resistance (a price at which an advance stalls), or because some other event exerts more influence on the market. The point is that when our opinions about market behavior clash with reality, then we have to accept the market is right.












